» Technologie « LPKF Laser & Electronics AG WKN: 645000 ISIN: … · 2019. 11. 27. · Pfeiffer...
Transcript of » Technologie « LPKF Laser & Electronics AG WKN: 645000 ISIN: … · 2019. 11. 27. · Pfeiffer...
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» Technologie «
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In cooperation with
In Kooperation mit
LPKF Laser & Electronics AG WKN: 645000 | ISIN: DE0006450000 | Bloomberg: LPK GY
New technologies lift(ed) the stock price YTD We initiate our coverage of LPKF Laser & Electronics AG (LPK) with a HOLD
recommendation and a target price of EUR 13.00, currently 5.5% below yesterday’s
closing price. In our best-case scenario, the market pays the historical premium on the
multiples. In this case, the fair value could rise to EUR 17.
Laser specialist for the processing of micro materials: LPKF is a leading international technology company for laser production processes. Its global customers include consumer electronics, research and education, thin-film solar, automotive, semiconductor manufacturers and medicine technology.
Innovations focus in miniaturization: LPKF's expertise consists in the continuous
development of leading laser technologies, which together with the material and
process understanding used by customers lead to new solutions and applications
to process micro components with high precision, speed and material-saving
processes.
9M-19 continues positive revenue and earnings trend: LPKF was able to further
increase sales in 9M-2019 again. Overall, sales in 9M-2019 increased by +22.6% yoy
to EUR 107.5m. EBIT improved significantly, rising by +206.7% yoy to EUR 15.3m in
9M (14.2% EBIT margin). In addition to the operating result, the working capital
improvement lifted the equity ratio from 60.4% (30.09.2018) to 68.5%.
Guidance increased, FMR in the mid-range: Management raised its sales guidance
of EUR 130-135m to EUR 135-140m at the Capital Markets Day (12.09.) with an EBIT
margin of 12-14% (previously: 8-12%) and confirmed this guidance with the 9M
report. Our FMR expectations for sales and EBIT are EUR 138.3m (+12.7% YoY) and
EUR 18.4m (+170% YoY, 13.3% margin).
HOLD, target price EUR 13.00: our value is based on a multiple model. The TP of
EUR 13.00 corresponds to a PE 2020e of 21.3x and 2021e of 18.1x.
Current risks: i/ worsening economic climate; ii/ project postponements by large
customers; iii/ high growth expectations already priced by the market.
Published: 22.11.2019
HOLD Previously: -
Target price EUR 13.00 (-) Share Price* EUR 13.75 (-5.5%)
* Last XETRA Closing Price
Initial 2019e 2020e 2021e
Sales 138.3 151.0 162.4
EBIT 18.4 21.9 25.6
EPS 0.51 0.61 0.72
Basic Share Data
Number of Shares (million) 24.50 Free Float (in %) 71% Market Cap (in EURm) 337 Trading volume(Ø) 0.032
High (EUR, 52 weeks) 15.40 Low (EUR, 52 weeks) 5.10
Shareholder
Jörg Bantleon 29.0%
Luxempart Pipe SARL (Luxunion S.A.) 5.0%
Sicav Lazard Small Caps EUR 3.0%
Corporate Calendar
FY 2019 24 March 2020
Q1 2020 05 May 2020
Analyst
Felix Lutz
Analyst
+49 (0) 69 - 920 389 14
Contact
FMR Frankfurt Main Research AG
Schillerstrasse 16
60313 Frankfurt am Main
Germany
+49 (0) 69 - 920 389 10
www.fmr-research.de
Source: Factset
Dec-18 Jan-19 Feb-19 Mar-19 Apr-19 May-19 Jun-19 Jul-19 Aug-19 Sep-19 Oct-19 Nov-19
4
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10
12
14
16
LPKF Laser & Electronics AG Germany SDAX Germany CDAX
in EURm (2018-21e) 2016 2017 2018 2019e 2020e 2021e
Sales 10.6% 91.1 102.1 120.0 138.3 151.0 162.4
EBITDA 31.9% 1.3 11.6 14.9 25.9 29.7 34.2
Margin 1.4% 11.4% 12.4% 18.7% 19.7% 21.0%
EBIT 55.4% -6.8 4.0 6.8 18.4 21.8 25.6
Margin -7.4% 3.9% 5.7% 13.3% 14.4% 15.8%
Net income 29.8% -8.8 1.2 8.0 12.5 14.9 17.6
EPS 29.8% -0.40 0.05 0.33 0.51 0.61 0.72
Dividend per share 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
EV/Sales 2.2 2.3 1.4 2.8 2.7 2.6
EV/EBITDA -29.5 58.6 24.6 21.0 18.7 16.7
P/E -17.5 180.9 16.8 26.9 22.6 19.2
Net debt/ EBITDA 28.9 1.4 -1.1 -1.3 -1.8 -2.2
Source: LPKF AG,FMR
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Contents:
Investment Thesis ................................................................................................................................................................... 3
SWOT ...................................................................................................................................................................................... 4
Rating ...................................................................................................................................................................................... 5
Summary ............................................................................................................................................................................. 5
Peer Group-Rating .............................................................................................................................................................. 5
DCF-Model .......................................................................................................................................................................... 7
Scenario Analysis ................................................................................................................................................................ 8
Business Model ..................................................................................................................................................................... 10
Development-Segment ..................................................................................................................................................... 11
Welding Segment .............................................................................................................................................................. 12
Solar Segment ................................................................................................................................................................... 13
Electronics-Segment ......................................................................................................................................................... 14
Service and Support .......................................................................................................................................................... 15
Markets and Technologies .................................................................................................................................................... 16
Thin-film solar market ...................................................................................................................................................... 16
Market for printed circuit boards ..................................................................................................................................... 17
Market for glass wafers .................................................................................................................................................... 18
Financial Measures ............................................................................................................................................................... 20
Successful financial year 2018 .......................................................................................................................................... 20
9M-2019............................................................................................................................................................................ 20
Outlook full year 2019e .................................................................................................................................................... 20
Medium-term Outlook of the Segments .......................................................................................................................... 21
Balance Sheet Adjusted .................................................................................................................................................... 25
Dividend Policy.................................................................................................................................................................. 26
Company Profile ................................................................................................................................................................... 27
Company History .............................................................................................................................................................. 27
Shareholder ...................................................................................................................................................................... 27
LPKF Management ............................................................................................................................................................ 28
Board ................................................................................................................................................................................. 28
Appendix ............................................................................................................................................................................... 29
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LPKF Laser & Electronics AG
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Investment Thesis LPKF Laser & Electronics AG is a leading international specialist in the production of
laser systems for micromachining. Founded in 1976 and headquartered in Garbsen,
Switzerland, with its 655 employees worldwide, generated sales of EUR 120m in
2018. The company has been listed in the Prime Standard of Deutsche Börse since
1998 (ticker: LPK).
We start LPKF AG's coverage with a HOLD recommendation and a target price of
EUR 13.00, which is 5.5% below the closing price (21.11.) of EUR 13.75. We use a
multiple-model to derive the fair value of LPKF. This corresponds to a PE 2020e of
21.3x and 2021e of 18.1x.
The miniaturization in the production of micro components and the necessary
digitization in the manufacturing process are progressing rapidly and require a
corresponding adaptation of tools and processes in production. We see LPKF as an
innovator in laser material processes and products in many (new) application areas
as well-positioned to take advantage of this situation:
i/ Through continuous research, LPKF develops technologically advanced (laser)
processes to create, together with material science expertise, fundamental
innovations in manufacturing;
ii/ By working closely with customers and understanding their requirements and
processes, these innovations can be introduced or existing processes improved;
iii/ LPKF can offer sales and service through its worldwide subsidiaries and
continuously open up new markets.
Due to high growth in the target markets for the LPKF solutions, combined with the
leading technology, we expect high sales-growth in the coming years (CAGR2018-
20e: 10.6%).
Scenario Analysis
With a sales and margin profile that improves beyond expectations, we expect a
positive development of the share price towards EUR 17.00, the average value from
our EV/EBITDA and PE multiple valuation taking into account premiums of 12.3%
and 8%.
In our pessimistic scenario, LPKF does not succeed in further improving its sales and
margins on the level. In this case, we see our EV/Sales FY3 derived value at EUR 11.
Leading technology company
for laser systems for
micromachining
Rating: HOLD, target price
EUR 13.00
Miniaturization to improve
performance in electronics -
LPKF leading supporter
Structurally strong growth in
the target markets
Optimistic scenario: EV/Sales
Multiple at EUR 17
Pessimistic scenario: Derived
value at EUR 11
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LPKF Laser & Electronics AG
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SWOT Strengths
Due to the focus of activity in the high-tech sector only conditional dependence on
cyclical fluctuations
Diversification into four segments and different industries
High innovative ability of the company
Customer proximity
Speed of innovation
Solid order backlog
Advanced technology strengthens LPKF's market position
On balance, very low debt and high liquidity (unused reserves), as well as high cash
flow generation
Weaknesses
Dependence on two customers (in Solar and Electronics, together 37.5% of sales in
2018)
Risks of development in new technologies (quality, supply chain, market
acceptance)
High budget required for research and development (10% of sales) not always
leading to new products
Opportunities
Substantial sales potential through newly developed products (LIDE, LTP)
New application areas of laser technologies
Development of new customers through the further expansion of sales activities
Risks
Investment cycles in the electronics, solar and automotive industries fluctuate
widely
Increasing share of the project business in the electronics and solar segments
reduce the predictability of the business
Dependence on the economic situation of customers and government budgets
Lack of highly-qualified employees
Exchange rate fluctuations due to very high export share, hence, potential price
disadvantage in Asia
New products, such as LIDE, must first come into focus and then into the customer's
production process.
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LPKF Laser & Electronics AG
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Rating
Summary We start coverage on LPKF Laser & Electronics AG (LPKF-DE) with a HOLD rating and
a multiple-based target price of EUR 13.00, with a closing price of EUR 13.75 on the
21 November.
Fair value summary
Valuation method Fair value per share
(EUR)
Peer Group EV/Sales (Average) 12.00
Peer Group EV/EBITDA (Average) 13.87
Peer Group PE Multiple (Average) 14.57
DCF 13.04
Source: FMR Research
Peer Group-Rating We compare LPKF with a group of 11 tech companies. There is no player here that
is also active in all markets served by LPKF while using similar technology.
We compare the Factset consensus-rating to get a rough overview of where LPKF
is in comparison. The peer companies have a broad spectrum of market
capitalization ranging from EUR 39m (Singulus) to EUR 12.8bn (Sartorius).
Company description of the peer companies
Coherent Inc Coherent, Inc. designs, manufactures and services lasers and related accessories. The company operates through its OEM Laser Sources (OLS) and Industrial Lasers and Systems (ILS) segments. The ILS segment comprises the Laser Sources, Subsystems and Tools business, which is mainly used for industrial lasers for material processing. The company was founded on May 26 by Eugene Watson in 1966 and is headquartered in Santa Clara, CA.
Sartorius AG Sartorius AG is an international laboratory and process technology provider for the biotech, pharmaceutical and food industries. It operates through its Bioprocess Solutions and Lab Products and Services business units. The company was founded in 1870 by Florenz Sartorius, Sr. and is headquartered in Goettingen, Germany.
Pfeiffer Vaccum Technology AG
Pfeiffer Vacuum Technology AG develops, manufactures and markets components and systems for vacuum generation, measurement and analysis. It operates through the following segments: U.S., Germany, Republic of Korea, Europe, Asia and France. The Company was founded in 1890 by Arthur Pfeiffer and is headquartered in Asslar, Germany.
Carl Zeiss Meditec AG
Carl Zeiss Meditec AG is active in the development, manufacture and marketing of medical products. It is active in the fields of ophthalmology and microsurgery. The company was founded on October 4, 1995 and is headquartered in Jena, Germany.
AIXTRON SE AIXTRON SE supplies deposition equipment to the semiconductor industry. Products include compound semiconductors, silicon semiconductors, organic semiconductors and nanotechnology. The Company was founded in December 1983 by Heinrich Schumann, Holger Jürgensen and Meino Heyen and is headquartered in Herzogenrath, Germany.
Viscom AG Viscom AG produces, develops and sells automated inspection systems for industrial production. It operates in the following segments: serial products, new products and service. The company's product portfolio includes automated optical inspection and X-ray inspection systems used in
Target price of EUR 13.00,
HOLD
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LPKF Laser & Electronics AG
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industrial electronics manufacturing. Viscom was founded in 1984 by Martin Heuser and Volker Pape and is headquartered in Hanover, Germany.
SÜSS MicroTec SE
SUSS MicroTec SE is a holding company engaged in the manufacture and sale of products with microelectromechanical systems and microelectronics. It operates in the following segments: lithography, bonder, photomask accessories and miscellaneous. The company was founded in 1949 by Karl Süss and is headquartered in Garching, Germany.
Jenoptik AG Jenoptik AG is a holding company which provides products and services for the photonics market. It operates in the following segments: optics and life science; mobility; defense and civil systems. The company was founded in 1991 and is headquartered in Jena, Germany.
Basler AG Basler AG is active in the design, production and sale of industrial cameras. Its products include generators, accessories, software, an embedded vision portfolio and components. The company was founded in 1988 by Norbert Basler and Stefan Berendsen and is headquartered in Ahrensburg, Germany.
Singulus Technologies AG
Singulus Technologies AG develops, produces and sells machines and systems in the fields of vacuum coating technology, surface technology and engineering, wet chemistry and thermal processing technologies. Singulus reports under the following segments: Optical Disk, Solar and Semiconductors. The company was founded by Roland Lacher and Reiner Seiler on June 14, 1995 and is headquartered in Kahl am Main, Germany.
Manz AG Manz AG manufactures electronic components and devices, solar modules and lithium-ion batteries. Manz reports in the following segments: Electronics, solar, energy storage, contract manufacturing and service. Manz was founded in 1987 by Dieter Manz and is headquartered in Reutlingen, Germany.
Source: Factset
To calculate fair values for the LPKF share from the multiples, we calculate averages
and medians of PE, EV/Sales and EV/EBITDA figures. The following table gives an
overview of the peers and their current Factset consensus multipliers.
Peers of LPKF and their Factset rating
Source: Factset, FMR Research
For our calculations we use the medians and multiply them by our respective
estimates. We then adjust for excess cash and cash equivalents (EUR 19.6m) and
financial liabilities (EUR 50.1m) where necessary. The target prices thus obtained
range from EUR 11.41 (EV/Sales FY3) to EUR 15.53 (EV/EBITDA FY1).
Name PE FY1 PE FY2 PE FY3 EV/Sales FY1 EV/Sales FY2 EV/Sales FY3EV/EBITDA
FY1
EV/EBITDA
FY2
EV/EBITDA
FY3
Coherent, Inc. 25.7x 16.2x 11.0x 2.4x 2.2x 1.9x 13.0x 8.9x 6.5x
Manz AG - 24.7x 6.2x 0.7x 0.6x 0.4x 19.9x 7.6x 4.5x
SINGULUS TECHNOLOGIES AG 20.9x 3.6x 2.8x 0.4x 0.3x 0.2x 6.2x 2.4x 2.0x
Basler AG 53.3x 38.7x 28.7x 3.4x 3.1x 2.7x 19.4x 15.9x 12.7x
JENOPTIK AG 21.1x 19.9x 18.9x 1.9x 1.9x 1.8x 12.4x 11.7x 11.0x
SUESS MicroTec SE 27.3x 14.9x 10.5x 1.1x 1.0x 0.9x 15.9x 8.8x 6.3x
Viscom AG 19.4x 14.6x 10.3x 1.1x 1.0x 0.9x 10.1x 8.3x 6.2x
AIXTRON SE 32.4x 28.0x 21.8x 2.7x 2.5x 2.3x 15.2x 13.0x 10.3x
Carl Zeiss Meditec AG 53.8x 45.4x 40.4x 6.6x 6.1x 5.6x 31.5x 28.2x 25.9x
Pfeiffer Vacuum Technology AG 31.7x 25.4x 21.7x 2.4x 2.3x 2.1x 17.2x 14.1x 12.2x
Sartorius AG 54.1x 46.2x 40.0x 6.9x 6.0x 5.4x 25.5x 21.8x 19.7x
Peergroup Durchschnitt 34.0x 25.2x 19.3x 2.7x 2.4x 2.2x 16.9x 12.8x 10.7x
Peergroup Median 29.5x 24.7x 18.9x 2.4x 2.2x 1.9x 15.9x 11.7x 10.3x
Determination of peer group
PE, EV/Sales and EV/EBITDA
multiples
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LPKF Laser & Electronics AG
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Multiple valuation of LPKF
Source: Factset, FMR Research
For the target price of EUR 13.00 we calculate the following multiples:
Multiples at EUR 13.00 target price
2019e 2020e 2021e EV/Sales 2.5 2.3 2.1 EV/EBITDA 13.4 11.7 10.2 EV/EBIT 18.9 15.9 13.6 PE 25.5 21.3 18.1
Source: FMR Research
DCF-Model Our discounted cash flow model is based on the following assumptions:
The weighted average cost of capital (WACC): We set the risk-free rate at 2.0% and
assume an equity risk premium of 6.0% and a debt risk premium of 3.0%. We have
set the beta factor to 1.2 and assume that the long-term target equity ratio at
market values is 80%. With these assumptions, we arrived at a capital cost rate
(WACC) of 8.06%.
Phase 1 (2019e-21e): We calculate the Free Cash Flows (FCF) for Phase 1 according
to our detailed financial projections, which we have described in the Financial
Section. We expect revenue to increase by 9.2% and 7.5% in 2020e and 2021e,
respectively, while the EBIT margin improves to 15.8% in 2021e.
Phase 2 (2022e-28e): Phase 2 covers the years 2022e to 2028e. For this period, we
anticipate revenue growth with declining growth rates (CAGR2022-28e 4.1%), with
the EBIT margin seen at 16.0% over the long term.
Terminal Value: For the calculation of the final value, we set a long-term growth
rate of 2.0% for free cash flow. Based on our estimates, we arrive at a fair value of
the company of EUR 348.5m.
LPKF Laser&ElectronicsEPS
2019e
EPS
2020e
EPS
2021e
Sales
2019e
Sales
2020e
Sales
2021e
EBITDA
2019e
EBITDA
2020e
EBITDA
2021e
0.51 0.61 0.72 138.3 151.0 162.4 25.9 29.7 34.2
Peergroup Median 29.5x 24.7x 18.9x 2.4x 2.2x 1.9x 15.9x 11.7x 10.3x
Discount
Multiple 29.5x 24.7x 18.9x 2.4x 2.2x 1.9x 15.9x 11.7x 10.3x
Abgeleiteter
Unternehmenswert335.6 327.9 310.0 410.8 348.8 351.4
+ Kasse 19.6 19.6
- Finanzschulden -50.1 -50.1
- Minderheiten 0.0 0.0
Abgeleitete
Marktkapitalisierung305.09 297.33 279.44 380.31 318.26 320.84
Anzahl der Aktien 24.50 24.50 24.50 24.50 24.50 24.50
Fairer Wert pro Aktie 15.06 15.08 13.55 12.45 12.14 11.41 15.53 12.99 13.10
WACC: 8,06%
DCF delivers fair value of
EUR 13.04 per share
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LPKF Laser & Electronics AG
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To this end, we add the cash on hand and deduct the financial liabilities and the
minority interests at market values, thus achieving a fair value of EUR 319.5m or
EUR 13.04 per share.
DCF-MODEL
Source: FMR Research
Scenario Analysis Optimistic Scenario
If LPKF succeeds in substantially increasing its sales growth and profitability, we see
the possibility that the market will be led by the valuations of the EV/Sales or
another premium paid to the peers. In our base calculation, we do not consider this
premium (about 8-12%). In this case, a share price of up to EUR 17 would be
possible.
The following chart shows the historical EV/EBITDA and PE trading margins of LPKF
shares and their peer companies (median values). The average historical discount
lies in the viewing area at 12.3% or at 7.9%.
PHASE 1 PHASE 2 PHASE 3
in EURm 2019E 2020E 2021E 2022E 2023E 2024E 2025E 2026E 2027E 2028E
Sales 138.3 151.0 162.4 171.6 180.5 186.8 192.4 197.2 202.2 207.2
Y-o-Y growth 15.3% 9.2% 7.5% 5.7% 5.2% 3.5% 3.0% 2.5% 2.5% 2.5%
EBIT 18.4 21.8 25.6 27.5 28.9 29.9 30.8 31.5 32.4 33.1
EBIT margin 13.3% 14.4% 15.8% 16.0% 16.0% 16.0% 16.0% 16.0% 16.0% 16.0%
Income tax on EBIT -5.4 -6.4 -7.5 -8.1 -8.5 -8.8 -9.1 -9.3 -9.6 -9.8
Depreciation and amortisation 7.5 7.9 8.6 9.1 9.6 9.9 10.2 10.4 10.8 11.1
Change in net working capital 17.8 4.0 -0.6 -0.5 -0.5 -0.3 -0.3 -0.2 -0.3 -0.3
Net capital expenditure -5.0 -9.0 -5.9 -6.3 -6.6 -9.8 -10.2 -10.4 -10.8 -11.1
Free cash flow 33.3 18.3 20.1 21.8 22.9 20.9 21.4 21.9 22.5 23.1
Present values 33.0 16.8 17.0 16.9 16.5 13.8 13.1 12.4 11.7 11.1 186.3
Present value Phase 1 66.7 Risk free rate 2.00% Target equity ratio 80%
Present value Phase 2 95.4 Equity risk premium 6.00% Beta 1.2
Present value Phase 3 186.3 Debt risk premium 3.00% WACC 8.06%
Total present value 348.5 Tax shield (Phase 3) 30.0% Terminal growth 2.00%
+ Excess cash/Non-operating assets 19.6
- Financial debt -48.6
+ Minority interests 0.0 1.0% 1.5% 2.0% 2.5% 3.0%
Fair value of equity 319.4 7.06% 13.94 14.73 15.67 16.82 18.25
7.56% 12.84 13.48 14.24 15.14 16.24
Number of shares (m) 24.5 8.06% 11.90 12.43 13.04 13.76 14.63
8.56% 11.08 11.52 12.02 12.61 13.31
Fair value per share (in EUR) 13.04 9.06% 10.36 10.73 11.15 11.64 12.20
Sensitivity analysis
Terminal growth rate
WACC
With premium on up to
EUR 17 possible
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LPKF Laser & Electronics AG
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Historic EV/EBITDA-FY2 and PE-FY2 multiples to peer group
Source: Factset, FMR Research
Pessimistic Scenario
In our pessimistic scenario, we assume that LPKF will not continue its sales and
margin growth as expected. This could essentially be due to poor sales of the LIDE,
LTP or electronics systems. In the solar sector too, follow-up orders may now be
delayed after the last major order, since the solar business is project business.
Possible market correction or an ongoing period of weakness could support this
scenario. In such a scenario, the market could be guided by the EV/Sales FY2
valuation (EUR 11.41 per share) and re-evaluated for lower sales or margin levels
in the DCF model.
Our current fundamental earnings model does not include any M&A activities.
Consequently, every upcoming M&A transaction offers an increase in our top line
estimates. Following the reorganization of its finances, LPKF had cash on hand of
around EUR 20.5m and an equity ratio of 68.5% as at September 2019, which
could be used for further acquisitions.
0.00
2.00
4.00
6.00
8.00
10.00
12.00
14.00
16.00
18.00
LPKF Laser & Electronics AG EVEBITDA - FY2 PeersMedian EV/EBITDA
0.00
10.00
20.00
30.00
40.00
50.00
60.00
LPKF Laser & Electronics AG PE - FY2 PeersMedian EV/EBIT
Pessimistic value at EUR 11.41
No M&A included
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Business Model LPKF Laser & Electronics AG, founded in 1976, is an international specialist
manufacturer of systems and systems for laser-based production processes for
micro material processing headquartered in Garbsen.
In 2018, the Prime Standard listed company generated sales of EUR 120m with 655
employees and has production facilities in Garbsen (Electronics), Suhl (Solar), Fürth
(Welding) and Naklo, Slovenia (LaserSource and Development).
According to their respective application field LPKF operates in four segments –
i/ Development, ii/ Electronics, iii/ Welding and iv/ Solar – and has branches in the
core markets Germany, USA, China, Japan and Korea. LPKF works with external
distributors for non-core countries.
Segments and Solutions
Development, 20% sales Electronics, 29% sales Welding, 19% sales Solar, 32% sales
Systems for PCB development and research
Systems for electronics production Systems for plastic welding Systems for the production of solar cells and for laser transfer printing (LTP)
Research institutions and universities
Consumer Electronics, Semiconductor Industry, PCB production, microsystems technology
Automotive supply industry, medical technology
Solar industry
Source: LPKF Laser & Electronics AG
LPKF has customers in 70 countries, the export share is about 90% of sales. The
largest share is in the market in Asia-Pacific, where much of the world's consumer
electronics and solar industries are produced. The development segment generates
sales in all regions.
Sales by region
Source: LPKF Laser & Electronics AG, 2018
Deutschland11%
Übriges Europa
26%
Nordamerika21%
Asien41%
Sonstige1%
Specialist for laser-based
processes and production
plants
4 segments and worldwide
branches
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LPKF Laser & Electronics AG
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Development-Segment In 2018, LPKF generated revenue of EUR 24.3m (20.8% of Group sales) in the
development segment, with an EBIT margin of 18.0% (EUR 4.2m). In the past, LPKF
was able to maintain sales at your level of over EUR 20m and in most cases
anticipate a double-digit EBIT margin.
In development, LPKF sells machines and equipment for PCB prototyping and micro
material processing. Customers can thus produce in-house prototypes, process
various substrates quickly and at high to very high quality. The advantage for the
customer: i/ Their data stays in the house and ii/ the prototype's production time
can be significantly reduced.
LPKF offers solutions in the field of structuring, drilling, punch-through, separation
and assembly (SMT) of printed circuit boards with up to eight layers. In this process,
increasingly laser technology (series: ProtoLaser) is used. LPKF circuit board plotters
and ProtoLaser are controlled with in-house CAM software (CircuitPro), which
quickly implements complex layouts and allows intuitive operation.
Customers in the development sector worldwide come mainly from the research
environment (universities, schools and industry); LPKF claims to own 60% market
share.
LPKF is maintaining the continuous development of its products and expanding
market leadership.
Development Segment: Sales and EBIT in EURm
Source: LPKF Laser & Electronics AG
20.9
25.1 25.5
22.6
24.4 25.0
1.92.7 3.3 2.0
5.34.5
9.1%
10.8%
12.9%
8.8%
21.7%
18.0%
0.0%
5.0%
10.0%
15.0%
20.0%
25.0%
-
5.0
10.0
15.0
20.0
25.0
30.0
2013A 2014A 2015A 2016A 2017A 2018A
Sales EBIT EBIT margin
Development with 21% of
sales, 18% EBIT margin
Research and development
clients, 60% market share
worldwide
Strengthening market
leadership
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LPKF Laser & Electronics AG
Page 12 of 34
Welding Segment In the welding segment, LPKF achieved sales of EUR 22.2m in 2018 (18.5% of Group
sales) with an EBIT margin of -7.2% (EUR 1.6m).
For joining sensitive electronic components, for example in the automotive
industry, medical technology or consumer electronics, LPKF offers systems that
precisely and permanently weld (3D) plastic parts to each other, e.g. the LPKF
PowerWeld 3D. It can be connected very small to large parts. The systems are
integrated with the customer (individually, in existing production lines) (series
InlineWeld) or sold as a standalone system (series PowerWeld). Also, LPKF offers
contract manufacturing for the customer, mainly for small and medium lots.
As the market leader in Europe and TOP 3 player in plastic welding worldwide, LPKF
supplies customers from the automotive, medical technology, consumer and
consumer electronics sectors.
In addition to laser welding, there are other methods of plastic bonding from the
competition. Although LPKFs offers a very low-stress and material-saving approach
with the laser process, the technology still has to prevail on the market. The goal is
to supply global players worldwide with the leading technological solution in the
area of plastic joining.
Welding Segment: Sales and EBIT in EURm
Source: LPKF Laser & Electronics AG
23.3 24.0 25.4
22.2
0.1-0.1
0.6
-1.6
0.4%
-0.4%
2.4%
-7.2% -8.0%
-6.0%
-4.0%
-2.0%
0.0%
2.0%
4.0%
(5.0)
-
5.0
10.0
15.0
20.0
25.0
30.0
2015A 2016A 2017A 2018A
Sales EBIT EBIT margin
Welding – Laser welding of
plastic
Market leader in Europe
Focus on turnaround
-
LPKF Laser & Electronics AG
Page 13 of 34
Solar Segment In the Solar segment, LPKF generated revenue of EUR 38.9m (32.4% of Group sales)
in 2018, with an EBIT margin of 15.4% (EUR 8.4m).
In the solar industry, efficient and cost-effective processes are needed to play an
increasingly important role as an energy source in the era of sustainable energy
production. LPKF has focused on the development of processes and the
optimization of parameters in all steps of laser structuring in CdTe and CIGS
technologies, taking into account cost-efficiency as well as technological aspects.
LPKF works very closely with major thin-film module manufacturers and is the
market leader with the Allegro system series.
To test production processes or to investigate new manufacturing processes, LPKF
has also developed the "Presto" – a multifunctional structuring tool for laboratory
use.
Also located in the solar sector is the Laser Transfer Printing (LTP). Here, similar to
screen printing, ceramic pigments are applied to glass substrates, for example with
the LPKF Callisto. The advantage in the approach of LTP is in the non-contact
application technique, which does not require new screens, their manufacture and
storage.
With the LTP process (sole supplier), LPKF essentially competes with alternative
printing processes, which are cheaper but have some disadvantages.
Solar Segment: Sales and EBIT in EURm
Source: LPKF Laser & Electronics AG
Thin-film methods are used only by a few large module manufacturers. LPKF strives
to act as a partner to these few companies, and in addition to being the market
leader in the area of CdTe, aims to develop further in CIGS production. Continuous
improvement of manufacturing speed and processes is very important to keep the
technological advantage for the customers.
8.5
13.9
20.6
38.9
-3.8
-1.0
1.5
6.0
-44.7%
-7.2%
7.3%
15.4%
-50.0%
-40.0%
-30.0%
-20.0%
-10.0%
0.0%
10.0%
20.0%
(10.0)
(5.0)
-
5.0
10.0
15.0
20.0
25.0
30.0
35.0
40.0
45.0
2015A 2016A 2017A 2018A
Sales EBIT EBIT margin
Solar - Laser structuring of
thin film solar cells
Presto for testing purposes in
the laboratory
LTP – Printing process for
ceramic paints
World leader in thin-film solar
(CdTe)
-
LPKF Laser & Electronics AG
Page 14 of 34
Electronics-Segment In 2018, LPKF generated EUR 35m in sales in the Electronics segment (28.8% of
Group sales) with an EBIT margin of 2.3% (EUR 0.8m). In 2013, LPKF had a high sales
volume in Electronics, driven by LDS technology. When sales of LDS machines
dropped significantly, sales halved in 2015 to EUR 30m, with a correspondingly
negative EBIT margin (-2.0% at EUR 0.6m).
In the field of electronics, LPKF offers several solutions for the processing of printed
circuit boards: first lasers for the production of stencils (StencilLaser P6060 and
G6080), further separators for rigid and flexible printed circuit boards (MicroLine
2000 Ci) as well as lasers for cutting and drilling printed circuit boards (MicroLineX
5000). Through its internal brand, LaserMicronics, LPKF also offers the cutting,
drilling and structuring of materials as a service.
The Electronics division also includes the Laser Induced Deep Etching (LIDE) and
Laser Direct Structuring (LDS) processes. The LIDE process is used to drill very fine
structures in glass (wafers). Since LIDE places very high demands on the process,
LPKF also offers its customers the option of manufacturing the glass wafers in their
own clean room as a service and supplying them to customers in the semiconductor
and electronics industries worldwide. This clean room is expected to be completed
by mid-2020.
Laser Direct Structuring, LDS, (ProtoLaser 3D) can be used to structure 3D printed
circuit boards and apply printed circuit board structures to three-dimensional
plastic parts. Weight and space can be saved with this method. In the past, LPKF
installed LDS machines worldwide for the production of mobile phone antennas.
With the increasing use of "smart" components and edge computing – more
sensors in less space – and new materials, LDS is a solution.
The electronics customers mainly come from the area of PCB manufacturing and
the electronics industry. With LIDE, other markets must develop, or the process
must be implemented with manufacturers. LPKF is the most technologically
advanced and field-leading company.
As a technology leader, LPKF is working increasingly closely with customers to
address these issues with advanced solutions and to engage (new) customers in
new opportunities for micromachining.
Stencil laser
LIDE-Method
LDS-Method
Fragmented customers
depending on the solution,
LPKF as the leading provider
Expansion of the customer
base, development of new
solutions
-
LPKF Laser & Electronics AG
Page 15 of 34
Electronics Segment: Sales and EBIT in EURm
Source: LPKF Laser & Electronics AG
Service and Support For the laser products sold as a stand-alone system, integrated equipment or
custom solution, LPKF offers its customers in the core markets of i/ technical
support, ii/ commissioning and training, iii/ maintenance and calibration, iv/ spare
parts and the v/ process optimization or installation of upgrades. Here, the
customer can choose between three different service packages, Basic, Classic and
Premium Service. Overall, LPKF recorded an increase in the service business (9M-
2019: +47% yoy).
75.7
51.2
29.9 30.6 31.7 34.6
21.3
9.4
-0.6
-4.4
0.9 0.8
28.1%
18.4%
-2.0%-14.4%
2.8% 2.3%
-20.0%
-15.0%
-10.0%
-5.0%
0.0%
5.0%
10.0%
15.0%
20.0%
25.0%
30.0%
35.0%
(10.0)
-
10.0
20.0
30.0
40.0
50.0
60.0
70.0
80.0
2013A 2014A 2015A 2016A 2017A 2018A
Sales EBIT EBIT margin
Service offers for customers
-
LPKF Laser & Electronics AG
Page 16 of 34
Markets and Technologies LPKF is active in several markets with its innovative solutions, whereby the
respective market growth is not always decisive. For LPKF as a technology company,
investing in technology (laser) and integrating it into existing workflows/creation of
new products is fundamentally crucial, regardless of how much later the machines
are sold. Through its strong commitment to research and development as well as
close cooperation with customers, LPKF can continuously improve existing
solutions and develop new technologies (basic research) whose applications and
impact are not immediately obvious.
Below we present market analyzes in the areas of i/ thin-film solar modules, ii/ the
mass market for printed circuit boards and electronic assemblies, and iii/ the
market for glass wafers.
Thin-film solar market Thin-film solar modules can be subdivided into three types, depending on the
constituents: i/ cadmium telluride (CdTe), ii/ copper indium gallium di-selenide
cells (CIGS) and iii/ amorphous thin-film silicon. LPKF generates the most revenue
in the solar sector with a customer that produces CdTe cells and increasingly
positions itself for the CIGS process as well.
Worldwide annual PV production by technology
Source: Fraunhofer Institute, Date between 2000-2010 by Navigant; Data from 2011ff. IHS Markit; Graph: PSE GmbH 2018
The global thin-film solar market is driven by the increasing cost and performance
efficiency of thin-film solar modules along with the increasing demand for green
electricity/increasing sustainability awareness. Another stimulus of the market
(mainly in the industrialized countries) are regulatory measures for energy supply.
Market growth is expected by experts from 12% (Maximize Market Research) to
20% (Researchnester) with a CAGR2019-27 in the coming years, starting from a
relatively small market share so far.
Diversified across multiple
markets
Various thin-film technologies
Drivers for thin-film solar:
increasing efficiency,
decreasing (installation) costs,
regulation
-
LPKF Laser & Electronics AG
Page 17 of 34
Global market for thin-film solar cells in billion USD
Source: Maximize Research
In the scribing of thin-film cells, there are mainly two competitors worldwide,
Manz and Mitsuboshi Diamond with different market shares – depending on the
technology.
Market for printed circuit boards i/ an increasing number of applications of semiconductors (sensors), ii/ increasing
use of electronics in various applications, iii/ the increase in Internet use (IoT), and
v/ the increased demand for environmentally friendly printed circuit boards.
Market researchers see a CAGR rate of 3.1% - 4.3% between 2018 and 2024.
With the growing demand for printed circuit boards from numerous end-user
industries, the circuit board market also faces some limitations, such as competitive
prices and volatility in commodity pricing and regulations for electronic waste. The
major challenges facing the market include changes in the supply of raw materials
and increased competition at regional and national levels. These limitations and
challenges could negatively impact the market.
16,318,4
20,7
23,4
26,4
29,8
33,6
37,9
42,7
0,0
5,0
10,0
15,0
20,0
25,0
30,0
35,0
40,0
45,0
2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025
CAGR: 12.8%
-
LPKF Laser & Electronics AG
Page 18 of 34
Global PCB market in billion USD
Source: Lucintel Research
The competition for LPKF in printed circuit board processing consists mainly of
regional suppliers.
Market for glass wafers Especially in the semiconductor industry, there has been a great deal of interest in
glass in recent years. Glass has valuable electrical (insulating), physical (low thermal
expansion) and chemical (chemical resistance) properties that make it an ideal
material for a wide range of processes not only in the semiconductor industry but
also in all other industries. In addition to being used as a substrate in electronic
components and integrated circuits, glass can be used in the LCD and display sector,
as (color) filters, loudspeakers and in photovoltaic cells.
Companies are starting to use glass wafers and other glass materials/substrates
because of the advantages such as flexibility, flatness and mechanical rigidity in
production. In addition to the properties mentioned glass is very inexpensive.
At LPKF, the electronics sector is also home to the trend-setting LIDE process, the
micromachining of glass to an unprecedented level of precision.
The specific market for glass wafers is seen as 19.4% growth with a CAGR2019-25.
72,775,8
79,182,5
86,089,7
0,0
10,0
20,0
30,0
40,0
50,0
60,0
70,0
80,0
90,0
100,0
2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024
CAGR: 4.3%
-
LPKF Laser & Electronics AG
Page 19 of 34
Global market for glass wafers in billion USD
Source: QYResearch
The competitors in the field of glass drilling are from alternative production
processes, such as Schott or Coherent, which are currently not yet able to match
the precision of LPKF.
0,38
0,46
0,55
0,66
0,78
0,93
1,12
0,00
0,20
0,40
0,60
0,80
1,00
1,20
2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024
CAGR: 19.4%
-
LPKF Laser & Electronics AG
Page 20 of 34
Financials
Successful financial year 2018 In the financial year 2018, LPKF was able to increase its turnover by 17.5% yoy to
EUR 120m, with all segments except welding showing significant growth. Also, the
company achieved an increase in EBIT of 73% yoy to EUR 6.8m (vs. EUR 4.0m) with
an EBIT margin of 5.7%.
9M-2019 In the first nine months of 2019, LPKF recorded an increase in revenue of 22.6% to
EUR 107.5m after EUR 87.7m in the previous year. EBIT tripled from EUR 5.0m to
EUR 15.3m, with a margin of 14.2% (previous year: 5.7%).
The tax liability amounted to EUR 4.0 so that a consolidated result of EUR 10.9m or
EUR 0.45 per share was generated.
In 9M-19, LPKF was able to successfully increase sales in Electronics (+32.2%),
Welding (+23.2%) and Solar (+29.1%); after a difficult Q3-19 Development was -
1.7% weaker yoy. Order backlog was EUR 32.1m, below the previous year's
EUR 54.4m.
P&L 9M-2019 vs. 9M-2018 incl. New guidance from 09.09.2019
Source: LPKF Laser & Electronics AG, FMR Research AG
Outlook full year 2019e On the day of its Capital Market Day, LPKF had raised its revenue and earnings
forecast for 2019 and raised long-term EBIT margin targets. For the full year 2019,
the Managing Board expects stable growth in the global economy, with
consolidated sales of between EUR 135m and EUR 140m (previously: EUR 130m to
EUR 135m) and an EBIT margin of between 12% and 14% (previously: 8%-12%). This
corresponds to an ROCE between 20% and 25% (previously: 10%-15%). In the
following years, LPKF wants to further increase profitability and achieve an EBIT
margin of more than 14% (previously: more than 12%).
We expect sales of EUR 138.3m and EBIT of EUR 18.4m for the full year 2019e
(margin of 13.3%).
EUR m 9M 2019 9M 2018 YoY in % 2018 New guidance Before
Sales 87.7 107.5 -18.4% 120.0 135-140 130-135
EBIT 5.0 15.3 -67.4% 6.8
EBIT margin 5.7% 14.2% 5.7% 12-14% 8-12%
Net attributable profit 3.8 10.9 -65.0% 8.0
in % of sales 4.4% 10.2% 6.7%
EPS 0.17 0.45 -62.3% 0.33
Sales and margin increase
Sales- and margin
development continues
upward trend
EUR 0.45 per share (vs.
EUR 0.17 in 9M-18)
Increase in sales and margins
in all segments
LPKF increases 2019 guidance:
EUR 135-140m in sales at 12%
-14% EBIT margin
-
LPKF Laser & Electronics AG
Page 21 of 34
FMR outlook full year 2019e
Source: LPKF Laser & Electronics AG, FMR Research AG
Medium-term Outlook of the Segments LPKF's strategic goals are sustainable with profitability improvement together with
a growth strategy for newly developed products. We see the company in its current
position on a sustainably good path. In addition to the further optimization of
established business areas, organic sales will be driven by the sale of LIDE systems
(in the electronics segment) in the next few years.
Outlook for the Development-Segment
In recent years, turnover in the development sector has risen steadily as LPKF, as
market leader (60% market share), works closely with clients worldwide and is
generally known for the quality of its machines due to regular updates. For 2019e,
we expect a slight decline to EUR 23.7m and a continuous increase in turnover to
EUR 25.5m by 2021e.
For the EBIT margin, we forecast a level of 15.0% in 2019e (EUR 3.6m), which will
improve to 16.0% in the coming years.
Sales and EBIT progress in the development segment in EURm
Source: LPKF Laser & Electronics AG, FMR Research AG
EUR m 2018 H1-2019 2019e yoy
Sales 120.0 72.7 138.3 15.3%
EBIT 6.8 10.1 18.4 170.6%
EBIT margin 5.7% 13.9% 13.3%
Net attributable profit 8.0 7.2 12.5 56.3%
in % of sales 6.7% 9.9% 9.0%
EPS 0.33 0.30 0.51 54.5%
22.6 24.4 25.0 23.7
24.9 25.5
2.0
5.34.5
3.6 4.0 4.18.8%
21.7%
18.0%
15.0%16.0% 16.0%
0.0%
5.0%
10.0%
15.0%
20.0%
25.0%
30.0%
-
5.0
10.0
15.0
20.0
25.0
30.0
2016A 2017A 2018A 2019E 2020E 2021E
Sales EBIT EBIT margin
Sales of LIDE systems are
crucial for profitability in the
coming years
Sustainable growth with a
solid EBIT margin
-
LPKF Laser & Electronics AG
Page 22 of 34
Outlook for the Electronics-Segment
The Electronics segment has developed volatilely in recent years. Although sales
have increased again since 2015, the margin only returned to positive territory after
the 2017/18 restructuring.
Thanks to great customer interest in the solutions, successful restructuring and now
also business from the LIDE segment, we expect growth to EUR 40.5m in 2019e and
a continuous increase in sales to EUR 46.8m by 2021e.
We forecast an EBIT margin of 13.2% in 2019e (EUR 5.4m), which will improve to
16.0% in the coming years - driven by high-margin LIDE business.
Sales and EBIT development in the Electronics segment in EURm
Source: LPKF Laser & Electronics AG, FMR Research AG
30.6 31.7 34.6
40.5 43.7
46.8
-4.4
0.9 0.8
5.4 6.27.5
-14.4%
2.8% 2.3%
13.2% 14.1%16.0%
-20.0%
-15.0%
-10.0%
-5.0%
0.0%
5.0%
10.0%
15.0%
20.0%
(10.0)
-
10.0
20.0
30.0
40.0
50.0
2016A 2017A 2018A 2019E 2020E 2021E
Sales EBIT EBIT margin
Return of profitability after
restructuring; Growth through
new technologies
-
LPKF Laser & Electronics AG
Page 23 of 34
Outlook for the Welding-Segment
The Welding segment has also been volatile in recent years. After the revenue
setback in 2018, we expect revenue to rise in 2019e as the good half-year business
continues. LPKF was able to refocus the segment on its clients and intensify its
cooperation. Thanks to the good technology, we expect turnover to grow to
EUR 25.7m (+16% YoY) in 2019e and turnover to increase continuously to
EUR 30.1m by 2021e.
By 2020e at the latest, LPKF should reach break-even with a higher turnover volume
and then (2021e) achieve a margin of 5.0% (EUR 1.5m).
Sales and EBIT development in the Welding segment in EURm
Source: LPKF Laser & Electronics AG, FMR Research AG
24.0 25.4
22.2
25.7 27.9
30.1
-0.1
0.6
-1.6 -0.1
0.8 1.5
-0.4%
2.4%
-7.2%
-0.5%
3.0%
5.0%
-8.0%
-6.0%
-4.0%
-2.0%
0.0%
2.0%
4.0%
6.0%
(5.0)
-
5.0
10.0
15.0
20.0
25.0
30.0
35.0
2016A 2017A 2018A 2019E 2020E 2021E
Sales EBIT EBIT margin
Break-even 2020e
-
LPKF Laser & Electronics AG
Page 24 of 34
Outlook for the Solar-Segment
The Solar segment has shown impressive growth since 2016 and achieved a good
EBIT margin of 15.4% in 2018. Based on the current order situation and the result
shown in 9M-2019, we expect renewed growth in sales and EBIT to EUR 48.4m
(+24.3% YoY) and EUR 9.7m (20% margin) respectively. Currently, most orders
come from a customer in the CdTe thin-film solar segment. LPKF is working to
optimize the manufacturing processes for the cells (CdTe and CIGS technology) and
to generate new customers.
The LTP business is also integrated into the Solar segment. With the approval, we
see the starting signal for solid growth in the coming years as given.
For 2019e-21e we expect revenue growth of 15.7% YoY to EUR 60.0m with an EBIT
margin of 20% in 2019e and 21% in 2021e – slightly improved by new customer
acquisition and the LTP business.
Sales and EBIT development in the Solar segment in EURm
Source: LPKF Laser & Electronics AG, FMR Research AG
13.9
20.6
38.9
48.4
54.5 60.0
-1.0
1.5
6.09.7 10.9
12.6
-7.2%
7.3%
15.4%
20.0% 20.0%21.0%
-10.0%
-5.0%
0.0%
5.0%
10.0%
15.0%
20.0%
25.0%
(10.0)
-
10.0
20.0
30.0
40.0
50.0
60.0
70.0
80.0
2016A 2017A 2018A 2019E 2020E 2021E
Sales EBIT EBIT margin
Currently very good order
situation, growth from 2020e
onwards with the market
-
LPKF Laser & Electronics AG
Page 25 of 34
Outlook for the LPKF Group
Based on our expectations for the four segments, we expect LPKF to generate
turnover of EUR 138.3m in 2019e with an EBIT margin of 13.3% (EUR 18.4m). We
then expect turnover growth of 9.2% in 2020e and 7.5% in 2021e. We forecast an
EBIT margin of 14.5% in 2020e and 15.8% in 2021e.
Sales and EBIT development LPKF in EURm
Source: LPKF Laser & Electronics AG, FMR Research AG
Balance Sheet Adjusted After a capital increase in August 2018 and the operational turnaround, a large part
of the debt financing could be repaid in 2018, bringing the equity ratio to 60%.
Thanks to good working capital management, the equity ratio now reached 68.5%
in 9M-2019. We expect an equity ratio of 73.2% through sustainable working capital
monitoring and positive free cash flow in the coming years.
91 102
120
138 151
162
(6.8)
4.0 6.8 18.4 21.9
25.6
-7.4%
3.9%5.7%
13.3%14.5%
15.8%
-10.0%
-5.0%
0.0%
5.0%
10.0%
15.0%
20.0%
(20)
-
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
2016A 2017A 2018A 2019E 2020E 2021E
Revenues EBIT EBIT margin
FMR: Increasing sales and
profitability in the coming
years
Capital increase and
operational turnaround allow
room for takeover
-
LPKF Laser & Electronics AG
Page 26 of 34
Equity (in EURm) and equity ratio
Source: LPKF Laser & Electronics AG, FMR Research AG
LPKF aims to finance its investments solely from cash flow. M&A activities can be
financed again from this situation. Thanks to the WC management (improvement
of EUR 14.7m in 9M 2019, mainly due to the reduction of inventories and
receivables) and the constantly improving profitability, we see a high cash
conversion of >70% in the coming years and consider the financing to be secured.
EBIT and free cash flow in EURm
Source: LPKF Laser & Electronics AG, FMR Research AG
Dividend Policy LPKF did not pay any dividends for the financial year 2018 but instead focused on
further debt relief and investments. The Executive Board believes a dividend
payment for the financial year 2019 in 2020 is likely in the event of planned
development. Currently, we do not respect dividends in our model. As we expect
LPKF to generate enough cash dividends in general are financed.
54.3 54.2
77.7
90.2
105.2
122.8
46.5% 46.5%
60.4%69.5% 71.3% 73.2%
0.0%
20.0%
40.0%
60.0%
80.0%
100.0%
120.0%
140.0%
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
2016A 2017A 2018A 2019E 2020E 2021E
Equity Equity ratio
-1.8
3.35.8
33.3
19.8 20.1
11.8 12.8
9.0
18.4
21.9
25.6
-5
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
2016A 2017A 2018A 2019E 2020E 2021E
Free Cash Flow EBIT
Internal financing through
cash flow
Dividend payments in 2020
planned
-
LPKF Laser & Electronics AG
Page 27 of 34
Company Profile
Company History Historical Development (Selection)
1976 Foundation of LPKF
1984 USA sales and service office
1989 Entry into laser technology for PCB structuring
1993 First Stencil Laser
1994 Production site in Slovenia
1998 Initial public offering
2000 Office in China; Entry into the field of plastic welding
2001 First laser system for drilling and structuring printed circuit boards
2006 LDS process for three-dimensional circuit carriers is used in series production
2007 Start with the structuring of thin-film solar cells
2008 ProtoLaser S as the first laser system worldwide for structuring laminated substrates
2010 Industrial UV laser cutting
2011 First sales office in Japan
2012 LPKF becomes leading supplier of solar scriber
2013 New sales office in South Korea
2015 Acquisition of LTP Startup
2018 First LIDE system goes to a semiconductor manufacturer
Source: LPKF Laser & Electronics AG
Shareholder The LPKF (Bloomberg: LPK) has been listed on the Frankfurt Stock Exchange since
March 1998. The largest shareholders are Mr. Jörg Bantleon, who owns a total of
29.95% of the shares in both privately held shares and the attributable shares of
German Technology AG. Other shares are held by the Luxempart SARL (> 5%), the
Sicav Lazard Small Caps Euro (> 3%) and the Société Générale (share of> 3%). All
three are attributed to free float, which is 71%.
LPKF has a market capitalization of approximately EUR 337m (November 2019).
High free float of approx. 71%
-
LPKF Laser & Electronics AG
Page 28 of 34
LPKF AG Shareholder Structure
Source: LPKF Laser & Electronics AG
LPKF Management Dr. Götz Bendele, CEO
Dr. Bendele, born 1970, is Chairman of the Management Board and member of the
Management Board since May 2018. He is appointed until April 30, 2021.
Christian Witt, CFO
Mr. Witt, born 1971, is CFO since September 2018 and appointed until August 31,
2021.
Board Dr. Markus Peters, Chairman
Dr. Peters, born 1964, is member of the Supervisory Board since July 13, 2017,
elected until AGM 2024 and Chairman of the Supervisory Board since October 16,
2017.
Dr. Dirk Michael Rothweiler, Deputy Chairman
Dr. Rothweiler, born 1963 is member of the Supervisory Board since June 14, 2017,
elected until the end of the 2022 Annual General Meeting, Deputy Chairman of the
Supervisory Board since June 6, 2019
Prof. Dr. Ludger Overmeyer
Professor Overmeyer, born 1964, is member of the Supervisory Board since 6 June
2019 and elected until the end of the Annual General Meeting 2024.
Jörg Bantleon; 29,0%
Luxempart Pipe
SARL (Luxunion S.A.); 5,0%
Sicav Lazard Small
Caps Euro; 3,0%
Société Générale S.A.; 3,0%
Restlicher Streubesitz;
60,1%
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LPKF Laser & Electronics AG
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Appendix
P&L
Source: LPKF Laser & Electronics AG, FMR Research AG
in EURm 31.12.2016 31.12.2017 31.12.2018 31.12.2019 31.12.2020 31.12.2021
Revenues 91.1 102.1 120.0 138.3 151.0 162.4
YoY grow th 23.3% 6.9% 6.4% 3.9% -0.6% 0.9%
Changes in inventory 2.6 2.9 5.2 4.0 3.0 3.2
as % of revenues 2.9% 2.8% 4.3% 2.9% 2.0% 2.0%
Cost of Materials -31.0 -33.8 -48.0 -55.3 -58.9 -61.7
as % of revenues -34.1% -33.1% -40.0% -40.0% -39.0% -38.0%
Personnel expense -43.9 -41.9 -44.3 -44.1 -47.3 -50.3
as % of revenues -48.2% -41.0% -36.9% -31.9% -31.3% -31.0%
Other operating expense -23.3 -23.3 -21.7 -20.5 -21.1 -22.7
as % of revenues -25.6% -22.9% -18.1% -14.8% -14.0% -14.0%
Other operating income 5.8 5.7 3.7 3.5 3.0 3.2
as % of revenues 6.3% 5.6% 3.1% 2.5% 2.0% 2.0%
EBITDA 1.3 11.6 14.9 25.9 29.7 34.2
as % of revenues 1.4% 11.4% 12.4% 18.7% 19.7% 21.0%
Depreciation and amortisation (incl. PPA) -8.1 -7.7 -8.1 -7.5 -7.9 -8.6
as % of revenues -8.8% -7.5% -6.7% -5.4% -5.2% -5.3%
EBIT -6.8 4.0 6.8 18.4 21.9 25.6
as % of revenues -7.4% 3.9% 5.7% 13.3% 14.5% 15.8%
Net financial results incl. equity results -0.8 -0.9 -0.9 -0.6 -0.5 -0.5
EBT (Earnings before income taxes) -7.6 3.0 6.0 17.9 21.4 25.1
as % of revenues -8.3% 3.0% 5.0% 12.9% 14.1% 15.5%
Income taxes -1.2 -1.9 2.1 -5.4 -6.4 -7.5
as % of EBT 16.4% -61.8% 34.6% -30.0% -30.0% -30.0%
Net income -8.8 1.2 8.0 12.5 14.9 17.6
Minorities 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Adjusted net income after minorities -8.8 1.2 8.0 12.5 14.9 17.6
Net margin in % -9.7% 1.1% 6.7% 9.0% 9.9% 10.8%
Shares outstanding (in m) 22.3 22.3 24.5 24.5 24.5 24.5
Earnings per share -0.40 0.05 0.33 0.51 0.61 0.72
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Balance Sheet
Source: LPKF Laser & Electronics AG, FMR Research AG
in EURm 31.12.2016 31.12.2017 31.12.2018 31.12.2019 31.12.2020 31.12.2021
Assets
Non-current assets 66.4 63.9 64.8 62.4 63.5 60.9
as % of total assets 56.8% 54.8% 50.3% 48.1% 43.0% 36.3%
Intangible assets (incl. Goodwill) 15.3 15.4 15.2 15.6 16.1 16.5
Property and buildings 38.6 38.6 37.8 36.8 39.3 38.3
Other assets 12.5 9.8 11.8 10.0 8.1 6.1
Current assets 50.5 52.7 64.0 67.4 84.1 106.9
as % of total assets 43.2% 45.2% 49.7% 51.9% 57.0% 63.7%
Inventories 25.0 25.5 25.7 22.0 18.9 20.3
Accounts receivable 19.8 19.4 30.5 16.6 18.1 19.5
Other receivables and other assets 2.2 4.4 4.0 4.3 4.7 5.0
Cash and cash equivalents 3.6 3.3 3.7 24.5 42.4 62.0
Total assets 116.9 116.6 128.8 129.8 147.6 167.7
Shareholders´ equity and liabilities
Shareholderś equity 54.3 54.2 77.7 90.2 105.1 122.7
as % of total equity and liabilities 46.5% 46.5% 60.4% 69.5% 71.3% 73.2%
Subscribed capital 22.3 22.3 24.5 24.5 24.5 24.5
Other equity 32.1 32.0 53.2 65.7 80.7 98.2
Equity attributable to shareholders 54.3 54.2 77.7 90.2 105.1 122.7
Minorities 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Financial debt 43.5 41.0 20.0 8.1 8.1 8.1
as % of total equity and liabilities 37.2% 35.2% 15.6% 6.3% 5.5% 4.9%
Long-term financial liabilities 22.6 20.0 17.4 5.5 5.5 5.5
Short-term financial liabilities 20.9 21.0 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.6
Liabilities 15.0 16.7 25.3 22.8 24.9 26.8
as % of total equity and liabilities 12.8% 14.4% 19.6% 17.6% 16.9% 16.0%
Accounts payable 3.1 3.2 6.9 5.5 6.0 6.5
Other liabilities 11.9 13.5 18.4 17.3 18.9 20.3
Provisions 4.2 4.6 5.7 8.6 9.3 10.0
as % of total equity and liabilities 3.6% 3.9% 4.5% 6.6% 6.3% 6.0%
Pension provisions and similar obligations 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3
Provisions 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Other provisions 3.9 4.3 5.5 8.3 9.1 9.7
Total equity and liabilities 116.9 116.6 128.8 129.8 147.6 167.7
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LPKF Laser & Electronics AG
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Cashflow Statement
Source: LPKF Laser & Electronics AG, FMR Research AG
in EURm 31.12.2017 31.12.2018 31.12.2019 31.12.2020 31.12.2021
Net income 1.2 8.0 12.5 14.9 17.6
Depreciation and amortisation 7.7 8.1 7.5 7.9 8.6
Change in Working Capital -0.2 -1.2 17.8 4.0 -0.6
Cash flow from operating activities 8.6 14.9 37.8 26.8 25.6
CAPEX -4.7 -8.6 -5.0 -7.5 -5.9
Cash flow from investing activities -4.7 -8.6 -5.0 -7.5 -5.9
Change in debt -2.5 -21.0 -11.9 0.0 0.0
Net proceeds from capital increase 0.0 2.2 0.0 0.0 0.0
Dividend payments 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Other financing activities 0.0 -0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
Cash flow from financing activities -2.4 -18.8 -11.9 0.0 0.0
Total change in cash and cash equivalents 1.4 -12.5 20.8 19.3 19.7
Other changes in cash and cash equivalents -1.6 12.9 0.0 0.0 0.0
Cash and cash equivalents at the start of the period 3.6 3.3 3.7 24.5 43.9
Cash and cash equivalents at year´s end 3.4 3.7 24.5 43.9 63.5
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Declaration of liability (disclaimer) and mandatory details pursuant to Section 85 Securities Trading Act (WpHG), EU Market Abuse Regulation (EU Regulation No.
596/2014), Delegated Regulation 2016/958 and Delegated Regulation 2017/565 including details of possible conflicts of interest (disclosures), the author and the
responsible supervisory authority
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2. Mandatory details
a) First publication: 22.11.2019,
b) Time conditions of expected updates: quarterly
c) Supervisory authority: Federal Financial Supervisory Authority (Bundesanstalt für Finanzdienstleistungsaufsicht), Lurgiallee 12, 60439 Frankfurt am Main
d) Previous analyses: No analysis was published in the 12 months before publication of this analysis that contains a recommendation for a specific investment decision
which contradicts this analysis.
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f) All prices and price developments listed in the analysis are based on closing prices insofar as no contradictory details were provided about prices and price
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(vii.) has other significant interests with regard to the company being analysed, for example clients with the company being analysed.
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Company Disclosure(s)
LPKF Laser & Electronics AG -
b) FMR Frankfurt Main Research AG has concluded a cooperation agreement with Oddo Seydler Bank AG, on the basis of which this financial analysis is compiled.
Oddo Seydler Bank AG is acting as the agent of the issuer, which is either the subject of the financial analysis itself or its financial instruments are the subject of the
financial analysis.
Neither Oddo Seydler Bank AG nor an affiliated company, nor any person who contributed to the compilation
(i.) has an involvement in the share capital of the issuer of at least 5 per cent;
(ii.) was involved in the management of a syndicate within the past five months that issued financial instruments of the issuer in the context of a public tender;
(iii.) managed financial instruments of the issuer on a market by means of concluding purchase or sale agreements:
(iv.) has, within the past twelve months, concluded an agreement regarding services in connection with investment banking business or received a service or
performance promise from such agreement, with issuers which either themselves or the financial instruments thereof, are the subject of the financial analysis;
(v.) is in possession of a net sales or purchase position which exceeds the threshold of 0.5% of the total issued share capital of the issuer;
(vi.) has concluded an agreement regarding the preparation of investment recommendations with the issuer.
(vii.) has other significant interests with regard to the company being analysed, for example clients with the company being analysed.
Company Disclosure(s)
LPKF Laser & Electronics AG iii, vi
Valuation history for the last 12 months:
Date of publication Recommendation Price at publication Target price
22.11.2019 HOLD 13.75 13.00
4. Creation and distribution
a) Responsibility for creation and distribution
FMR Frankfurt Main Research AG
Registered office: Frankfurt am Main; Commercial Register No. HRB 113537, Frankfurt am Main district court; Chairman: Marcus Silbe
b) Issuer
Felix Lutz, Analyst
c) This study may only be used for the internal purposes of the addressee within the EEA or Switzerland.
5. Investment recommendation details
Investment recommendation details - stocks:
BUY: In our opinion, the stock will demonstrate an absolute price gain of at least 10 % in a 12-month period.
HOLD: In our opinion, the stock will not exceed or fall below an absolute price gain or loss of 10% in a 12-month period.
Sell: In our opinion, the stock will demonstrate an absolute price loss of at least 10 % in a 12-month period.
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LPKF Laser & Electronics AG
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6. Sensitivity of the evaluation parameters
The figures from profit and loss calculations, cash flow statements and balance sheets which form the basis of the company evaluation are date-related estimates
and therefore subject to risks. These may change at any time without prior notice. Regardless of the evaluation methods used, there are significant risks that the
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products of an issuer and the offer situation with respect to materials required for production as well as non-occurrence of the assumed development. Such deviations
may be the result of changes relating to technology and changes relating to the economy, legal situation and exchange rates. No claim is made that this statement
of evaluation methods and risk factors is complete.
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8. Summary of the basis for evaluation
Individual issuers: Current and recognised evaluation methods (e.g. DCF method and Peer Group Analysis) are used for company analysis purposes. The DCF method
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determined on the basis of expected future cash flows and the applied discount rate. In Peer Group Analysis, issuers listed on the stock exchange are evaluated by
comparing ratios (e.g. price/profit ratio, Enterprise Value/turnover, Enterprise Value/EBITDA, Enterprise Value/EBIT). The comparability of the ratios is primarily
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