Yuri van Geest

The best vision on the future is

peripheral vision

Accelerating Technologies

Al Robotics Biotech Nanotech Medicine Neuroscience Energy Computing

Exponential Technologies

Declining Costs Increasing Capabilities

Audi RS 7 - Autonomous Car

Reconstruction of brain activity and dreams

Google & NASA - Quantum Computing

The D-Wave 2X quantum computer is 100 million times faster than a conventional computer with a proof-of-concept optimization problem. Leaps in Big Data and AI.

NANO-MEMS (chips)& PAYMENTS GATX

Platforms e.g.:

Graphene-based semiconductor

MEMS, NEMS, GPU’s

LED Technologies

Body Scan

Plant-based technologies

from WiFi to LiFi, wireless comm. by light

Hydrogen Technology

Energy Storage

Quantum Computing

World Data Base

Solar Panels & Solar Nanocoatings

LiFi Platform-of-platform

light-based technologies

“Light, the essence of communication in the Universe”

Female of Lampyris noctiluca,

the Common Glowworm beetle The fungus Panellus stipticus Bobtail squid,

Euprymna berryi

Firefly

Antarctic krill, Euphausia superba

Every organism emits light ( bioluminescence) , which is unique

in wavelength, duration, timing and rhythms (information & communication)

“The human body literally glimmers”

The light intensity emitted by

the body is 1000 times lower

than the sensitivity of our

naked eyes.

“The average half life of a business competency has dropped from 30 years in

1984 to 5 years today”

“89% of the Fortune 500 companies from 1955

are not on the list today”

“The average lifespan of an S&P 500 company has decreased from: 67 years (1920’s) to

15 years (today)”

“In the next 10 years 40% of all S&P 500

companies will disappear from

this list”

Market Cap to a Billion

Why are there ExOs?

Linear > Exponential

Scarcity > Abundance

Time to scale the organization

Source: McKinsey 7S model

What are ExOs?

An Exponential Organization (ExO) is one whose impact (or output) is disproportionally large — at least 10x larger — compared to its peers because of the use of new organizational techniques that leverage exponential technologies.

Definition

Software is eating the world, in all sectors In the future every company will become a software company

Marc Andreessen founder of Netscape, renowned Venture Capitalist Andreessen-Horowitz

Estimated Share of Capex by Industry

Source: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

Attributes

MTP

Attributes

The Massive Transformative Purpose (MTP) is the higher, aspirational purpose of the organization, capturing the hearts and minds of those both inside and (especially) outside of the organization.

Selecting an MTP

“Organize the world’s information”

“Ideas worth spreading”

Attributes

Most ExOs are attracting and leveraging their community or the general public to scale. The crowd can be leveraged by harnessing creativity, innovation, validation and even funding.

Community & Crowd

Community & Crowd

Attributes

Attributes

As the world turns into data and information, ExOs are leveraging Algorithms, including Machine Learning and Deep Learning to get new insights about their customers and products.

Algorithms

Attributes

ExOs use the Lean Startup & Design Thinking methodology and other techniques inside different organizational departments to constantly experiment with new ideas and processes, culturally enabling risk-taking and failure. Processes are constantly being tweaked with fast feedback loops.

Experimentation

Linear vs Exponential

Strategy based on extrapolation from past

(5-year plans)

Strategy based on MTP and customer insights

Linear vs Exponential

Linear, sequential thinking

Experimentation and feedback loops

Linear vs Exponential

Process inflexibility and risk intolerance

Flexibility and smart failure celebration

MTP

Staff on Demand Interfaces

Community & Crowd Dashboards

Algorithms Experimentation

Leveraged Assets Autonomy

Engagement Social

GitHub - GitHub is an open source code and collaboration community with 6.5 million members, 14.2 million repositories and market cap of $7B. Key differentiator: technical infrastructure of the internet as organizational design

Best ExOs

MTP

Staff on Demand Interfaces

Community & Crowd Dashboards

Algorithms Experimentation

Leveraged Assets Autonomy

Engagement Social

Haier - Chinese appliance maker with 80,000 employees organized in 2005 in 2,000 self-managed units with decision-making authority (Autonomy). Market cap grew from $20B to $60B today in the last 3 years.

Corporate Example

How to create ExOs?

Strategies for Corporates

Yuri van Geest Co-Author Exponential Organizations

+31 6 113 19 290 @vangeest

Yuri.vangeest@singularityu.org

www.exponentialorgs.com