Deel 7 quantificatie van de winst
-
Upload
piet-de-pauw -
Category
Business
-
view
456 -
download
0
description
Transcript of Deel 7 quantificatie van de winst
Overzicht1. Representatieve Democratie ideaal versus werkelijkheid
2. Waarom representatieve democratie ALTIJD afglijdtnaar particratie
3. Benchmarking the Best in Class
4. Verklaring van de performantieverschillen
5. Grondoorzaak de vergeten basiswaarden
6. Aanbevolen ordening van de samenleving
7. Quantificatie van de winst
8. Een nieuwe en andere rol voor politici
Quantification of the savings
Public Sector EfficiencyAn International
Comparison
ECB working paper number 242, July 2003 "Public Sector Efficiency_An International Comparison“ by Afonso, Schuknecht and Tanzihttp://www.pedz.uni-mannheim.de/daten/edz-ki/ezb/03/w-paper/ecbwp242.pdf
Benchmarking Belgium versus Switzerland
The ECB working paper number 242, July 2003 "Public Sector Efficiency_An International Comparison“ by Afonso, Schuknecht and Tanzi, on Public sectors Performance Indictors (Table II, in attachment) shows an overall governmental efficiency for all tasks executed by the Belgian government a rating of 0.83, while for Switzerland 1.33. (*)
This means that when Belgium takes over for its government the AVERAGE Swiss model, the cost of the Belgian government would be reduced, for the same service, to 0.83/1.33 = 62%. Since the Belgian government takes about 50% of the GNP, this study suggests a potential savings of (100% - 62%) X 50% = 19% of the GNP compared to the average Swiss model.
(*) ECB working paper number 242, July 2003 "Public Sector Efficiency_An International Comparison“ by Afonso, Schuknecht and Tanzi http://www.pedz.uni-mannheim.de/daten/edz-ki/ezb/03/w-paper/ecbwp242.pdf
Bijkomende efficiecientieverhogingdoor automatische Financiele
Referenda ?
Lars P. Feld, John G. Matsusaka, "Budget referendums and government spending: evidence from Swiss cantons“ Journal of Public Economics 87 (2003) 2703– 2724
Lars Feld and Gebhard Kirchgasser, "Local fiscal Referenda: The dampening effect on taxes and spending",EconomicPolicy, 2001
20% Bijkomende Efficientieverhoging door automatische financiele referenda met lage drempel
Besparing op Uitgaven Overheid door verplichte automatische
Financiele Referenda in vergelijking tot het geval dat deze niet
verplichtend dienen te worden georganizeerd
-25.0%
-20.0%
-15.0%
-10.0%
-5.0%
0.0%
0 5 10 15 20
Drempel Financieel Referendum (M CHF)
Besp
ari
ng
(%
)
Alleen kantons met
verplichte referenda
Lars P. Feld, John G. Matsusaka, "Budget referendums and government spending: evidence from Swiss cantons“ Journal of Public Economics 87 (2003) 2703– 2724
Bijkomende efficientieverhoging door Automatische finciele referenda
There are large differences in Switzerland from canton to canton.
When financial referendums are made obligatory, Lars P. Feld, John G. Matsusaka (**) found in their economic correlation studies an efficiency improvement of 14% (very large financial treshold) to 20% (small financial treshold) compared to the case where financial referenda are not obligatory. I.e. additional efficiency improvements occur compared to the Swiss canton.
(**)Lars P. Feld, John G. Matsusaka, "Budget referendums and government spending: evidence from Swiss cantons“ Journal of Public Economics 87 (2003) 2703– 2724 http://www.iandrinstitute.org/New%20IRI%20Website%20Info/I&R%20Research%20and%20History/I&R%20Studies/Feld%20and%20Matsusaka%20-%20Fiscal%20Evidence%20from%20Swiss%20Cantons%20IRI.pdf
Or http://www.umar.gov.si/fileadmin/user_upload/konference/06/03_feld.pdf
Bijkomende efficientieverhoging door Automatische finciele referenda
Introducing automatic financial referenda with low thresholds in Belgium in addition to the system of Gemeindefreiheit results is savings of governmetalcosts of 0.083/1.33 x (1-20%) = 50%.
Since the Belgian government takes about 50% of the GNP, the combination of the ECB study of Afonso, Schuknecht and Tanzi, and the study of Feld and Matsusaka study suggests a potential savings of (100% - 50%) X 50% = 25% % of the GNP.
Libertarian View on Savings PossibleDavid R Barker
David R Barker in an interview with Stefan Moulyneux estimates the saving which can be obained in a libertarian society to be between 20% to 30% of the GNP per capita.
He asks: Is this worth the trouble to change society?
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YasmmiR0PrM&feature=youtube_gdata
Additional growth of the GNP
2.9588772.3965581.55796715
2.7524442.2609041.5125914
2.5604132.1329281.46853413
2.381782.0121961.42576112
2.2156091.8982991.38423411
2.0610321.7908481.34391610
1.9172391.6894791.3047739
1.7834781.5938481.266778
1.6590491.503631.2298747
1.5433021.4185191.1940526
1.4356291.3382261.1592745
1.3354691.2624771.1254
1.2422971.1910161.0923
1.1556251.12361.06092
1.0751.061.031
additional growth of GNP per capita
7.5%6.0%3.0%invested part (1/3 of savings)
25%20%10%
Savings in GNP per capita