Cadastre 2035 –Cadastre 2035 –research projectM.Sc. Pauliina Krigsholm, National Land Survey of Finland

PCC conference, November 2017

The aspects of the research

MegatrendsUsers and

stakeholders

Future cadastral system

Global themes

Wild cards

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Megatrends

Economic Political Environmental

Social Technological

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The study design

1st round

Delphi questionnaire

Expert selection

Analysis and feedback

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2nd round

Delphi questionnaire

Final analysis and

results

Results

Business ecosystems

Urbanization

Increasing trend in transparency, accessibility, and open data

Ubiquitous intelligence

Digital culture

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-1 -0,5 0 0,5 1 1,5 2

Knowledge-based economy

Global risk society

New patterns of mobility

Business ecosystems

Probable Round 1 Probable Round 2 Preferable Round 1 Preferable Round 2

Key megatrends and their anticipated effects

Megatrend Anticipated impacts

Digital culture More convenient use and exchange of information

Ubiquitous intelligence Better and faster public services

Increasing trend towards transparency,

accessibility and open data

New forms of public services; Interfaces with other public data

sources; ’Parallel’ cadastres should become unnecessary

Urbanization Building and planning information as part of the cadastre; True

3D; Higher volume (more real property units)

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Business ecosystems New innovations; Shared processes and new forms of

collaboration

New patterns of mobility Smart transportation as part of cadastral data collection;

International standards and harmonization of cadastral data;

Fully coordinate-based cadastre

Global risk society Cybersecurity threats; Privacy protection and possible conflicts

with open data

Knowledge-based economy Crowdsourcing/ voluntary geographic information; Cadastre as

a source material for new innovations

Step forward: Scenario building exercise

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Source: Zavialova 2017

Future narratives for Finnish cadastralsystem

Digital,

ubiquitous and

accessible

Antisocial and

user-friendly

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Relative

consonance

New

capitalism

Based on Zavialova, 2017

Scenario 1: Digital, ubiquitous and accessiblecadastral system

This ’probable’ future includes higher impact of technological

megatrends in respect to other PESTE factors

Peculiarity: Clear dominance of digital culture and ubiquitous

intelligence as drivers of change

italia

ngoo

dn

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s.c

om

”In the future, cadastre will function as a self-service tool maintained by society; its

data will be utilized in mobile ad hoc where data need arises. The authorities will

lose their functions and soon users of the cadastral system will not even know

where the information originally comes from. It will be enough to be up-to-date,

reliable, and easy to use.” (Respondent C)

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Scenario 2: Antisocial and user-friendly cadastralsystem

This ’preferred’ future is built on a very low impact of

social and political phenomena

”Digitalization changes principles of all other service systems as well,

but at the same time they all are driven by customer experience.”

(Respondent H)(Respondent H)

“Augmented reality connects virtual reality and real world.”

(Respondent B)

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http://barnraisersllc.com

Scenario 4: Cadastral system of new capitalism

The core driving force in this vision comes from economic

transformations, i.e. changing work world, knowledge-based economy and

new consumption patterns

“Development of the new cadastral system should be modelled together with younger

generation” (Respondent L)

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©Accenture

Conclusions

- Most of the megatrends examined in this study were seen more as

opportunities than as threats for the Finnish cadastral system

- Finnish experts view the development of the cadastral system as a

technology-driven process

- In scenario building technological and economic drivers were in a - In scenario building technological and economic drivers were in a

central role as well

- Scenarios seem plausible but they should be further developed

into more detailed versions

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Publications

Krigsholm, P., Zavialova, S., Riekkinen, K., Ståhle, P.,

Viitanen, K. Understanding the future of the Finnish

cadastral system – A Delphi study. Land Use Policy (68)

133-140.

Riekkinen, K., Toivonen, S., Krigsholm, P., Hiironen, J., Kolis,

K. 2016. Future themes in the operational environment of

the Finnish cadastral system. Land Use Policy (57), 702-

708.

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Thank you for yourattention!

Contacts:

kirsikka.riekkinen@aalto.fi

pauliina.krigsholm@nls.fi

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pauliina.krigsholm@nls.fi