De toekomst van de stad - Home | FHI, federatie van … · 2017. 11. 6. · Zef Hemel,...

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De toekomst van de stad Zef Hemel, Wibautleerstoel UvA @ZefHemel, www.zefhemel.nl

Transcript of De toekomst van de stad - Home | FHI, federatie van … · 2017. 11. 6. · Zef Hemel,...

  • De toekomst van de stadZef Hemel, Wibautleerstoel UvA

    @ZefHemel, www.zefhemel.nl

  • https://www.google.nl/url?sa=i&rct=j&q=&esrc=s&source=images&cd=&cad=rja&uact=8&ved=0ahUKEwjMmNTC1_7WAhXRLFAKHYbOAIIQjRwIBw&url=https://www.nasa.gov/multimedia/imagegallery/image_feature_924.html&psig=AOvVaw1MLcJ7ZYYrUz4lraXrmqpl&ust=1508571058996217https://www.google.nl/url?sa=i&rct=j&q=&esrc=s&source=images&cd=&cad=rja&uact=8&ved=0ahUKEwjMmNTC1_7WAhXRLFAKHYbOAIIQjRwIBw&url=https://www.nasa.gov/multimedia/imagegallery/image_feature_924.html&psig=AOvVaw1MLcJ7ZYYrUz4lraXrmqpl&ust=1508571058996217

  • https://www.google.nl/url?sa=i&rct=j&q=&esrc=s&source=images&cd=&cad=rja&uact=8&ved=0ahUKEwjZpJ2i2f7WAhVNI1AKHdZkDFwQjRwIBw&url=https://www.pinterest.com/makihe1893/places-to-visit/&psig=AOvVaw3X5n6n8pkD2SyOlLDqne81&ust=1508571587102613https://www.google.nl/url?sa=i&rct=j&q=&esrc=s&source=images&cd=&cad=rja&uact=8&ved=0ahUKEwjZpJ2i2f7WAhVNI1AKHdZkDFwQjRwIBw&url=https://www.pinterest.com/makihe1893/places-to-visit/&psig=AOvVaw3X5n6n8pkD2SyOlLDqne81&ust=1508571587102613

  • https://www.tes.com/lessons/GPHui1BSbLLotw/population-human-needs-lessonhttps://www.tes.com/lessons/GPHui1BSbLLotw/population-human-needs-lesson

  • https://www.google.nl/url?sa=i&rct=j&q=&esrc=s&source=images&cd=&cad=rja&uact=8&ved=0ahUKEwiUhYz52_7WAhWQZVAKHZ4dDF4QjRwIBw&url=https://www.slideshare.net/wright0405/geoffrey-west-predictive-science-of-cities-speed-february-2012atlas-iedc-sanantoniogeoffreywestslides&psig=AOvVaw3qn43aBHdB7TaqrUmNceNa&ust=1508572297025183https://www.google.nl/url?sa=i&rct=j&q=&esrc=s&source=images&cd=&cad=rja&uact=8&ved=0ahUKEwiUhYz52_7WAhWQZVAKHZ4dDF4QjRwIBw&url=https://www.slideshare.net/wright0405/geoffrey-west-predictive-science-of-cities-speed-february-2012atlas-iedc-sanantoniogeoffreywestslides&psig=AOvVaw3qn43aBHdB7TaqrUmNceNa&ust=1508572297025183

  • https://www.google.nl/url?sa=i&rct=j&q=&esrc=s&source=images&cd=&cad=rja&uact=8&ved=0ahUKEwibpZOR2_7WAhUCLlAKHX59AV0QjRwIBw&url=https://www.penguinrandomhouse.com/books/314049/scale-by-geoffrey-west/9781594205583/&psig=AOvVaw2jwgPlcSlMfn60-xh0NK4h&ust=1508572086437356https://www.google.nl/url?sa=i&rct=j&q=&esrc=s&source=images&cd=&cad=rja&uact=8&ved=0ahUKEwibpZOR2_7WAhUCLlAKHX59AV0QjRwIBw&url=https://www.penguinrandomhouse.com/books/314049/scale-by-geoffrey-west/9781594205583/&psig=AOvVaw2jwgPlcSlMfn60-xh0NK4h&ust=1508572086437356

  • https://www.google.nl/url?sa=i&rct=j&q=&esrc=s&source=images&cd=&cad=rja&uact=8&ved=0ahUKEwivxtuF2v7WAhVFU1AKHUXTCksQjRwIBw&url=https://medium.com/sidewalk-talk/innovation-cities-and-the-optimistic-case-for-economic-growth-in-the-digital-age-3e76a7e0eea6&psig=AOvVaw3WtBE4QrJcmX1Q6XDuiVIK&ust=1508571707209124https://www.google.nl/url?sa=i&rct=j&q=&esrc=s&source=images&cd=&cad=rja&uact=8&ved=0ahUKEwivxtuF2v7WAhVFU1AKHUXTCksQjRwIBw&url=https://medium.com/sidewalk-talk/innovation-cities-and-the-optimistic-case-for-economic-growth-in-the-digital-age-3e76a7e0eea6&psig=AOvVaw3WtBE4QrJcmX1Q6XDuiVIK&ust=1508571707209124

  • Successive cycles of superlinear innovation reset the singularity and postpone instability and subsequent collapse. (a) Schematic representation: vertical dashed lines indicate the sequence of potential singularities. Eq. 4, with N ≈106, predicts tc in decades. (b) The relative population growth rate of New York City over time reveals periods of accelerated (superexponential) growth. Successive shorter periods of super exponential growth appear, separated by brief periods of deceleration. (Inset) tc for each of these periods vs. population at the onset of the cycle. Observations are well fit by Eq. 4, with β = 1.09 (green line).

  • https://www.google.nl/url?sa=i&rct=j&q=&esrc=s&source=images&cd=&cad=rja&uact=8&ved=0ahUKEwistOP18P7WAhXQZlAKHS46ACsQjRwIBw&url=https://beyondgrowth.co.uk/problems/limits/&psig=AOvVaw3Ung8PvK255F2raVxhkyZo&ust=1508577927426650https://www.google.nl/url?sa=i&rct=j&q=&esrc=s&source=images&cd=&cad=rja&uact=8&ved=0ahUKEwistOP18P7WAhXQZlAKHS46ACsQjRwIBw&url=https://beyondgrowth.co.uk/problems/limits/&psig=AOvVaw3Ung8PvK255F2raVxhkyZo&ust=1508577927426650

  • https://www.google.nl/url?sa=i&rct=j&q=&esrc=s&source=images&cd=&cad=rja&uact=8&ved=0ahUKEwi8-_OY5f7WAhWKLFAKHTs9CWIQjRwIBw&url=https://www.youtube.com/watch?v%3DrpeQquYo2v8&psig=AOvVaw1xNSspkvK7NUXiK3YlR7mh&ust=1508574784817779https://www.google.nl/url?sa=i&rct=j&q=&esrc=s&source=images&cd=&cad=rja&uact=8&ved=0ahUKEwi8-_OY5f7WAhWKLFAKHTs9CWIQjRwIBw&url=https://www.youtube.com/watch?v%3DrpeQquYo2v8&psig=AOvVaw1xNSspkvK7NUXiK3YlR7mh&ust=1508574784817779

  • https://www.google.nl/url?sa=i&rct=j&q=&esrc=s&source=images&cd=&cad=rja&uact=8&ved=0ahUKEwjDvPqS1ZrXAhWJrRoKHRhlDJoQjRwIBw&url=https://www.amazon.com/Lifeboat-Cities-Making-New-World/dp/1742231241&psig=AOvVaw2qkxuIMetYqkpJm-P1H1zH&ust=1509532558553408https://www.google.nl/url?sa=i&rct=j&q=&esrc=s&source=images&cd=&cad=rja&uact=8&ved=0ahUKEwjDvPqS1ZrXAhWJrRoKHRhlDJoQjRwIBw&url=https://www.amazon.com/Lifeboat-Cities-Making-New-World/dp/1742231241&psig=AOvVaw2qkxuIMetYqkpJm-P1H1zH&ust=1509532558553408

  • https://www.google.nl/url?sa=i&rct=j&q=&esrc=s&source=images&cd=&cad=rja&uact=8&ved=0ahUKEwjVmoTI3f7WAhVOJFAKHS9FD00QjRwIBw&url=https://www.slideshare.net/andrefaria/antifragile-16611267&psig=AOvVaw1x2Nz-l4In2hmvR-OV4SSW&ust=1508572742488233https://www.google.nl/url?sa=i&rct=j&q=&esrc=s&source=images&cd=&cad=rja&uact=8&ved=0ahUKEwjVmoTI3f7WAhVOJFAKHS9FD00QjRwIBw&url=https://www.slideshare.net/andrefaria/antifragile-16611267&psig=AOvVaw1x2Nz-l4In2hmvR-OV4SSW&ust=1508572742488233

  • https://www.google.nl/url?sa=i&rct=j&q=&esrc=s&source=images&cd=&cad=rja&uact=8&ved=0ahUKEwiC-O3d3f7WAhVCIlAKHdoICE4QjRwIBw&url=https://developers.redhat.com/blog/2016/07/20/from-fragile-to-antifragile-software/&psig=AOvVaw1x2Nz-l4In2hmvR-OV4SSW&ust=1508572742488233https://www.google.nl/url?sa=i&rct=j&q=&esrc=s&source=images&cd=&cad=rja&uact=8&ved=0ahUKEwiC-O3d3f7WAhVCIlAKHdoICE4QjRwIBw&url=https://developers.redhat.com/blog/2016/07/20/from-fragile-to-antifragile-software/&psig=AOvVaw1x2Nz-l4In2hmvR-OV4SSW&ust=1508572742488233

  • http://www.google.nl/url?sa=i&rct=j&q=&esrc=s&source=images&cd=&cad=rja&uact=8&ved=0ahUKEwjRsoqI3v7WAhXFbVAKHZiJCV0QjRwIBw&url=http://www.mcssl.com/mail/view/67D865E434104115A49A13E22C3CBE88&psig=AOvVaw1x2Nz-l4In2hmvR-OV4SSW&ust=1508572742488233http://www.google.nl/url?sa=i&rct=j&q=&esrc=s&source=images&cd=&cad=rja&uact=8&ved=0ahUKEwjRsoqI3v7WAhXFbVAKHZiJCV0QjRwIBw&url=http://www.mcssl.com/mail/view/67D865E434104115A49A13E22C3CBE88&psig=AOvVaw1x2Nz-l4In2hmvR-OV4SSW&ust=1508572742488233

  • Mobiliteit in de stad van de toekomst kan verschillende gedaanten aannemen:

    • Sommige particuliere auto’s worden zelfsturend;

    • SDV’s regeren de straten;

    • Robo/taxi’s nemen over;

    • De deelauto-revolutie.

  • http://www.google.nl/url?sa=i&rct=j&q=&esrc=s&source=images&cd=&cad=rja&uact=8&ved=0ahUKEwiA_PyNwaLWAhWPa1AKHc1VCRMQjRwIBw&url=http://www.wiley.com/WileyCDA/WileyTitle/productCd-0745696538.html&psig=AFQjCNHLH6_2-JX9lLE_Jzp1mEao1v6ZCw&ust=1505404005904955http://www.google.nl/url?sa=i&rct=j&q=&esrc=s&source=images&cd=&cad=rja&uact=8&ved=0ahUKEwiA_PyNwaLWAhWPa1AKHc1VCRMQjRwIBw&url=http://www.wiley.com/WileyCDA/WileyTitle/productCd-0745696538.html&psig=AFQjCNHLH6_2-JX9lLE_Jzp1mEao1v6ZCw&ust=1505404005904955

  • A Post-Car System?

    • Shifts in transport policies in cities away from predict and provide;

    • New fuel systems for cars, vans and buses;

    • Smart vehicles;

    • Deprivatise cars through city-wide car sharing;

    • ‘Smart card’ technology to transfer information from car to home, tobus, to train…;

    • New social practices;

  • Toekomstscenario’s voor steden

    • Fast-Mobility City;

    • Digital City;

    • Liveable City

    • Fortress City

  • Fast-Mobility City

    http://www.google.nl/url?sa=i&rct=j&q=&esrc=s&source=images&cd=&cad=rja&uact=8&ved=0ahUKEwjM2Y6Xw-jWAhXRKVAKHZPrDgEQjRwIBw&url=http://architecturalmoleskine.blogspot.com/2011/10/metabolist-movement.html&psig=AOvVaw1lGw_6xx1Pf47jdZTn_atR&ust=1507809716884459http://www.google.nl/url?sa=i&rct=j&q=&esrc=s&source=images&cd=&cad=rja&uact=8&ved=0ahUKEwjM2Y6Xw-jWAhXRKVAKHZPrDgEQjRwIBw&url=http://architecturalmoleskine.blogspot.com/2011/10/metabolist-movement.html&psig=AOvVaw1lGw_6xx1Pf47jdZTn_atR&ust=1507809716884459

  • Digital City

  • Liveable City

    http://www.google.nl/url?sa=i&rct=j&q=&esrc=s&source=images&cd=&cad=rja&uact=8&ved=0ahUKEwjs-qyEtr7PAhVGsxQKHcn-DbYQjRwIBw&url=http://urbantoronto.ca/news/2015/08/toronto-streets-transformed-paved-parks-open-streets&psig=AFQjCNFw4s3R47_YO1S7Meph3wZXmYAjrw&ust=1475576749508494http://www.google.nl/url?sa=i&rct=j&q=&esrc=s&source=images&cd=&cad=rja&uact=8&ved=0ahUKEwjs-qyEtr7PAhVGsxQKHcn-DbYQjRwIBw&url=http://urbantoronto.ca/news/2015/08/toronto-streets-transformed-paved-parks-open-streets&psig=AFQjCNFw4s3R47_YO1S7Meph3wZXmYAjrw&ust=1475576749508494

  • Fortress City

    https://www.google.nl/url?sa=i&rct=j&q=&esrc=s&source=images&cd=&cad=rja&uact=8&ved=0ahUKEwieoPvIwujWAhUSY1AKHZDQAjMQjRwIBw&url=https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/smart-city-kiosks-intelligent-nodes-jon-salisbury&psig=AOvVaw1vpBCBb277l9FB2mfAr7ID&ust=1507809577736661https://www.google.nl/url?sa=i&rct=j&q=&esrc=s&source=images&cd=&cad=rja&uact=8&ved=0ahUKEwieoPvIwujWAhUSY1AKHZDQAjMQjRwIBw&url=https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/smart-city-kiosks-intelligent-nodes-jon-salisbury&psig=AOvVaw1vpBCBb277l9FB2mfAr7ID&ust=1507809577736661