04 30 12 Market Update [Sf] Az Phoenix 85085

download 04 30 12 Market Update [Sf] Az Phoenix 85085

of 11

Transcript of 04 30 12 Market Update [Sf] Az Phoenix 85085

  • 8/2/2019 04 30 12 Market Update [Sf] Az Phoenix 85085

    1/11

    MARKET UPDATEKelli Grant Realty Group

    Current Real Estate Market Conditions for Single Family Homes

    Trends in Pricing Current Levels of Supply and Demand Value Metrics

    Report for the week of

    April 30, 2012

    Presented by Kelli Grant Group Moving People Through Good DeedsPlatinum Premier [email protected](623) 239-4402

    PHOENIX, AZ 850

    Powered by Altos Research LLC | www.altosresearch.com | Copyright 2005-2010 Altos Research LLC

  • 8/2/2019 04 30 12 Market Update [Sf] Az Phoenix 85085

    2/11

    Median List Price

    Median Lot Size

    26.1

    Percent Relisted (reset DOM)

    1866

    2.0

    7 %

    Median Number of Bathrooms

    121

    Inventory of Properties Listed

    $ 90

    Percent Flip (price increased)

    2.5 - 5.0 acres

    Median House Size (sq ft)

    $ 165,000

    22 %

    3.0

    Market Action Index

    Median Number of Bedrooms

    Asking Price Per Square Foot

    n/a

    Percent of Properties with Price Decrease

    Buyer's Advantage

    +

    +

    +

    +

    ==

    Altos Research Value Statistics

    Most Expensive Listing

    Average Days on Market (DoM)

    ottom/Fourth

    Lower/Third

    Upper/Second

    Top/First

    This WeekReal-Time Market Profile Trend

    The Market Action Index answers the question "How's the Market?" by measuringthe current rate of sale versus the amount of the inventory. Index above 30implies a seller's advantage. Below 30, conditions give the advantage to thebuyer.

    Supply and Demand

    Characteristics per Quartile

    20 683208

    1042.0 26

    3.0

    118

    113

    3.0 765

    107

    100

    109

    1.0 - 2.5acres

    40

    $ 122,000

    123

    65

    765

    3.0

    1.0 - 2.5acres

    1072.0

    1319 not available

    765

    $ 59,000

    3.0

    160

    5.0 - 10acres$ 230,000

    4.0$ 499,000

    18

    128

    2115

    With inventory and days-on-marketbasically unchanged and the MarketAction Index increasing, the market isnot sending strong directional signalfor the near-term outlook.

    Monday April 30, 2012

    Kelli Grant Group | www.PhoenixHomeResource.com

    765

    1587

    2.0

    The median list price in PHOENIX, AZthis week is $165,000. The 3060

    properties have been on the marketfor an average of 121 days.

    Most expensive 25% of properties

    Upper-middle 25% of properties

    Lower-middle 25% of properties

    Least expensive 25% of properties

    Quartile Median Price Lot Size Beds Baths Age Inventory New Absorbed DOMSq. Ft.

    No change

    Strong upward trend Strong downward trend

    Slight upward trend Slight downward trend+

    ==

    =

    PHOENIX,

    City Overview

    Least Expensive Listing

    Average List Price

    Average Age of Listing

    3060

    $ 11,900,000

    $ 11,500

    $ 290,889

    30

    Trend Key:

    The market has shown someevidence of slowing recently. Bothprices and inventory levels arerelatively unchanged in recentweeks. Watch the Market ActionIndex for changes as it can be aleading indicator for price changes.

    Page 2 of 11

    Single Family Home

  • 8/2/2019 04 30 12 Market Update [Sf] Az Phoenix 85085

    3/11

    Kelli Grant Group | www.PhoenixHomeResource.com

    City OverviewPHOENIX,

    Monday April 30, 2012

    Median PriceThe market seems to have paused around this plateau. The Market Action Index is a good leading indicator for the durability ofthis trend.

    90-day Average7-day Average

    Quartile PricesPrices have settled at a price plateau across the board. Prices in all four quartiles are basically mixed. Look for a persistent shift(up or down) in the Market Action Index before prices move from these current levels.

    First/Top Second/Upper Third/Lower Fourth/Bottom

    Page 3 of 11

    Single Family Hom

  • 8/2/2019 04 30 12 Market Update [Sf] Az Phoenix 85085

    4/11

    Kelli Grant Group | www.PhoenixHomeResource.com

    City OverviewPHOENIX,

    Monday April 30, 2012

    Price per Square FootThe market plateau is seen across the price and value. The price per square foot and median list price have both beenreasonably stagnant. Watch the Market Action Index for persistent changes as a leading indicator before the market moves fromthese levels.

    90-day Average7-day Average

    Inventory of Properties Listed for Sale

    Inventory has been relatively steady around these levels in recent weeks.

    90-day Average7-day Average

    Page 4 of 11

    Single Family Hom

  • 8/2/2019 04 30 12 Market Update [Sf] Az Phoenix 85085

    5/11

    Kelli Grant Group | www.PhoenixHomeResource.com

    City OverviewPHOENIX,

    Monday April 30, 2012

    Market Action IndexThe PHOENIX market is currently in the Buyer's Advantgae zone (below 30), though not strongly so. The 90-day Market ActionIndex stands this week at 26.06 so buyers should expect to find reasonable levels of selection.

    Buyers/Sellers Cutoff90-day Average

    Market Action Index per QuartileThree of the four quartiles of the market are in the Buyer's Market zone with several months of inventory given the current rateof demand for homes in the quartile. Notice that Quartile 1 (the highest price group) is showing stronger demand than theothers. Current supply/demand levels identify Quartile 1 as a Seller's market as buyers seem to be placing emphasis on the

    premium homes.

    First/Top Second/Upper Third/Lower Fourth/Bottom

    Buyers/Sellers Cutoff

    Residential house prices are a function of supply and demand, and market conditions can be characterizedby analyzing those factors. Watch this index for sustained changes: if the index falls into the BuyersAdvantage zone (below 30) for a long period, prices are likely in for a downward correction.

    Page 5 of 11

    Single Family Hom

  • 8/2/2019 04 30 12 Market Update [Sf] Az Phoenix 85085

    6/11

    Kelli Grant Group | www.PhoenixHomeResource.com

    City OverviewPHOENIX,

    Monday April 30, 2012

    Days on MarketThe properties have been on the market for an average of 121 days. Half of the listings have come newly on the market in thepast 70 or so days.

    90-day Average7-day Average

    Days on Market per QuartileIt is not uncommon for the higher priced homes in an area to take longer to sell than those in the lower quartiles.

    First/Top Second/Upper Third/Lower Fourth/Bottom

    Page 6 of 11

    Single Family Hom

  • 8/2/2019 04 30 12 Market Update [Sf] Az Phoenix 85085

    7/11

    Median List Price

    Median Lot Size

    21.8

    Percent Relisted (reset DOM)

    2872

    3.0

    9 %

    Median Number of Bathrooms

    98

    Inventory of Properties Listed

    $ 91

    Percent Flip (price increased)

    10 - 20 acres

    Median House Size (sq ft)

    $ 276,950

    24 %

    4.0

    Market Action Index

    Median Number of Bedrooms

    Asking Price Per Square Foot

    n/a

    Percent of Properties with Price Decrease

    Strong Buyer's

    ==

    ==

    +

    ==

    Altos Research Value Statistics

    Most Expensive Listing

    Average Days on Market (DoM)

    ottom/Fourth

    Lower/Third

    Upper/Second

    Top/First

    This WeekReal-Time Market Profile Trend

    The Market Action Index answers the question "How's the Market?" by measuringthe current rate of sale versus the amount of the inventory. Index above 30implies a seller's advantage. Below 30, conditions give the advantage to thebuyer.

    Supply and Demand

    Characteristics per Quartile

    6 33431

    843.0 7

    3.0

    3

    116

    4.0 24

    97

    0

    3

    10 - 20 acres

    8

    $ 242,475

    0

    2

    24

    3.2

    not available

    03.0

    1922 not available

    23

    $ 149,450

    4.0

    95

    not available$ 300,000

    4.0$ 425,000

    6

    5

    2970

    Inventory has been lightening latelyand the Market Action Index has beentrending up. These are mildly positiveindications for the market.

    Monday April 30, 2012

    Kelli Grant Group | www.PhoenixHomeResource.com

    23

    2892

    2.0

    The median list price in PHOENIX, AZ85085 this week is $276,950. The 94

    properties have been on the marketfor an average of 98 days.

    Most expensive 25% of properties

    Upper-middle 25% of properties

    Lower-middle 25% of properties

    Least expensive 25% of properties

    Quartile Median Price Lot Size Beds Baths Age Inventory New Absorbed DOMSq. Ft.

    No change

    Strong upward trend Strong downward trend

    Slight upward trend Slight downward trend+

    ==

    =

    PHOENIX, AZ 850

    Neighborhood Detail

    Least Expensive Listing

    Average List Price

    Average Age of Listing

    94

    $ 782,500

    $ 82,000

    $ 286,557

    7

    Trend Key:

    The market has shown someevidence of slowing recently. Bothprices and inventory levels arerelatively unchanged in recentweeks. Watch the Market ActionIndex for changes as it can be aleading indicator for price changes.

    Page 7 of 11

    Single Family Home

  • 8/2/2019 04 30 12 Market Update [Sf] Az Phoenix 85085

    8/11

    Kelli Grant Group | www.PhoenixHomeResource.com

    Neighborhood DetailPHOENIX, AZ 850

    Monday April 30, 2012

    Median PriceThe market for this zip code continues its bounce again this week. We're a long way from the market's high point so watch theMarket Action Index to predict how long this trend will last.

    90-day Average7-day Average

    Quartile PricesIn the quartile market segments, we see prices in this zip code have settled at a price plateau across the board. Prices in allfour quartiles are basically mixed. Look for a persistent shift (up or down) in the Market Action Index before prices move fromthese current levels.

    First/Top Second/Upper Third/Lower Fourth/Bottom

    Page 8 of 11

    Single Family Hom

  • 8/2/2019 04 30 12 Market Update [Sf] Az Phoenix 85085

    9/11

    Kelli Grant Group | www.PhoenixHomeResource.com

    Neighborhood DetailPHOENIX, AZ 850

    Monday April 30, 2012

    Price per Square FootThe market appears to be placing an increasing premium on homes. When list prices and price per square foot consistentlyincrease in tandem, as they're doing now, you can often find short-term investment opportunities. Watch the Market ActionIndex for persistent changes as a leading indicator for these trends to flatten or drop.

    90-day Average7-day Average

    Inventory of Properties Listed for Sale

    Inventory has been falling in recent weeks. Note that declining inventory alone does not signal a strengthening market. Look tothe Market Action Index and Days on Market trends to gauge whether buyer interest is changing with the available supply.

    90-day Average7-day Average

    Page 9 of 11

    Single Family Hom

  • 8/2/2019 04 30 12 Market Update [Sf] Az Phoenix 85085

    10/11

    Kelli Grant Group | www.PhoenixHomeResource.com

    Neighborhood DetailPHOENIX, AZ 850

    Monday April 30, 2012

    Market Action IndexThe PHOENIX, 85085 market is currently quite strongly in the Buyer's Advantage zone (below 30). The 90-day Market ActionIndex stands at 21.80. With several months of inventory available at the current sales rate, buyers should find ample choice.

    Buyers/Sellers Cutoff90-day Average

    Market Action Index per QuartileNot surprisingly, all quartiles are in the Buyer's Market zone with several months of inventory given the current levels ofdemand. Watch the quartiles for changes before the overall market shifts.

    First/Top Second/Upper Third/Lower Fourth/Bottom

    Buyers/Sellers Cutoff

    Residential house prices are a function of supply and demand, and market conditions can be characterizedby analyzing those factors. Watch this index for sustained changes: if the index falls into the BuyersAdvantage zone (below 30) for a long period, prices are likely in for a downward correction.

    age 10 of 11

    Single Family Hom

  • 8/2/2019 04 30 12 Market Update [Sf] Az Phoenix 85085

    11/11

    Kelli Grant Group | www.PhoenixHomeResource.com

    Neighborhood DetailPHOENIX, AZ 850

    Monday April 30 2012

    Days on MarketThe properties have been on the market for an average of 98 days. Half of the listings have come newly on the market in thepast 56 or so days.

    90-day Average7-day Average

    Days on Market per QuartileIt is not uncommon for the higher priced homes in an area to take longer to sell than those in the lower quartiles.

    First/Top Second/Upper Third/Lower Fourth/Bottom

    Page 11 of 11

    Single Family Hom