Elektrische voertuigen de transitie naar een duurzame ...Messagie, M., et.al.. (2014) A Range-Based...
Transcript of Elektrische voertuigen de transitie naar een duurzame ...Messagie, M., et.al.. (2014) A Range-Based...
Elektrische voertuigen
de transitie naar een duurzame mobiliteit Prof. Dr. ir. Joeri Van Mierlo Director of Mobility, Logistics and Automotive Technology Research Centre
Vrije Universiteit Brussel – MOBI – Prof. Joeri Van Mierlo 2
25%
Vrije Universiteit Brussel – MOBI – Prof. Joeri Van Mierlo 3 Joris Besseling
57% NOx – 25% PM
Vrije Universiteit Brussel – MOBI – Prof. Joeri Van Mierlo 4
Jonathan C. Wheeler
1 Billion Euro’s per Day for import of Oil in Europe
Vrije Universiteit Brussel – MOBI – Prof. Joeri Van Mierlo 5
Manon
Vrije Universiteit Brussel – MOBI – Prof. Joeri Van Mierlo 6
Strong foundations
1979 - Vrije Universiteit Brussel
2014 - Vrije Universiteit Brussel
E-mobility
Vrije Universiteit Brussel – MOBI – Prof. Joeri Van Mierlo 8
Vrije Universiteit Brussel – MOBI – Prof. Joeri Van Mierlo 9
Streefdoel Vlaanderen 2020
Vrije Universiteit Brussel – MOBI – Prof. Joeri Van Mierlo 10
Vrije Universiteit Brussel – MOBI – Prof. Joeri Van Mierlo
EV vehicle models d.d. 31/12/14
Source: AVERE (2014)
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Vrije Universiteit Brussel – MOBI – Prof. Joeri Van Mierlo 12
Vrije Universiteit Brussel – MOBI – Prof. Joeri Van Mierlo 13
Top 3 Barriers for EVs
Limited charging infrastructure
Limited driving range
High purchase cost
Vrije Universiteit Brussel – MOBI – Prof. Joeri Van Mierlo 14
Range anxiety
– 95 to 99% trips <100km
– 30% vehicle fleet never >100km
– Improved batteries: Specific energy (Wh/kg):
– Plug-in hybrid (EV+range extender)
– Wireless Dynamic inductive charging
Lead Nickel Lithium 2020 2030
30 – 35 50 – 80 80 – 200 400 - 600 1000 - 2000?
x2 x2 x3 x3
Vrije Universiteit Brussel – MOBI – Prof. Joeri Van Mierlo 15
Infrastructure needs Where is your car during one week?
Home Work
Vrije Universiteit Brussel – MOBI – Prof. Joeri Van Mierlo 16
Vrije Universiteit Brussel – MOBI – Prof. Joeri Van Mierlo MOBI - Mobility, Logistics and Automotive Technology 17
0,00%
10,00%
20,00%
30,00%
40,00%
50,00%
60,00%
70,00%
Vlaanderen Walonië Brussel
Garage en parking gelegenheden in België
% aantal gebouwen met garage, parking of overdekte staanplaats / aantal gebouwen
% aantal gebouwen met garage, parking of overdekte staanplaats / aantal woongelegenheden
Bron: FOD Economie
Vrije Universiteit Brussel – MOBI – Prof. Joeri Van Mierlo MOBI - Mobility, Logistics and Automotive Technology 18
Intelligent roll-out of infrastructure
Vrije Universiteit Brussel – MOBI – Prof. Joeri Van Mierlo 19
– 100 000 EVs = > +0,4
% extra electricity production
– But potential extra
demand for electricity after working hours
“Smart battery
charging” during off peak hours
Electricity production and distribution
– Battery as storage
solution?
opportunity to give
electricity back to the
grid?
Impact on life
expectancy of battery
2nd
hand market for
EV batteries (still 80%
original capacity)
How Green are Clean vehicles?
Vrije Universiteit Brussel – MOBI – Prof. Joeri Van Mierlo 21
Vrije Universiteit Brussel – MOBI – Prof. Joeri Van Mierlo 22 Bert Kaufmann
Vrije Universiteit Brussel – MOBI – Prof. Joeri Van Mierlo 23
Vrije Universiteit Brussel – MOBI – Prof. Joeri Van Mierlo 24
Life Cycle Assessment
Raw
materials Production of
components
Assembly and
distribiution
Waste
Raw
materials
Refining and
transport Distribution
Usage
Vrije Universiteit Brussel – MOBI – Prof. Joeri Van Mierlo
Ozone formation
Elementary flows
Midpoint impacts
Endpoint Damages
Climate change
Acidification
Eutrophication Fossil fuel depletion
PM formation
Land use Human toxicity
Radiation Eco toxicity
Ozone depletion
CO2, CH4, N2O, NOx, Cd, Benzene, iron ore, hard coal, land use, … and other elementary flows (emissions and resources)
Human health
Ecosystem Resource
availability
Single score
Mineral depletion
Water use
Inventory model
Raw materials Production of
components
Assembly and
distribiution
Waste
Raw materials Refining and
production
Distribution
Usage
WTT Maintenance
Production
TTW
Road
infrastructure 25
FU: 209,470 km (14.1 years, 14,856 km/yr)
Vrije Universiteit Brussel – MOBI – Prof. Joeri Van Mierlo
Ozone formation
Elementary flows
Midpoint impacts
Climate change
Acidification
Eutrophication Fossil fuel depletion
PM formation
Land use Human toxicity
Radiation Eco toxicity
Ozone depletion
CO2, CH4, N2O, NOx, Cd, Benzene, iron ore, hard coal, land use, … and other elementary flows (emissions and resources)
Mineral depletion
Water use
Inventory model
Raw materials Production of
components
Assembly and
distribiution
Waste
Raw materials Refining and
production
Distribution
Usage
WTT Maintenance
Production
TTW
Road
infrastructure
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Single score
Vrije Universiteit Brussel – MOBI – Prof. Joeri Van Mierlo 28
Air quality in Belgium
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Life cycle air quality
! Geographical & Temporal Resolution in LCA
Vrije Universiteit Brussel – MOBI – Prof. Joeri Van Mierlo
Vehicle
database
Parameterized LCI model
Monte Carlo
assessment
Vehicle segmentation
Data fitting
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
0
0,02
0,04
0,06
0,08
0,1
0,12
970
1035
.4
1100
.8
1166
.2
1231
.6
1297
1362
.4
1427
.8
1493
.2
Den
sity
Weight [kg]
Parameterized vehicle-LCA model
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Vrije Universiteit Brussel – MOBI – Prof. Joeri Van Mierlo 31
Single score
Messagie, M., et.al.. (2014) A Range-Based Vehicle Life Cycle Assessment
Incorporating Variability in the Environmental Assessment of Different Vehicle
Technologies and Fuels. ENERGIES Volume: 7 Issue: 3 Pages: 1467-1482
Vrije Universiteit Brussel – MOBI – Prof. Joeri Van Mierlo 32
Vrije Universiteit Brussel – MOBI – Prof. Joeri Van Mierlo
Influence of the electricity mix
Ref: Messagie, M., et.al. (2014) A Range-Based Vehicle Life Cycle Assessment
Incorporating Variability in the Environmental Assessment of Different Vehicle
Technologies and Fuels. ENERGIES 33
How affordable are Clean Vehicles?
Vrije Universiteit Brussel – MOBI – Prof. Joeri Van Mierlo 35
TCO methodology
Vrije Universiteit Brussel – MOBI – Prof. Joeri Van Mierlo
Passenger cars – medium cars
Vrije Universiteit Brussel – MOBI – Prof. Joeri Van Mierlo
Passenger cars – premium cars
Vrije Universiteit Brussel – MOBI – Prof. Joeri Van Mierlo
Company cars – medium cars
Vrije Universiteit Brussel – MOBI – Prof. Joeri Van Mierlo
Company cars – premium cars
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Vrije Universiteit Brussel – MOBI – Prof. Joeri Van Mierlo
Electrification: 1 mln. additional jobs in 2030 in EU 2 mln. additional jobs in 2050 in EU
41 Source: Fuelling EUROPE’S Future, 2013
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Fun to drive and ….
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Prof. Joeri Van Mierlo
Phone +32 2 629 28 03
Email [email protected]
Office Building Z (ZE109)
Pleinlaan 2, 1050 Brussels
mobi.vub.ac.be
twitter.com/MOBI_VUB
Mobility, Logistics and Automotive Research centre
Vrije Universiteit Brussel