K L I M A A T T O P

LEO VAN BROECK | 2016

BOGDAN & VAN BROECK - KULeuven

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BOGDAN & VAN BROECK

Earth (seen from Mars) | © NASA

BOGDAN & VAN BROECK

Earth (seen from the Moon) | © NASA

BOGDAN & VAN BROECK

Global Warming | © Banksy

BOGDAN & VAN BROECK

Source: South African Weather Service

BOGDAN & VAN BROECK

Planetary boundaries

G E M I D D E L D E O P P E R V L A K T E T E M P E R A T U U R V A N D E A A R D E

BOGDAN & VAN BROECK

Bron: IPCC AR5, data van de HadCRUT4-dataset (black), UK Met O#ce Hadley Centre, de NCDC MLOST-dataset (oranje), US National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, en de NASA GISS-dataset (blue), US National Aeronautic and Space Administration

O P N A M E V A N H E T O C E A A N O P P E R V L A K E N P H - W A A R D E V A N H E T Z E E W A T E R

BOGDAN & VAN BROECK

Bron: aangepast van Dore et al. (2009) and Bates et al. (2012)

BOGDAN & VAN BROECK

NASA Earth Observatory images

BOGDAN & VAN BROECK

Albatros Midway Island Atoll

BOGDAN & VAN BROECK

Deforestation, British Columbia

BOGDAN & VAN BROECK

Greenhouses, Almeria

BOGDAN & VAN BROECK

Industrial Livestock, Brasil

BOGDAN & VAN BROECK

Los Angeles, USA

T H E A N T R O P O C E N E

BOGDAN & VAN BROECK

A new geological epoch characterised by a dominant human activity on Earth

BOGDAN & VAN BROECK

I’m afraid you are infected with humans | artist unknown

L A N D - U S E I S T H E M A I N P R O B L E M

BOGDAN & VAN BROECK

Graphics: Sarah Poot

S P A C E S H I P E A R T H - B U C K M I N S T E R F U L L E R

BOGDAN & VAN BROECK

© Sylvester Vandeweghe

Today Today, if all humans hadWestern consumption patterns

2070?

BOGDAN & VAN BROECK

At western consumption rate, 4 planet earths are needed to accommodate the same level of consumption and waste to a world population of 7 billion. What about 2050?

BOGDAN & VAN BROECK

Source: Geopunt Vlaanderen, 2011

R E C O R D S & P R O B L E M S

• CO2 uitstoot

• % bebouwde oppervlakte

• waterdichte oppervlakte

• mobiliteit:

• uren "le per werknemer

• onmogelijk openbaar vervoer

• auto ongelukken

• thuiszorg

• infrastructuur en overheidsuitgaven :

• km weg per wooneenheid

• km riolering

• km waterleiding

• km gasbuis

• km kabel voor electro, telefoon, data, tv

• glasvezel ???

• aantal politici en ambtenaren per 1000 inwoners

• belastingaftrekbare bedrijfswagens

• hoogste belastingstarieven ter wereld

• energie-intensiteit

• gesubsidieerde versnippering via vaste aansluitingskost

BOGDAN & VAN BROECK

1985

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2014

32%

Residential

% of total Flanders area

Transport and Telecommunications Industries Commercial Recreational Other

E V O L U T I O N O F B U I LT S U R F A C E I N F L A N D E R S

BOGDAN & VAN BROECK

Source: http://statbel.fgov.be, 2011

0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14

Malta 13.27Belgium

Netherlands7.377.33

LiechtensteinGermany

LuxembourgCyprus

DenmarkUnited Kingdom

Czech RepublicHungaryPortugal

ItalyFrance

5.765.07

4.93.623.53

3.343.193.163.10

2.812.77

SwitzerlandPoland

SlovakiaCroatia

LithuaniaAustria

SloveniaBulgaria

SerbiaAverage

RomaniaIreland

SpainGreeceLatvia

Former Yugoslav Rep. of MacedoniaEstoniaTurkey

MontenegroAlbaniaFinland

SwedenNorwayIceland

Bosnia and Herzegovina

2.672.362.35

2.112.001.921.841.841.821.81

1.611.59

1.421.35

1.11

0.870.870.810.77

0.620.51

0.370.200.15

1.09

S E A L E D S U R F A C E S I N E U R O P E

% of total land area

BOGDAN & VAN BROECK

Source: Eurostats, 2012

Human-based activities

30 % 2,8 %

M I N I M U M F L A N D E R S

Human-free space

E V E R Y E C O S Y S T E M N E E D S + / - 3 0 % O F ‘ H U M A N - F R E E ’ S P A C E

BOGDAN & VAN BROECK

Graphics: Sarah Poot

BOGDAN & VAN BROECK

BOGDAN & VAN BROECK

Advertisement for car insurance

Typical wild nature in the Belgian gardens

BOGDAN & VAN BROECK

4

5

31

9

10

34

6

Very unfavourable Moderately favourable Favourable Unknown

H A B I T A T T Y P E S - F A U N A & F L O R A

BOGDAN & VAN BROECK

Source: INBO - Natuurindicatoren, 2013

BOGDAN & VAN BROECK

In Belgium, migrating animals encounter man-made roads every 300m on average, resulting in a death rate of 8 million every year. | Source: Natuurpunt

0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40

New York Co, NY

Kings Co, NY

Bronx Co, NY

San Francisco, CA

Queens Co, NY

Hudson Co, NJ

Philadelphia, PA

Su"olk Co, MA

Richmond Co, NY

Baltimore City, MD

Stockes Co, NC

Miami Co, KS

Davie Co, NC

Isanti Co, MN

Walton Co, NC

Yadkin Co, NC

Goochland Co, VA

Fulton Co, OH

Clinton Co, MI

Geauga Co, OH

Annual tra!c death per 100.000 pop.

A N N U A L T R A F F I C D E A T H R A T E S

Smartest growth

Most sprawled

BOGDAN & VAN BROECK

Source: Ewing, Shieber and Zegeer, 2003