1

Demografie

Inkomen / Economie

Oorlog

Milieu

Trends

2

Exponentiële groei

3

Gro

wth

per

ph

ase

Exponentiële groei

4

Demografie

Wilderdom

5Change of growth rate

Demografie

The Oil Drum

6

Energiebronnen

EnergiegebruikGovernment Japan

7Carbon Dioxide emission

Milieu

Source US-government

8

Formule of Paul R. EhrlichMilieubelasting

Total Impact =

Worldpopulation

Prosperity per

capita

Impact per ProductX X

100% 100% 100%XX=100%

X X=

9

The mythe van ongelimiteerde groei

A = Deel v/d welvaartNederland in 2005

B = Deel v/d welvaart Nederland in 2020

10Ecological footprint

Milieu

11

Ecological footprint

Since 1984 > 1

12

Milieu

Available per capita 1,8 hectare Use per capita 2,2 hectare

13Source: Government Norway

War Victims 20th Century

14

Oorlogsslachtoffers (Prio)

jaren Slachtoffers/jaar

40-45 10.665.200*

46-48 636.900

49-58 317.600

59-68 329.600

69-78 492.300

79-88 388.700

89-98 169.000

99-08 83.300

* Wikipedia

15NidiGrowth population Europe

Prognoses Demografie

16

China Data.com

Growth population China

Prognoses

Demografie

17Bron: United NationsPopulation World

Prognoses Demografie

18

The World’s Energy Challenge

EJ

HydroNuclear

Gas

Oil

CoalTraditional

Solar

GeothermalWind

Biomass

0

250

500

750

1000

1850 1875 1900 1925 1950 1975 2000 2025 2050

Prognoses Energie

Use Energy FutureVia Shell

19

100

110

120

150

130

140A lot of Free Trade: 3%

Prognoses Groei Economie

Less Free Trade: 1%

20

Zijn de prognoses dramatisch?

Dienen we op korte termijn nieuwe maatregelen te nemen?

21

Happiness-Indicator in relatie tot het BNP/hoofd

22

23

“O.K., if you can’t see your way to giving me a pay raise, how about giving Parkerson a pay cut”

24

Effects on Happiness Fall in Happiness

Financial Situation Family income down by a third) 2

Family relationshipDivorced (rather than married)Separated (rather than married)Widowed (rather than married)Never married (rather than married)Cohabiting (rather than married)

5844.52

WorkUnemployment (rather than employed)Job insecure (rather than secure)

63

Community and Friends („In general, people can be trusted“). Percentage of those saying yes down by 50 percentage points. 1.5

Health Subjective health down 1 point (on a 5-point scale) 6

Personal freedomQuality of government 5

Personal ValuesYou say no rather than yes to assumption that God is important in your life (Also a more rational philosophy as Budism has good effects)

3,5