03 12 Market Update [Sf] Az Phoenix 85086

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    MARKET UPDATEKelli Grant Realty Group

    Current Real Estate Market Conditions for Single Family Homes

    Trends in Pricing Current Levels of Supply and Demand Value Metrics

    Report for the week of

    March 12, 2012

    Presented by Kelli Grant Group Moving People Through Good DeedsPlatinum Premier [email protected](623) 239-4402

    PHOENIX, AZ 850

    Powered by Altos Research LLC | www.altosresearch.com | Copyright 2005-2010 Altos Research LLC

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    Median List Price

    Median Lot Size

    24.2

    Percent Relisted (reset DOM)

    1862

    2.0

    7 %

    Median Number of Bathrooms

    124

    Inventory of Properties Listed

    $ 87

    Percent Flip (price increased)

    2.5 - 5.0 acres

    Median House Size (sq ft)

    $ 155,000

    28 %

    3.0

    Market Action Index

    Median Number of Bedrooms

    Asking Price Per Square Foot

    n/a

    Percent of Properties with Price Decrease

    Buyer's Advantage

    +

    +

    +

    Altos Research Value Statistics

    Most Expensive Listing

    Average Days on Market (DoM)

    ottom/Fourth

    Lower/Third

    Upper/Second

    Top/First

    This WeekReal-Time Market Profile Trend

    The Market Action Index answers the question "How's the Market?" by measuringthe current rate of sale versus the amount of the inventory. Index above 30implies a seller's advantage. Below 30, conditions give the advantage to thebuyer.

    Supply and Demand

    Characteristics per Quartile

    19 723266

    1112.0 28

    3.0

    109

    115

    3.0 828

    104

    118

    123

    2.5 - 5.0acres

    40

    $ 119,000

    76

    75

    829

    3.0

    not available

    962.0

    1340 not available

    828

    $ 58,200

    3.0

    167

    2.5 - 5.0acres$ 219,895

    4.0$ 484,950

    18

    123

    2082

    The Market Action Index has beentrending down recently, but as days-on-market decreases also, there arenot strong signals for the direction ofthe market.

    Monday March 12, 2012

    Kelli Grant Group | www.PhoenixHomeResource.com

    828

    1585

    2.0

    The median list price in PHOENIX, AZthis week is $155,000. The 3313

    properties have been on the marketfor an average of 124 days.

    Most expensive 25% of properties

    Upper-middle 25% of properties

    Lower-middle 25% of properties

    Least expensive 25% of properties

    Quartile Median Price Lot Size Beds Baths Age Inventory New Absorbed DOMSq. Ft.

    No change

    Strong upward trend Strong downward trend

    Slight upward trend Slight downward trend+

    ==

    =

    PHOENIX,

    City Overview

    Least Expensive Listing

    Average List Price

    Average Age of Listing

    3313

    $ 8,990,000

    $ 12,900

    $ 275,514

    30

    Trend Key:

    The market has shown someevidence of slowing recently. Bothprices and inventory levels arerelatively unchanged in recentweeks. Watch the Market ActionIndex for changes as it can be aleading indicator for price changes.

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    Single Family Home

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    Kelli Grant Group | www.PhoenixHomeResource.com

    City OverviewPHOENIX,

    Monday March 12, 2012

    Median PriceDespite this week's up tic, the market seems to have paused around this plateau. The Market Action Index is a good leadingindicator for the durability of this shift.

    90-day Average7-day Average

    Quartile PricesPrices have settled at a price plateau across the board. Prices in all four quartiles are basically mixed. Look for a persistent shift(up or down) in the Market Action Index before prices move from these current levels.

    First/Top Second/Upper Third/Lower Fourth/Bottom

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    Single Family Hom

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    Kelli Grant Group | www.PhoenixHomeResource.com

    City OverviewPHOENIX,

    Monday March 12, 2012

    Price per Square FootThe market plateau is seen across the price and value. The price per square foot and median list price have both beenreasonably stagnant. Watch the Market Action Index for persistent changes as a leading indicator before the market moves fromthese levels.

    90-day Average7-day Average

    Inventory of Properties Listed for Sale

    Inventory has been relatively steady around these levels in recent weeks.

    90-day Average7-day Average

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    Single Family Hom

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    Kelli Grant Group | www.PhoenixHomeResource.com

    City OverviewPHOENIX,

    Monday March 12, 2012

    Market Action IndexThe PHOENIX market is currently in the Buyer's Advantgae zone (below 30), though not strongly so. The 90-day Market ActionIndex stands this week at 24.25 so buyers should expect to find reasonable levels of selection.

    Buyers/Sellers Cutoff90-day Average

    Market Action Index per QuartileThree of the four quartiles of the market are in the Buyer's Market zone with several months of inventory given the current rateof demand for homes in the quartile. Notice that Quartile 1 (the highest price group) is showing stronger demand than theothers. Current supply/demand levels identify Quartile 1 as a Seller's market as buyers seem to be placing emphasis on the

    premium homes.

    First/Top Second/Upper Third/Lower Fourth/Bottom

    Buyers/Sellers Cutoff

    Residential house prices are a function of supply and demand, and market conditions can be characterizedby analyzing those factors. Watch this index for sustained changes: if the index falls into the BuyersAdvantage zone (below 30) for a long period, prices are likely in for a downward correction.

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    Single Family Hom

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    Kelli Grant Group | www.PhoenixHomeResource.com

    City OverviewPHOENIX,

    Monday March 12, 2012

    Days on MarketThe properties have been on the market for an average of 124 days. Half of the listings have come newly on the market in thepast 77 or so days.

    90-day Average7-day Average

    Days on Market per QuartileIt is not uncommon for the higher priced homes in an area to take longer to sell than those in the lower quartiles.

    First/Top Second/Upper Third/Lower Fourth/Bottom

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    Single Family Hom

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    Median List Price

    Median Lot Size

    19.0

    Percent Relisted (reset DOM)

    2647

    2.0

    7 %

    Median Number of Bathrooms

    127

    Inventory of Properties Listed

    $ 101

    Percent Flip (price increased)

    2.5 - 5.0 acres

    Median House Size (sq ft)

    $ 272,000

    42 %

    4.0

    Market Action Index

    Median Number of Bedrooms

    Asking Price Per Square Foot

    n/a

    Percent of Properties with Price Decrease

    Strong Buyer's

    +

    +

    Altos Research Value Statistics

    Most Expensive Listing

    Average Days on Market (DoM)

    ottom/Fourth

    Lower/Third

    Upper/Second

    Top/First

    This WeekReal-Time Market Profile Trend

    The Market Action Index answers the question "How's the Market?" by measuringthe current rate of sale versus the amount of the inventory. Index above 30implies a seller's advantage. Below 30, conditions give the advantage to thebuyer.

    Supply and Demand

    Characteristics per Quartile

    8 83640

    1142.0 10

    3.0

    10

    119

    4.0 76

    121

    10

    10

    20+ acres

    9

    $ 229,900

    8

    2

    76

    3.0

    1.0 - 2.5acres

    83.0

    1850 not available

    75

    $ 154,950

    4.0

    155

    not available$ 315,000

    4.0$ 450,000

    9

    6

    2793

    Inventory is tightening and days-on-market is falling. But demand asmeasured by the Market Action Indexis also trending down. The market isnot giving strong up or down signalsfrom these data.

    Monday March 12, 2012

    Kelli Grant Group | www.PhoenixHomeResource.com

    75

    2359

    2.0

    The median list price in PHOENIX, AZ85086 this week is $272,000. The 302

    properties have been on the marketfor an average of 127 days.

    Most expensive 25% of properties

    Upper-middle 25% of properties

    Lower-middle 25% of properties

    Least expensive 25% of properties

    Quartile Median Price Lot Size Beds Baths Age Inventory New Absorbed DOMSq. Ft.

    No change

    Strong upward trend Strong downward trend

    Slight upward trend Slight downward trend+

    ==

    =

    PHOENIX, AZ 850

    Neighborhood Detail

    Least Expensive Listing

    Average List Price

    Average Age of Listing

    302

    $ 2,700,000

    $ 36,000

    $ 308,670

    10

    Trend Key:

    The market has shown someevidence of slowing recently. Bothprices and inventory levels arerelatively unchanged in recentweeks. Watch the Market ActionIndex for changes as it can be aleading indicator for price changes.

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    Single Family Home

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    Kelli Grant Group | www.PhoenixHomeResource.com

    Neighborhood DetailPHOENIX, AZ 850

    Monday March 12, 2012

    Median PriceRecently prices in this zip have settled at a plateau even though they dipped this week. Look for a persistent up-shift in theMarket Action Index before we see prices significantly move from these levels.

    90-day Average7-day Average

    Quartile PricesIn the quartile market segments, we see prices in this zip code have settled at a price plateau across the board. Prices in allfour quartiles are basically mixed. Look for a persistent shift (up or down) in the Market Action Index before prices move fromthese current levels.

    First/Top Second/Upper Third/Lower Fourth/Bottom

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    Single Family Hom

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    Kelli Grant Group | www.PhoenixHomeResource.com

    Neighborhood DetailPHOENIX, AZ 850

    Monday March 12, 2012

    Price per Square FootThe market plateau is seen across the price and value. The price per square foot and median list price have both beenreasonably stagnant. Watch the Market Action Index for persistent changes as a leading indicator before the market moves fromthese levels.

    90-day Average7-day Average

    Inventory of Properties Listed for Sale

    Inventory has been falling in recent weeks. Note that declining inventory alone does not signal a strengthening market. Look tothe Market Action Index and Days on Market trends to gauge whether buyer interest is changing with the available supply.

    90-day Average7-day Average

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    Single Family Hom

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    Kelli Grant Group | www.PhoenixHomeResource.com

    Neighborhood DetailPHOENIX, AZ 850

    Monday March 12, 2012

    Market Action IndexThe PHOENIX, 85086 market is currently quite strongly in the Buyer's Advantage zone (below 30). The 90-day Market ActionIndex stands at 19.04. With several months of inventory available at the current sales rate, buyers should find ample choice.

    Buyers/Sellers Cutoff90-day Average

    Market Action Index per QuartileNot surprisingly, all quartiles are in the Buyer's Market zone with several months of inventory given the current levels ofdemand. Watch the quartiles for changes before the overall market shifts.

    First/Top Second/Upper Third/Lower Fourth/Bottom

    Buyers/Sellers Cutoff

    Residential house prices are a function of supply and demand, and market conditions can be characterizedby analyzing those factors. Watch this index for sustained changes: if the index falls into the BuyersAdvantage zone (below 30) for a long period, prices are likely in for a downward correction.

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    Single Family Hom

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    Kelli Grant Group | www.PhoenixHomeResource.com

    Neighborhood DetailPHOENIX, AZ 850

    Monday March 12 2012

    Days on MarketThe properties have been on the market for an average of 127 days. Half of the listings have come newly on the market in thepast 84 or so days.

    90-day Average7-day Average

    Days on Market per QuartileIt is not uncommon for the higher priced homes in an area to take longer to sell than those in the lower quartiles.

    First/Top Second/Upper Third/Lower Fourth/Bottom

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    Single Family Hom