Zorgidee 2014: Het potentieel van zorgrobotica - Bram Vanderborght
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Transcript of Zorgidee 2014: Het potentieel van zorgrobotica - Bram Vanderborght
2/5/14 pag. !1
Het potentieel van zorgroboticaProf dr ir Bram Vanderborght
!Robotics Research Group Vrije Universiteit Brussel
2/5/14 pag.
2
122 Europe in figures — Eurostat yearbook 2011
Population
Figure 2.7: Median age of population(years)
1990Change 1990 to 2009
(1) Excluding French overseas departments.(2) Data may be affected by the change of population definition in 2008.(3) 2008 instead of 2009.
Source: Eurostat (demo_pjanind)
Figure 2.8: Population structure by major age groups, EU-27 (1)(% of total population)
19.5 17.2 15.6 15.4 14.5 14.0 14.1 14.0
66.8 67.2 67.2 64.6 61.9 59.2 57.1 56.0
10.6 12.3 12.7 14.4 16.6 18.0 17.8 17.8
6.9 8.9 11.0 12.1
3.1 3.3 5.74.5
0
25
50
75
100
1990 2000 2009 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060
80+ years65-79 years15-64 years0-14 years
(1) Excluding French overseas departments; 2020 to 2060 data are EUROPOP2008 convergence scenario.
Source: Eurostat (demo_pjanind and proj_08c2150p)
!2
Ageing population
In 1990 Persons 65+ à 13,7 % Persons 85+ à 3,1 %
In 2060 Persons 65+ à 30% à increase with 250% k Persons 85+ à 12% à increase with 400% k
In 1990 67% of population support population
In 2060 Only 56% of population support population
Working population shall - Work harder - Work more To realize the same Today 40 hout/week à In 2060: 50 hour/week
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Increasing life expectancy
Source: HEIDI data tool EU-‐Commission
In 1960 Life expectancy Belgium 69,66 years Av. EU 67,72 years !At age of 65 Belgium 13,52 years Av. EU 13,99 years
In 2008 (50 years later) Life expectancy Belgium 80,10 years Av. EU 78,66 years !At age of 65 Belgium 19,50 years Av. EU 18,46 years
For Belgium this is an increase of 18,2% over 50 years ! 1/5 longer life!!!
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Increased need for assistance
Not only functional weakness, but mobility also affected by lower motor skills due to stroke or neurological misfunction
The need for Personal Assistance with everyday activities increases with age. !% of persons needing assistance with everyday activities by age
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Increased health cost
Source: EU White Paper “Together for Health: A Strategic Approach for the EU 2008-2013”.
For Flanders by 2050 : • will be confronted much
stronger • its demographic pattern counts
more elderly people • And Healthcare costs are
higher in comparison with other EU countries !
• Today = 11,1% of GDP = 36,8 billion EUR !
• Increase of 25% = 9,2 billion EUR/year
For EU by 2050: !healthcare spending increase with 25%
Health is the greatest wealth!
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?
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Robots are about to enter our daily life
Aibo
Claudia MitchellRoomba
Justin
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Disruptive technologies: Advances that will transform life, business, and the global economy
Policy makers and societies need to prepare for future technology. To do this well, they will need a clear understanding of how technology might shape the global economy and society over the coming decades. !Since the Industrial Revolution, technology has had a unique role in powering growth and transforming economies. !The McKinsey Global Institute set out to identify which of these technologies could have a massive economically disruptive impact between now and 2025.
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Study Gartner
• 2013 Hype Cycle on evolving relationship between human and machine.
• 3 trends: – Augmenting humans with technology – Machines replacing humans – Humans and machines working alongside each
other
Combine the best of the two worlds Machines • precision • repeatability • 3D jobs • … Humans • creativity • problem solving • dexterity • … !
Human robot interaction
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New technology required
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Gait rehabilitation
GAIT RECOVERY
❑ Neurological disorders:GAIT IMPAIRMENT
❑ “Relearning to walk by walking”
MOTOR RECOVERY
❑ Neural plasticity
❑ Impact on individual: Quality-Of-Life❑ Impact on society: Health Care
Sensory input
IntensityEffort
MOTOR COMMAND
, SCI , MS, …StrokeMOTOR
COMMAND
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Gait rehabilitation
❑ labour intensive
❑ resource intensive
❑ treadmill training with body-weight support
LOW POTENTIAL
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Rehabilitation exoskeletons
Knexo VUB ALTACRO VUB
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Mirad assistive exoskeleton
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Prostheses
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AMPfoot 2.0
AMPfoot 2 VUB
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Cyberlegs
Cyberlegs VUB-SSSA
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Social human-robot interaction
Machine iscentral
Human has to be central
keyboard mouse
screen
menus
speech – emotions -‐ gesturesWALL-E
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-‐Human-‐robot interaction focused children -‐Robot-‐Assisted therapy !Abilities: -‐Able of verbal communication -‐Directs its gaze -‐Express emotions/animations à social interface !!
The social huggable robot
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Robot Assisted Therapy: Autism Spectrum Disorders
!‘Don’t underestimate persons with autism, try to understand’
‘Someone with ASDs is really like you, just more extreme’ !
• widespread abnormalities of social interactions and communication
• restricted interests • highly repetitive behavior • pervasive, spectrum manifestation • may vary in level of severity • life-time condition !
specific individualized treatment (recommended 25 hours/week) early and adapted interventions
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Why social robots might be useful for ASD treatments?
1) Safety 2) Simplicityàcomplexity 3) Predictability 4) Controlability 5) Interactivity ! High level of motivation and involvement in tasks The robot = social mediator:
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Aim of Probo
Aim is not to replace therapists with robots, but to use the strengths of the robots to:
• facilitate and improve the therapy process • mediate the human-child interaction • make the learning process more pleasant & motivating, by developing
attractive RAT games
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Also other social robots
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Conclusion
• Robots are about to enter our daily life • Answer to societal challenges • Create new economic markets
• Robots will be everywhere in different forms and applications, impact bigger than the internet
• But still much research necessary • Have to think about ethical problems as well • Solve in a multidisciplinary research effort
2/5/14 pag. !25
Research team: Prof. dr. ir. Dirk Lefeber, Prof. dr. ir. Bram Vanderborght !Dr. ir. Ronald Van Ham, Dr. ir. Michaël Van Damme, Dr ir Heidi Cuypers, Dr. ir. Bjorn Verrelst, Dr. ir. Rene Enrique Jimenez Fabian, Dr. ir. Mizanoor Rahman, Dr. ir. Carlos Rodriguez Guerrero, dr. ir. Pablo Gómez Esteban, Dr. ir. Ramazan Unal !lic. Pierre Cherelle, ir. Joseph Jezic von Gesseneck, ir. Victor Grosu, ir. Branko Brackx, ir. Svetlana Grosu, ir. Louis Flynn, ir. Greet Van de Perre, ir. Karen Junius, ir. Glenn Mathijssen, ir. Joost Geeroms, ing. Tim Schepers, ir. Maarten Weckx, ir. Cao Hoang Long, ir. Laura De Rijcke, ir Tom Verstraten, ir Marta Moltedo, Ramona Simut, Kristel Knaepen, Eva Swinnen, ir. Hamed Yaghini !The work was supported by several EU and national projects: FP7: Viactors, Corbys, Cyberlegs, H2R, BIOMOT, DREAM, IWT-‐SBO:Mirad and ERC starting grant SPEAR [email protected]