Climate change: our chance to give rise to the next industrial revolution — FWO 85 years

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TIJD OM WARM TE LOPEN VOOR HET KLIMAAT Klimaatverandering: onze kans om te bouwen aan de volgende industriële revolutie

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10 min presentation for the 85th anniversary of the FWO (Belgian Federal Scientific Research Institute). 4 strategies with examples for moving towards a profitable, resilient and sustainable low-carbon economy and society.

Transcript of Climate change: our chance to give rise to the next industrial revolution — FWO 85 years

Page 1: Climate change: our chance to give rise to the next industrial revolution — FWO 85 years

TIJD  OM  WARM  TE  LOPEN  VOOR  HET  KLIMAAT

Klimaatverandering:

onze  kans  om  te  bouwen  aan  de  volgende

industriële  revolutie  

Page 2: Climate change: our chance to give rise to the next industrial revolution — FWO 85 years
Page 3: Climate change: our chance to give rise to the next industrial revolution — FWO 85 years

Belgium needs to drastically increase its yearly GHG reduction pace in order to be in line with 2050 European objectives

9 Source: Belgium GHG emissions inventory, Climact

Belgian GHG emissions, MtCO2e per year

18

Range of 2050 objectives

2010

132

1990

143

-5.1% p.a.

-80 to -95%

-0.4% p.a.

-87.5%

NAAR EENKOOLSTOFARME MAATSCHAPPIJ

Scenario’s voor een koolstofarm België

tegen 2050Samenvatting van de bevindingen

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Saving Energy

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80% DECARBONIZATION OVERALL MEANS NEARLY FULL

DECARBONIZATION IN POWER, ROAD TRANSPORT AND BUILDINGS

2 roadmap2050.eu

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4 STRATEGIES 1.Radical resource efficacy 2.Closed loop production 3.Solutions economy 4.Reinvest in natural capital

www.natcap.org Natural Capitalism

Page 7: Climate change: our chance to give rise to the next industrial revolution — FWO 85 years

120kWh/m2*year

• Modular prefab elements • 8 days/house • Inhabitants stay in house

25kWh/m2*year

Page 8: Climate change: our chance to give rise to the next industrial revolution — FWO 85 years

120kWh/m2*year

• Modular prefab elements • 8 days/house • Inhabitants stay in house

25kWh/m2*year

Page 9: Climate change: our chance to give rise to the next industrial revolution — FWO 85 years
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• Full electric • 480 km range • 45 g (grey) / 0 g (green) • 2 x cargo BMW 5-series • 0-100 in 4.6 s

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Today

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2014

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4 STRATEGIES 1.Radical resource efficacy2.Closed loop production 3.Solutions economy 4.Reinvest in natural capital

www.natcap.org Natural Capitalism

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Page 18: Climate change: our chance to give rise to the next industrial revolution — FWO 85 years

Kalundborg Symbiosis is the world’s first well-functioning example of industrial symbiosis and has become a textbook example of effective resource saving and cycling of materials in industrial production.

Kalundborg industrial symbiosis

Page 19: Climate change: our chance to give rise to the next industrial revolution — FWO 85 years
Page 20: Climate change: our chance to give rise to the next industrial revolution — FWO 85 years

4 STRATEGIES 1.Radical resource efficacy2.Closed loop production 3.Solutions economy 4.Reinvest in natural capital

www.natcap.org Natural Capitalism

Page 21: Climate change: our chance to give rise to the next industrial revolution — FWO 85 years

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Page 22: Climate change: our chance to give rise to the next industrial revolution — FWO 85 years

A collaborative project between Philips and TurnToo is a showcase for the pioneering ‘Pay-per-lux’ model.

Turntoo

Page 23: Climate change: our chance to give rise to the next industrial revolution — FWO 85 years

4 STRATEGIES 1.Radical resource efficacy2.Closed loop production 3.Solutions economy 4.Reinvest in natural capital

www.natcap.org Natural Capitalism

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Page 25: Climate change: our chance to give rise to the next industrial revolution — FWO 85 years
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Renewable energy

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80% DECARBONIZATION OVERALL MEANS NEARLY FULL

DECARBONIZATION IN POWER, ROAD TRANSPORT AND BUILDINGS

2

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Solar Photovoltaics Cost• Cost Declines as Production Increases

1 US$

10 US$

100 US$

Source: U.S. Department of Energy, National Renewable Energy Laboratory “Sun Shot Vision Study,” February 2012

Aver

age

Sola

r PV

Mod

ule

Cos

t per

Wat

t

Cumulative PV Module Shipments

0 1 10 100 1.000 10.000 100.000

Page 34: Climate change: our chance to give rise to the next industrial revolution — FWO 85 years

Solar Photovoltaics Cost• Cost Declines as Production Increases

1 US$

10 US$

100 US$

Source: U.S. Department of Energy, National Renewable Energy Laboratory “Sun Shot Vision Study,” February 2012

Aver

age

Sola

r PV

Mod

ule

Cos

t per

Wat

t

Cumulative PV Module Shipments

1975

1980

1990

2010

0 1 10 100 1.000 10.000 100.000

Page 35: Climate change: our chance to give rise to the next industrial revolution — FWO 85 years

World Solar Photovoltaics Production• Annual Production 1975 – 2010

0

5000

10000

15000

20000

25000

1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010

Source: Earth Policy Institute

Meg

awat

ts p

er Y

ear

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World Solar Photovoltaics Production• Annual Production 1975 – 2010

0

5000

10000

15000

20000

25000

1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010

Source: Earth Policy Institute

Meg

awat

ts p

er Y

ear

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The Proposed EU–N.Africa Renewable Energy Network

Solar (CSP) Wind Hydro

Solar (PV) Biomass Geothermal

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BENEFITS OF NORTH AFRICAN SOLARBoth the EU-27 and North Africa will benefit from their introduction into the European Energy grid.

Combining regional demand curves reduces volatility

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EU GRID ICONOGRAPHY

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©  

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• DE MORGENZATERDAG 9 NOVEMBER 20134 • DMKLIMAAT

‘Vuile gammele treinen. Stinkende, troosteloze fileswaarje ziek vanwordt.Willenwedat nu echt?Nog altijd?’MilieupoliticoloogHansBruyninckx (49), sindsvijfmaandenhoofd vanhet EuropeesMilieuAgentschapinKopenhagen, over de oppeppende kracht vanschone lucht, helderwater en kennis overde opwarmendewereldbol.tekst: BarbaraDebusscherefoto’s: Thomas Sweertvaegher

Interview Hans Bruyninckx, hoofd van het Europees Milieu Agentschap

Choose your future

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futureproofed.com

@sergedg

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TIJD  OM  WARM  TE  LOPEN  VOOR  HET  KLIMAAT