zJan 09 Gemini Meggitt PP11

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    Thermal Management System TMS

    REPORT ON MIDDLE EAST & AFRICAN POTENTIAL

    FOR ARMOURED VEHICLES

    January 2009

    Gemini Consultants LimitedEmirates Office Towers - Dubai - United Arab Emirates

    www.gemini-consultants.com

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    TMS Background

    Thermal Management System TMSinstalled on M1A2SEP Abrams

    Over 1,200 Thermal Management Systems have been delivered by MeggittDefense Systems, Inc. to General Dynamics Land Systems for the

    M1A2SEP Abrams main battle tank since 2000

    Over 700 more remain on order with us for delivery through 2013, thusMeggitt have a classic hot production line

    The M1A2SEP has been deployed in large numbers by the US Army in OIF,and the system has racked up many thousands of hours of operation in theharsh battlefield environment of the Middle East

    The TMS is designed to cool the electronic suite of the Abrams as well asthe crew, and in the extreme temperatures of the theater, it is a welcomerelief to soldiers manning the vehicles

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    TMS Background

    Thermal Management System TMSinstalled on M1A2SEP Abrams (cont)

    In order to better understand the sales challenge associated with the TMS, onemust have a basic understanding of the technical challenge facing theparticipants working with the M1A2 or M1A1 versions of the vehicle. Only the

    United States Army operates the M1A2SEP Abrams Both Kuwait and Saudi Arabia own M1A2s and Egypt owns M1A1s.

    Outwardly the vehicles are very similar, but the M1A2SEP has specialprovisions for the inclusion of the TMS

    These special provisions include modifications of the hydraulic system andelectronic control systems provisions

    These changes were designed by GDLS under contract by the US Army, andMeggitt Defense Systems, Inc, the designer and producer of the TMS, is notprivy to all associated vehicular details

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    TMS Background

    Thermal Management System TMSinstalled on M1A2SEP Abrams (cont)

    Some of these special provisions might be best set aside for local content ofthe project

    In order to minimize the potential impact to vehicle systems, we recommend anapproach that includes not only the TMS, but also an APU specifically sized topower the TMS

    In this way, the cooling system can remain almost completely separate fromexisting vehicular subsystems

    The APU can be mounted on the right side of the turret bustle, a positioncurrently open on the vehicle. Clearly, modifications to the bustle rack areneeded to accommodate both the VCSU and the APU, but it is straightforward

    metal work with low risk The control system interface for the TMS/APU combination is a bit more tricky,

    but is still a low risk for those who own the vehicles

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    TMS Background

    Thermal Management System TMSinstalled on M1A2SEP Abrams (cont)

    The bottom line is that the installation of the cooling system is not asimple plug n play operation but rather requires additional engineering,albeit low risk, to make accommodations for the system

    MDSI would like to provide the kit including the VCSU, the AHU, and theAPU while leaving the vehicle modifications and associated design work forlocal content

    A co-contractor relationship could be established with a local partnerorganization to perform the design modification work in preparation for thereceipt of the major kit components

    Clearly we must limit ourselves in what we can disclose in terms of furthertechnical details until such time as an appropriate export license requesthas been drafted, submitted, and approved by the State Department

    This can be accomplished in a straightforward manner once we receive anexpression of interest (RFP, RFQ, Request for Tender etc) from a user inthe region

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    TMS Components

    VCSU mounted on leftrear bustle rack

    AHU mounted insideturret behind GunnersPrimary Sight

    TMS powered by

    modified M1A2SEPhydraulic system

    Components connectedby armored conduitcontaining hydraulicand PGW lines

    System control connector

    Armored conduit

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    REPORT ON MIDDLE EAST & AFRICAN POTENTIAL FORARMOURED VEHICLES

    Gemini will:

    Identify strengths

    Distill key prospects from worldwide trawl

    Identify selected key countries for action and regard them as a launch point fortheir respective regions

    Identify platform suppliers/partners in key regions/countries Consolidate and refine preliminary market assessment by liaison with both

    British and American Embassies and other sources

    Identify overall inventories/ORBATS and procurement life cycles in keycountries

    Identify mixed fleets of AFVs and equipment in many countries - difficult tomanage all OEM/original supplier relationships

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    REPORT ON MIDDLE EAST & AFRICAN POTENTIAL FORARMOURED VEHICLES

    Background

    Anticipated substantial growth in retrofit, upgrade, refurbishment andupkeep of AFVs and other platforms

    Customers aim to avoid cost of new platform acquisitions but takeadvantage of new technology

    Prohibitive cost of new platforms and capital equipment

    Emerging air, ground and asymmetric warfare threats

    Political instability in key regions - light rapid reaction forcerequirements increasing in both scale and technology demands

    Home and World-wide inventory of platforms in need of refurbishmentand battlefield equipment upgrades - Procurement/Life Cycle

    Lessons learned in Iraq and Afghanistan migrating to shape future,overall and specific customer operational requirements world wide

    Gemini can access in the region credible British military/technical/operational personnel that could be employed by Meggitt

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    REPORT ON MIDDLE EAST & AFRICAN POTENTIAL FORARMOURED VEHICLES

    Worldwide General Overview

    NATO - Common operational requirements and objectives

    Other Europe - Developing industrial base but low funding levels

    Russia - Security constraints both sides but potential for third party

    country collaboration Middle East and North Africa - Gulf States cash rich in general but

    can have a slow procurement processes Gemini can in manyinstances fast track programs

    Sub Saharan Africa - Operational requirements but low fundinglevels, unresolved conflicts, disorganisation and political constraints

    Central and South Asia - Good long term potential

    Caribbean and Latin America - Good potential in medium/long term- expensive to pursue - Flagship country to develop regional access ?

    East Asia and Australasia - Good medium/long term potential

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    REPORT ON MIDDLE EAST & AFRICAN POTENTIAL FORARMOURED VEHICLES

    Country Analysis - Selection Criteria

    AFV Fleets, UAV Programmes and other platforms in need oftechnology upgrade/refurbishment

    Specific threats to be countered and new roles to be fulfilled

    Political bias against spend on new capital equipment

    Budgets under pressure

    Geminis good existing relationships with targeted countries

    Decision making process understood

    Possible Industrial Partnerships

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    REPORT ON MIDDLE EAST & AFRICAN POTENTIAL FORARMOURED VEHICLES

    Export potential - Country Analysis/Criteria

    Worldwide

    Countries listed in red are eliminated from the study in the short tomedium term for political, security, budget, ongoing hostilities or other

    reasons, but, long term growth potential exists in some. Kuwait is first target Second target country list indicated by asterix * Third target country list indicated by two asterix **

    Platforms considered: Main Battle Tanks Reconnaissance/Forward Observation/Command Vehicles Armored Infantry Fighting Vehicles Armored Personnel Carriers Light Armored Vehicles

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    REPORT ON MIDDLE EAST & AFRICAN POTENTIAL FORARMOURED VEHICLES

    Middle East and North Africa

    Algeria** Mauritania

    Bahrain* Morocco**

    Egypt* Oman*

    IranPalestine

    Iraq* Qatar*

    Israel Saudi Arabia*

    Jordan* Syria

    Kuwait Tunisia

    Lebanon United Arab Emirates*

    Libya* Yemen

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    REPORT ON MIDDLE EAST & AFRICAN POTENTIAL FORARMOURED VEHICLES

    Sub Saharan Africa

    Angola Cote DIvoire

    Benin Democratic Republic of Congo

    Botswana DjiboutiBurkina Faso Equatorial Guinea

    Burundi Eritrea

    Cameroon Ethiopia

    Cape Verde Gabon

    Central African Republic Gambia

    Chad Ghana

    Congo Guinea

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    REPORT ON MIDDLE EAST & AFRICAN POTENTIAL FORARMOURED VEHICLES

    Sub Saharan Africa (cont)

    Guinea Bissau Rwanda

    Kenya* Senegal

    Lesotho Seychelles

    Liberia Sierra Leone

    Madagascar Somali RepublicMalawi South Africa

    Mali Sudan

    Mauritius Tanzania

    Mozambique Togo

    Namibia Uganda

    Niger ZambiaNigeria* Zimbabwe

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    REPORT ON MIDDLE EAST & AFRICAN POTENTIAL FORARMOURED VEHICLES

    Central and South Asia

    Afghanistan* Pakistan*

    Bangladesh Sri Lanka

    India* TajikistanKazakhstan Turkmenistan

    Kyrgyzstan Uzbekistan

    Nepal

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    EQUIPMENT LIST FOR TARGETTED COUNTRIES

    AlgeriaMBT 925 T90, T72, T62RECCE90 BRDM2IVF 1040 BMP 1,2,3APC 750 mainly BTR 60/80

    BahrainMBT 180 M60A3RECCE 22 AML90IVF 25 YPR 765APC 225 M113 & M3 Panhard

    EgyptMBT 3600 M1A1, M60A1/A3, T62, T55/54

    RECCE412 BRDM2, COMMANDOIVF 610 BMP 1,YPR 765APC 2100 M113 & 2050 BMP, BTR

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    EQUIPMENT LIST FOR TARGETTED COUNTRIES

    JordanMBT 1100 CR1, KHALID, M60A1/A3 CENTURION

    RECCE45 SCORPION

    IFV 235 BMP, RATEL

    APC 1350 M113

    MoroccoMBT 580 T72, M60A1/A3

    RECCE500 SK-105, AML-60, AML-90, AMX10RC, RATELIFV 70 AMX10 RATEL

    APC 750 M113 VAB

    OmanMBT 117 CR2, M60A1/A3

    RECCE180 SCORPION, SULTAN, VBL

    IFV 16 SPARTAN, STORMERAPC 190 PIRNAHA, AT-105

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    EQUIPMENT LIST FOR TARGETTED COUNTRIES

    QatarMBT 30 AMX-30

    RECCE68 AMX10RC, EE-9 CASCAVEL & VBL

    IFV 40 AMX10

    APC 225 AMX-VCI, PIRANHA & VAB

    SaudiMBT 900 M1A2AMX30M60A3

    RECCE880 AML60LAV-AGLAV-25IFV 1880 AMX10 M2 BRADLEY LAV-25

    APC 4500 M113AL-FAHDM3 PANHARD PIRANHA V-150 COMMANDO

    UAEMBT 390 LECLERC

    RECCE170 SCORPION AML-90 & VBL

    IFV 430 AMX10 & BMP3APC 880 AAPC BTR URUTU PANHARD FUCHS VCR VAB

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    EQUIPMENT LIST FOR TARGETTED COUNTRIES

    PakistanMBT 2500 MBT2000, T80,T54/55, TYPE-59, TYPE-85 & M48

    APC 1250 M113BTR-70/80UR-416

    IndiaMBT 3000 ACTIVE T90 ARJUN T72 VIJAYANTA

    RECCE 300 AMX13 PT-76 BRDM2

    IVF 1700 BMP1/2

    APC 800 CASSPIR, OT62/64, BTR & BRDM

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    REPORT ON MIDDLE EAST & AFRICAN POTENTIAL FORARMOURED VEHICLES

    First Division Integrators

    AFVs:

    BAE SystemsGeneral Dynamics

    GIAT

    Thales

    ELBIT (Politically Controversial)

    Patria Hgglunds

    Saab Bofors Dynamics

    Teledyne Brown

    Van Halteren Metaal

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    REPORT ON MIDDLE EAST & AFRICAN POTENTIAL FORARMOURED VEHICLES

    Export potential - Key first target country is KUWAIT

    Status - Uncoordinated vehicle integration plan

    Gemini has good overall relationships with Kuwaiti supplier(s),

    YugoImport (M84) and Rosoboronexport/KBP (BMP 2/3) Hardware being procured independently by KMoD, at additional cost;

    out of sync/poor critical path management for upgrade and vehicleautomotive refurbishment programmes

    FOR INTEREST: Recently Teledyne Brown won Integration contract forRadio Comms/Intercom only

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    REPORT ON MIDDLE EAST & AFRICAN POTENTIAL FORARMOURED VEHICLES

    Export potential - Key first target country is KUWAIT

    Status - Uncoordinated vehicle integration plan

    FOR DISCUSSION: Abrams excluded though Gemini believe they can discreetly complement GDscurrent marketing efforts as far as they effect MEGGITT, in both Kuwait and Saudi

    Operational requirement to upgrade fleets of AFVs:

    Qty 150 + M84 MBT (Serbia/former Yugoslavia)Qty 200 + BMP 2/3 (Russia)

    Qty 200 + M113 (USA)

    Qty 254 Warrior IFV (UK)

    Qty 40 + M577 (USA)

    TOTAL 844 +

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    REPORT ON MIDDLE EAST & AFRICAN POTENTIAL FORARMOURED VEHICLES

    Current and Future competitors

    All Platform suppliers/OEMs in general who will protect theirplatforms and IPR

    Companies with a higher profile in the field of systems/equipmentintegration

    Lower cost Russian, former East Bloc and Chinese companies rapidlybecoming street wise and market oriented

    Smaller niche companies able to react quickly to rapidly developingsituations and requirements

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    CONCLUSIONS

    Gemini can deliver impartial advice to MEGGITT and provide access to keydecision makers ensuring that MEGGITT stays ahead of the competition

    Gemini proposes a retainer plus a subcontractors agreement listing the

    range of services Gemini would be providing in the region

    Gemini has no capabilities in the Far East. However we would like torecommend for three specific countries, MALAYSIA, INDONESIA &THAILAND that MEGGITT discuss these markets with JWI in WashingtonDC (www.jwidc.com) whom Gemini strongly recommend could assist insales/marketing of vehicle upgrades in those three countries. POC wouldbe Charlie Waterman at JWI

    http://www.jwidc.com/http://www.jwidc.com/