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Blauwdruk System Specs

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Blauwdruk Requirements1. Wind Fish Farm analysis: hele park kan aangepast worden aan de parameters (voor

meerjarig onderhoud).

2. Analyse: voordelen kunnen bekeken worden a.d.h.v. verschillende parameters

3. Year Scenario’s LCA: verschillende settings zijn mogelijk.

4. Zichtbaar maken van kosten die voortkomen uit de jaarscenario’s.

5. LCA data: Sale Prices worden gegenereerd.

6. Prijsstijgingen [met (on)zekerheids marges] kunnen gemoduleerd worden.

7. Technische en financiële data van het park kunnen geanalyseerd worden.

Een nieuwe factor is het ‘Synergy Percentage’. Met dit % wordt aangegeven in welke

mate de O&M kosten van de Wind Farm kunnen worden gereduceerd door minder

wachttijd t.l.v. de Wind Farm te laten komen (uit publicaties (2005-2012) blijkt dit in die

tijd rond de 30% te zijn) In huidige situaties is er bijvoorbeeld sprake van 40-50%

tijdverlies door; transitkosten, slechte afstemming, wachttijden, dus een

synergievoordeel van 10% zou al een hele verbetering zijn!

Resultaat: berekenen van revenuen, system cost-effectiveness, market value, return of

investment én grafieken waarin dit wordt weergegeven.

Ref.: verschillende Blauwdruk afstemmeetings.

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LCA Data per Life Cycle Year Period

Asset LCM

Model

(AMICO2)

Operational

Utilization

Model

LCA

Business

Model

Logistics/

Maintenance

Model

Operational

Environment

Model

START ENDLIFE CYCLE

Quick LCA:

- YS Excel Sheets

Detailed LCA:

- LCC Matrix

- LCM Baseline Sheets

- Risk Matrix & Register

- Environmental Impact Sheets

- ………

D-LCA

Operational Environment Impact

Factor per Installation/Component

(PM)

- Temperature load factor

- Humidity load factor

- Dust/Salt/Chemical load factor

- Terrain/Sea/Sky load factor

- ……..

Q-LCA

- Return of Investment

- Value of Performance

- Asset Market Value

- Total Cost of Ownership

- System Cost-Effectiveness

- (most likely, max. and min. result):

- Trend Indication of External Factors

D-LCA:

- Environmental Impact

- ………….

D-LCA Operational Utilization

Impact Factor per

Installation/Component (PM)

- Duration load factor

- Peak load factor

- Usage load factor

- Enforce load factor

- ………Year Periods ≤ 1 Year:

Q&D-LCA, per Installation:

- Period

- Total Cost (k€)

- Active Time (days)

- Availability (%)

- Reliability (%)

- Capability (%)

D-LCA, per Activity:

- Actor Spec’s

- Product Sort

- Labor Cost

- Material Cost

- Other Cost

Q&D-LCA per Period:

- Cost

- System Effectiveness

- Cost Drivers

- Performance Killers

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Context Diagram

1.000x50.000

Wind Fish Farm

Asset Owner

Asset Manager

Service ProvidersMussel Unload

factoring

LCM Team System of Interest External Systems

North Sea

Environment(s)

Power Distribution

from Shore

Energy Demand from

Company

Financial

Environment

Technical

EnvironmentEco System

Climate

System

Law &

Regulators

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1.000x50.000 Wind Fish Farm

Wind

Turbines

Foundations

Electrical Grid and

Distribution System

Installations

Wind Farm

Long Lines

Mussel

Socks

Mussel Farm

End Piles

Operations & Maintenance

System

MaintenanceCondition

Monitoring

Power

Distribution

Onshore

Transport System

VesselsMussel

Harvest &

TransportCable to

Shore

Mussel Unload

Factoring &

Distribution

Meteo &

Nautical Navigation

System

System Identification Diagram

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CASE: 1.000x50.000 Cash Flow Farm

• 200 MW Wind Turbine Clusters

• 12.500 ton Mussel Farming Clusters

• Electrical Grid & Distribution System

• Shipping Lanes

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Wind Fish Farm Outline

32 km

14 k

m

The WFF exists of:

5 wind clusters of 10x4 km each, with 40x5 MW wind turbines

4 fish clusters of 10x4 km each, with 40x15x3=1.800 mussel long line systems

4 main shipping lanes of 1 km wide.

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Wind Farm including Auxiliary Systems 5 x 40 5MW

Wind Turbine

Incl. Foundation

~ 5 x 50 km

Wind Farm Grid

Subsea Cable

1x Wind Farm

Sub Station

4 x Wind Farm

Meteorological and

Navigation Mast

10 km

4km

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Mussel Farm Cluster OutlineThe Mussel Farm Cluster exists of:

• 1.800 mussel long line systems of 100m and placed in lines of 4 km

• 150 m minimum wide shipping lanes between the long lines

• 8-15 tons production of mussel per system per year

• 12.000-25.000 tons production per cluster per year

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Transport System

Offshore Wind and Fish Farming Support Ship

(capable to operate in 3 meters significant wave height)

Main Dimensions Symbol Value Unit

Length Lpp 66.69 m

Length over all LOA 70.00 m

Molded breadth B 13.20 m

Least molded depth D 6.00 m

Mean operating draught T 3.44 m

Displacement Δ 2365 m3

Block coefficient Cb 0.78 -

Deck load: 12x20 ft. containers (Tools & Spares)

Accommodation: 50 persons.

The accommodation is applied with as much as

possible double cabins to improve the comfort

when the accommodation is not completely filled.

Dimensioning of the accommodation is guided by

the SBM accommodation standard and the NMD

and ILO C133 code. At least it should comply with

SOLAS.

Cargo (fish/mussel) Hold: 600 ton

Estimations: CAPEX: 20-30 M€, OPEX: 2,5 M€

Motion Compensated Crane

Boom length 26.0m

Operating luff angle 60°

Max motion compensated lift 3 t @ all

Max non-motion compensated lift 13t @ 13m

Overall Mass 22 t

Installed Power pack 2*200 kW

Construction Aluminum/Steel

Wilco Stavenuiter, 2009

CARGO HOLD

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Mussel Harvest Subsystem (to be developed)Estimated Cost (price level 2013) CAPEX (10 yr. depr.) OPEX (anual)

Special equipment used in combination with MC Crane € 350.000,- € 30.000,-

Some examples of existing systems

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Tooling and Spars Container Support System 18x20 ft.

Estimated Cost (price level 2013) CAPEX (10 yr. depr.) OPEX (anual)

Special equipped Tooling & Spares Container € 20.000,- € 1.000,-

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Subsea Power Cable Subsystem References

http://www.nationalgrid.com/NR/rdonlyres/62196427-C4E4-483E-A43E-85ED4E9C0F65/39230/ODISAppendicesFinal_0110.pdf

Date: 2009

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Operations & Maintenance Mgt System

The O&M Management System and - Process will be defined and estimated as part of the Year Scenarios.

The OPEX (including the depreciation on CAPEX) is estimated on 10 to 20 m€ per year, depending on the O&M strategy.

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Modeling System of Systems

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Modeling the Systems Structure

Function Diagram

Product/

actor

Allow

Product/Actor

connections to

Mgt & Control

functions

Mgt &

Control

IF

Mgt & Control

Functions

connected to

Systems do not

have an IF!

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Modeling the Installation Block Diagrams

Installation Diagram

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Modeling the Activity Diagrams

N.a. for Quick LCA!

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LCM Year Plan

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LCA Model Sheets

• Wind Farm Analysis & Control

• Year Scenarios

• Life Cycle Data Wind Farm

• Life Cycle Data Long Lines

• WPSP

• MSP

• SE Calculation

• LCA Portal Design Concept

• LCA Portal Design Planning 2013

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Wind Farm Analysis & Control

Aqua & Wind Farm Synergy:

Combines the O&M Cost (Wind + Mussel Farm) and subtracts the Mussel Profits in order to achieve

Wind Farm O&M Cost reduction.

Fixed Calculations:

Makes the variables fixed to their average value over the Life Cycle. Variables are

MCF,OEF,WPSP,MSP,CMA,WPI.

CMCI:

Corrective Maintenance Clearance Index

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Wind Farm Analysis & Control

Price Elasticity (Wind Farm & Fish Farm)

Price Elasticity simulates the uncertainty of the sales price development over the Life Cycle, can

be adjusted individually for Wind Sales Price and Mussel Sales Price.

Select Multi Year Maintenance (Wind Farm & Fish Farm)

The MYM (Multi Year Maintenance) is the Maintenance Period in years, where in the last year a

Retrofit & Overhaul will be done. The Retrofit & Overhaul resets the SY (System Effectiveness) to

100%.

Synergy Factor

The factor at which within the O&M Offshore Wind budget, Mussel Farming activities can be done

by combining both the O&M Strategies.

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Analysis by:

• System Cost Effectiveness Charts

• Total O&M Cost en Synergy Benefits overview

Overview Synergy Benefits by:

• Revenues

• Market Values

• Profit’s

• Capital Loan

• Asset Control Overview

Wind Farm Analysis & Control

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Year Scenarios

System Declining Factor: Declining of the MTBF for increasing chance of Failure

Active Time: The required Active Time excluding planned maintenance

Operation Time: The period that the Wind Farm is active between Planned Maintenance

Mean Malfunction over one year: Average Wind Turbines\ Long Lines in malfunction per year.

Maintenance Surveys: Number of planned Maintenance Surveys

Mean Time Between Failure: Average Time between failures

Mean Time To Repair: Average time to repair a failure

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Year Scenarios

Operations:

Plan, Direct & Control Power Production

Life Cycle Management:

Plan, Direct & Control Maintenance Activities

Improvement O&M:

Modification & Refitting for improving Cost-Effectiveness

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Year Scenarios

Inspective Maintenance:

Calendar Based Surveys

Preventive Maintenance:

Calendar / Condition Based Maintenance

Corrective Maintenance:

Planned / Unplanned Repairs (Non-Critical / Critical)

Improvement O&M:

Modification & Refitting for improving Cost-Effectiveness

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LCA Model Sheets

• Wind Farm Analysis & Control

• Year Scenarios

• Life Cycle Data Wind Farm

• Life Cycle Data Long Lines

• WPSP

• MSP

• SE Calculation

• LCA Portal Design Concept

• LCA Portal Design Planning 2013

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Sales Prices over the Life Cycle

With Sales Price tab the Price Elasticity can be defined:

• Trend Progression: Yr(A+1)=A+(a*sin(qx) + b*x + c)*(1-d(ASELECT-0,5))

• D = Price Elasticity:

• 0 = Sales Price are predictable and have constant inflation.

• 10 = Sales Price are unpredictable and market crash can occur.

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Life Cycle Data

Installation Declining Factor = Installation & Subsystem Degradation per Year

Preventive Maintenance Factor = % PM of Total Maintenance Cost

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Life Cycle Data

MCF: Management Control Factor

OEF: Operation Excellence Factor

WPSP: Wind Power Sales Price (Sales price (€) for Asset Owner per MW/h)

Corrective Maintenance Aselect (prorated failure probability factor)

Wind Power Index (prorated failure probability factor)

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Life Cycle Data

OP: Operation Time = AT/times Inspective Maintenance Surveys

MTBF: Mean Time Between Failure = MTBF=MTBF(last)*(1-(IDF+0,025*(1-PMF/0,5))*1/MCF)

MTTR: Mean Time To Repair = Set in Year Scenario

Av: Availability = Per Installation (MTBF-MTTR)/MTBF

Re: Reliability = e^- OP/MTBF/365

Cap: Capability = 100% by default

SE; System Effectiveness = f(Av,Re,Cap)

FYC: Farm Yield Coefficient = FYC= FYC(bl)*SE(actual)*WPI(actual)

URD: Use Related Degradation = F(URD)=1-(0,5-0,5*RDP/IDP)*CPY(act)/CPY(baseline)

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Life Cycle DataLife Cycle Financial Data including:

• Life Cycle Management Cost

• Operations Cost

• Improvement O&M Cost

• Inspective Maintenance Cost

• Preventive Maintenance Cost

• Corrective Maintenance Cost

• Capital Cost

• Synergy Cost

O&M Discipline Cost:

As defined In Year Scenario (including inflation rate)

Capital Cost:

Capital Loan * Interest Rate

Synergy Cost:

O&M Offshore Wind Cost – Synergy Factor

Synergy Factor = The factor[%] that Mussel Farming activities can

take place within O&M Offshore Wind budget[€] by reducing waiting

times.

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Life Cycle Data

Life Cycle Down & Uptime:

Failure Rate = 1/MTBF

Failure Rate / Installation = Failure Rate * Nr. Of Installations per System

Failure Rate / WT = Failure Rate / Installation * Nr of Installations per Cluster

Downtime Days / Year = Failure Rate / Installation * MTTR

Wind in Malfunction = (Downtime Days / Year) / 365

Uptime = (Nr of Inst. per Cluster – (Downtime Days per Year – 365))/ Nr of Inst. per Cluster

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Life Cycle DataLife Cycle Results:

• Wind Power Production

• Cumulative Power Yield

• Wind Power Revenues

• Cumulative Power Revenues

• Profit

• Capital Loan

• Private Equity

• System Cost Effectiveness

• Market Value

• Return of Investment

• ROI Average Interest Rate

Results can be analysed in the Wind Farm Analysis &

Control tab

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Appendix I - Charts

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Appendix I - Charts

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Appendix I - Charts

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Appendix I - Charts

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LCA Portal Design Concept

Trend Settings

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LCA Portal Design Concept

Information Maintenance Plans

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LCA Portal Design Concept

e.g. an Asset Analysis Page