Antonio de Pádua Wagemaker Prof. Dr. José Vicente Caixeta ... · Prof. Dr. José Vicente...

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Transcript of Antonio de Pádua Wagemaker Prof. Dr. José Vicente Caixeta ... · Prof. Dr. José Vicente...

Page 1: Antonio de Pádua Wagemaker Prof. Dr. José Vicente Caixeta ... · Prof. Dr. José Vicente Caixeta-Filho University of São Paulo, BRAZIL E-mail: jvcaixet@esalq.usp.br Jan Maarten
Page 2: Antonio de Pádua Wagemaker Prof. Dr. José Vicente Caixeta ... · Prof. Dr. José Vicente Caixeta-Filho University of São Paulo, BRAZIL E-mail: jvcaixet@esalq.usp.br Jan Maarten

Prof. Dr. José Vicente Caixeta-FilhoUniversity of São Paulo, BRAZILE-mail: [email protected]

Jan Maarten van Swaay-NetoInterativa S/C Ltda., BRAZILE-mail: [email protected]

Antonio de Pádua WagemakerWagemaker Consultoria Ltda., BRAZILE-mail: [email protected]

Page 3: Antonio de Pádua Wagemaker Prof. Dr. José Vicente Caixeta ... · Prof. Dr. José Vicente Caixeta-Filho University of São Paulo, BRAZIL E-mail: jvcaixet@esalq.usp.br Jan Maarten

Johannes Petrus Wulfram de WitJan de Wit Co., BRAZILGeneral Manager and Owner

Marcelo Moraes Jan de Wit Co., BRAZILProduction and Sales Manager

Page 4: Antonio de Pádua Wagemaker Prof. Dr. José Vicente Caixeta ... · Prof. Dr. José Vicente Caixeta-Filho University of São Paulo, BRAZIL E-mail: jvcaixet@esalq.usp.br Jan Maarten

OUTLINE OF THIS PRESENTATIONOUTLINE OF THIS PRESENTATION

• introducing Jan de Wit Co. • understanding the lily business chain• the main results obtained• the DSS and the transferability issue• testimonies: producer and competitors• concluding remarks

Page 5: Antonio de Pádua Wagemaker Prof. Dr. José Vicente Caixeta ... · Prof. Dr. José Vicente Caixeta-Filho University of São Paulo, BRAZIL E-mail: jvcaixet@esalq.usp.br Jan Maarten

BULB PRODUCER

BULB WHOLESALER

FLOWER PRODUCER

WHOLESALE MARKETPLACE

FLOWER WHOLESALER

FLOWER RETAILER

FINAL CUSTOMER

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-- auction room auction room --

Page 7: Antonio de Pádua Wagemaker Prof. Dr. José Vicente Caixeta ... · Prof. Dr. José Vicente Caixeta-Filho University of São Paulo, BRAZIL E-mail: jvcaixet@esalq.usp.br Jan Maarten

-- from bulbs to flowers from bulbs to flowers --

SPACING

PREPARARING BULBS PLANTING

HARVESTING PACKING

ROOTING

RECEIVING BULBS

DELIVERING FLOWERS

Page 8: Antonio de Pádua Wagemaker Prof. Dr. José Vicente Caixeta ... · Prof. Dr. José Vicente Caixeta-Filho University of São Paulo, BRAZIL E-mail: jvcaixet@esalq.usp.br Jan Maarten

• exploite market opportunities, respecting operational and technical restrictions;

• manage trade and production cycles: how to plan, do, check and respond;

• purchase the right bulbs: varieties, bulb sizes and quantities per size.

Page 9: Antonio de Pádua Wagemaker Prof. Dr. José Vicente Caixeta ... · Prof. Dr. José Vicente Caixeta-Filho University of São Paulo, BRAZIL E-mail: jvcaixet@esalq.usp.br Jan Maarten

50%22.5%15.1%Return on owners equity26%15.5%12.3%Income from operat. (% of sales)

60%495,243309,546Income from operations (R$)

∆∆∆∆ (%)20001999

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25.8%3,229,5422,566,800Total Revenue (R$)8.2%5.565.14Unit average price (R$)39.9%1,585,9841,133,925Revenue (R$ )29.3%285,088220,469Quantities (units)

Bundles0%3.393.39Unit average price (R$)

14.7%1,643,5581,432,875Revenue (R$)14.8%484,722422,208Quantities (units)

Pots∆∆∆∆====(%)20001999

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60%Income from operations

18%Fixed costs

32%Contribution margin

23%Variable costs

26%Revenue

∆ (2000 / 1999)

Page 12: Antonio de Pádua Wagemaker Prof. Dr. José Vicente Caixeta ... · Prof. Dr. José Vicente Caixeta-Filho University of São Paulo, BRAZIL E-mail: jvcaixet@esalq.usp.br Jan Maarten

OBJECTIVE :• maximization of the farm’s “total contribution margin”

CONSTRAINTS TO BE CONSIDERED:

• bulb inventory

• characteristics of the production cycle’s duration

• technical requirements (number of bulbs per pot or box, spacing to be followed)

• usage limitations for each type of greenhouse

• market requirements (selling unit, minimum number of buds and minimum number of stems per bundle or pot)

• upper and lower market-defined sales’ limits

STRUCTURE OF THE STRUCTURE OF THE LPLP MODELMODEL

Page 13: Antonio de Pádua Wagemaker Prof. Dr. José Vicente Caixeta ... · Prof. Dr. José Vicente Caixeta-Filho University of São Paulo, BRAZIL E-mail: jvcaixet@esalq.usp.br Jan Maarten

NUMCANTjvgil = total of flowerbeds, in a specific greenhouse, originated from a specific bulb batch j, from a specific lily variety v, for a specific use g (e.g., potting flower or cutting flower), taking into consideration the pertinent planting week i and the expected harvesting week l.

MAIN DECISION VARIABLEMAIN DECISION VARIABLETO BE CALCULATEDTO BE CALCULATED

Page 14: Antonio de Pádua Wagemaker Prof. Dr. José Vicente Caixeta ... · Prof. Dr. José Vicente Caixeta-Filho University of São Paulo, BRAZIL E-mail: jvcaixet@esalq.usp.br Jan Maarten

GENERAL STRUCTURE OF THE DECISION GENERAL STRUCTURE OF THE DECISION SUPPORT SYSTEMSUPPORT SYSTEM

STOCK OFBULBS

STOCK OF BULBS

PRODUCTIONCYCLE

BULB ANDPRODUCTION

COSTS

CURRENTPLANTINGS

AVAILABILITYOF

FLOWERBEDS

ESTIMATEDSALES

GENERATION OF “TXT” FILES

OPTIMIZATION MODEL(GAMS)

OPTIMALSOLUTION

NO

YES

GENERATION OF “TXT” FILES

FLOWERBEDOCCUPATIONESTIMATES

FINANCIALRESULT

ESTIMATES

STOCKLEVEL

ESTIMATES

PRODUCTIONPLAN

SUGGESTED

Page 15: Antonio de Pádua Wagemaker Prof. Dr. José Vicente Caixeta ... · Prof. Dr. José Vicente Caixeta-Filho University of São Paulo, BRAZIL E-mail: jvcaixet@esalq.usp.br Jan Maarten

35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50Weeks

Production cycle Bulb and production costs

Page 16: Antonio de Pádua Wagemaker Prof. Dr. José Vicente Caixeta ... · Prof. Dr. José Vicente Caixeta-Filho University of São Paulo, BRAZIL E-mail: jvcaixet@esalq.usp.br Jan Maarten

Estimated sales

Current plantings and availabilty of flowerbeds

Stock of bulbs

Page 17: Antonio de Pádua Wagemaker Prof. Dr. José Vicente Caixeta ... · Prof. Dr. José Vicente Caixeta-Filho University of São Paulo, BRAZIL E-mail: jvcaixet@esalq.usp.br Jan Maarten

Planning horizon

G e n e r a l A l g e b r a i c M o d e l i n g S y s t e m04/10/01 15:46:00 PAGE 2Model Statistics SOLVE FLORES USING LP FROM LINE 40902GAMS 2.50A Windows NT/95/98MODEL STATISTICSBLOCKS OF EQUATIONS 31 SINGLE EQUATIONS 114767BLOCKS OF VARIABLES 19 SINGLE VARIABLES 416554NON ZERO ELEMENTS 1352820GENERATION TIME = 90.190 SECONDS 70.1 Mb WIN-18-097EXECUTION TIME = 90.190 SECONDS 70.1 Mb WIN-18-097S O L V E S U M M A R YMODEL FLORES OBJECTIVE MC

TYPE LP DIRECTION MAXIMIZESOLVER OSL FROM LINE 40902

**** SOLVER STATUS 1 NORMAL COMPLETION**** MODEL STATUS 1 OPTIMAL**** OBJECTIVE VALUE 2059733.0996RESOURCE USAGE, LIMIT 2409.578 1000000.000ITERATION COUNT, LIMIT 6172 1000000

OSL Version 1 Jul 4, 1999 WIN.OS.18.1 055.035.036.WAT OSL Version 1

Model dimensions

SINGLE EQUATIONS 114.767SINGLE EQUATIONS 114.767SINGLE VARIABLES 416.554SINGLE VARIABLES 416.554

Page 18: Antonio de Pádua Wagemaker Prof. Dr. José Vicente Caixeta ... · Prof. Dr. José Vicente Caixeta-Filho University of São Paulo, BRAZIL E-mail: jvcaixet@esalq.usp.br Jan Maarten

Flowerbed occupations

Stock levelsProduction plan

Page 19: Antonio de Pádua Wagemaker Prof. Dr. José Vicente Caixeta ... · Prof. Dr. José Vicente Caixeta-Filho University of São Paulo, BRAZIL E-mail: jvcaixet@esalq.usp.br Jan Maarten

Financial re-evaluation

Sale re-evaluation

Page 20: Antonio de Pádua Wagemaker Prof. Dr. José Vicente Caixeta ... · Prof. Dr. José Vicente Caixeta-Filho University of São Paulo, BRAZIL E-mail: jvcaixet@esalq.usp.br Jan Maarten

Prof. Dr. José Vicente Caixeta Filho

José Vicente Caixeta FilhoJosé Vicente Caixeta Filho

JanJan Maarten van Swaay Maarten van Swaay NetoNeto

Ricardo Luis LopesRicardo Luis Lopes

Page 21: Antonio de Pádua Wagemaker Prof. Dr. José Vicente Caixeta ... · Prof. Dr. José Vicente Caixeta-Filho University of São Paulo, BRAZIL E-mail: jvcaixet@esalq.usp.br Jan Maarten

José Vicente CaixetaJosé Vicente Caixeta--FilhoFilho

JanJan Maarten van SwaayMaarten van Swaay--NetoNeto

Antonio Antonio WagemakerWagemaker

OPTIMIZATION OF OPTIMIZATION OF THE PRODUCTION THE PRODUCTION

PLANNING AND PLANNING AND TRADE OF TRADE OF

CHRYSANTHEMUMCHRYSANTHEMUMFLOWERS AT FLOWERS AT

SCHOENMAKER SCHOENMAKER CO.CO.

Page 22: Antonio de Pádua Wagemaker Prof. Dr. José Vicente Caixeta ... · Prof. Dr. José Vicente Caixeta-Filho University of São Paulo, BRAZIL E-mail: jvcaixet@esalq.usp.br Jan Maarten

• the still not very traditional environment (= Agriculture) for an O.R. application• the still not very traditional country (= BRAZIL) for a well succeded O.R. application• the size and specific type of business• the use (and success) of an LP model• the friendly interfaces of the DSS• the quantifiable benefits• the transferability potential• the complete knowledge cycle

(classroom → business → Edelman → classroom)

CONCLUDING REMARKSCONCLUDING REMARKS