Prestige Telecom-Economics Case

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    ECO 204, 2010-2011, Test 3 Solutions

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    UniversityofToronto,DepartmentofEconomics,ECO2042010 2011AjazHussain

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    S.AjazHussain,Dept.ofEconomics,UniversityofToronto

    http://www.economics.utoronto.ca/index.php/index/index/homehttp://www.economics.utoronto.ca/index.php/index/index/homehttp://www.economics.utoronto.ca/index.php/index/index/homehttp://www.economics.utoronto.ca/index.php/index/index/homehttp://www.economics.utoronto.ca/index.php/index/index/homehttp://www.economics.utoronto.ca/ahussain/http://www.economics.utoronto.ca/ahussain/http://www.economics.utoronto.ca/ahussain/http://www.economics.utoronto.ca/ahussain/http://www.economics.utoronto.ca/index.php/index/index/homehttp://www.utoronto.ca/
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    ECO 204, 2010-2011, Test 3 Solutions

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    Question1[60Points.Allpartsworth10pointseach]

    ThisquestionisbasedontheHBScase:ThePrestigeTelephoneCompany.Foryourconveniencehereis

    exhibit1fromthecase(figuresbelowareforthePrestigeDataservicescompanyJanuaryMarch2003)

    Exhibit1:PrestigeTelephoneCompany

    January2003

    February

    2003

    March

    2003

    IntercompanyHours 206 181 223

    CommercialHours 123 135 138

    TotalRevenueHours 329 316 361

    Service Hours 32 32 40

    AvailableHours 223 164 143

    TotalHours 584 512 544

    Inthecase,thecommercialpriceis

    $800/hourandtheintercompanypriceis

    $400/hour:

    Pi=$400/hr.

    PrestigeTelephone

    Company

    PrestigeData

    Services

    Commercial

    CustomersPC=$800/hr

    CommercialOther

    Services

    Data

    D

    a

    t

    a

    Intercompany

    ThePrestigeDataServicescos oursofdataservices):tfunctionwasestimatedtobe(here

    ish

    223,43628 ThePrestigeDataServicescommercialin e invers demandfunction March2003wasestimatedtobe:

    1,4664.83 Page2of37

    S.AjazHussain,Dept.ofEconomics,UniversityofToronto

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    ECO 204, 2010-2011, Test 3 Solutions

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    (a)UnderthetermsofaregulationrulingPDSsintercompanybillingarecappedatanaverageof

    $82,000/month.Whatdoesthisimplyfortheaverageintercompanyhoursthatcanbebilledper

    month?IsPrestigeDataServicesabidingbyorviolatingthetermsoftheruling?Giveabriefexplanation.

    Answer:

    Ifintercompany

    revenues

    are

    capped

    at

    $82,00 o nd

    prices

    are

    $400/hr

    then:

    0/m nth

    a

    400 000 8 2 , 205

    Thisimpliesthatintercompanyhoursshouldbe205hours/monthonaverage.IsPDSbilling205hours

    onaverageeachmonth?Lookat:

    Exhibit1:PrestigeTelephoneCompany

    January2003

    February

    2003

    March

    2003

    IntercompanyHours 206 181 223

    CommercialHours 123 135 138

    TotalRevenueHours 329 316 361

    Service Hours 32 32 40

    AvailableHours 223 164 143

    TotalHours 584 512 544

    Noticethataverageintercompany from 3were:hours JanMar200

    2061812233 6103 203.33Thus,PDSisabidingbythetermsoftheagreement.

    (b)WhatkindofreturnsdoesPDShaveforitsvariableinputs?Giveabriefexplanationbasedonthe

    figuresabove(notbelow).

    Answer:

    ThePrestigeDataServicescos oursofdataservices):tfunctionwasestimatedtobe(here

    ish

    223,43628 SincethisisalinearcostfunctionPDSmusthav nt rns.Inparticular,noticethat:econsta retu

    28 28Page3of37

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    ECO 204, 2010-2011, Test 3 Solutions

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    Sinceisconstant,PDShasconstantreturns.(c)RecallthatPDShasneverearnedprofits.Calculatethebreakevennumberofcommercialhoursand

    theequationofthedemandcurveinthemonthwhenPDSbreakseven.Showallcalculations.

    Answer

    PDSsellsdataservicestointercompanyandcomm cial omers.Nowprofitsare:er cust

    Breakevencommercialoutputiswhen:

    0 Breakeven Breakeven Breakeven

    Assuming 2 8 and 205 wehave:

    Breakeven 223,436 400 28205

    800 28191

    Wecan

    now

    compute

    the

    demand

    curve

    in

    the

    month

    when

    PDS

    breaks

    even.

    Assuming

    the

    other

    factorsbesidespricearepushingthedemandcurverightweseethatinthebreakevenmonth,the

    demandcurvehasthesameslopeastheMarch2003demandcurve:

    Page4of37

    S.AjazHussain,Dept.ofEconomics,UniversityofToronto

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    ECO 204, 2010-2011, Test 3 Solutions

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    Commercial

    Hours

    CommercialPrice

    $800

    138

    M

    $1,466

    135123

    FJ

    PDSCommercialDemandCurveinMarch2003

    P=1,466 4.83Q

    ?

    Break

    even

    =

    192

    Thus,inthebreakevenmonth:

    4.83 Since $800 and 192 wehave:

    4.83 8004.83 192800 . 4 83 192

    1,727.36Thecommercialdemandcurveinthebreakevenmonthis:

    1,727.364.83

    (d)In

    general,

    is

    it

    easier

    for

    the

    commercial

    division

    to

    breakeven

    ifPDS

    comprises

    of

    commercial

    andintercompanydivisionsversusifPDScomprisesofjustacommercialdivision?Assumethetwo

    scenarioshavethesametotalfixedcost.

    Answer

    Withtwodivisionswehad:

    Page5of37

    S.AjazHussain,Dept.ofEconomics,UniversityofToronto

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    ECO 204, 2010-2011, Test 3 Solutions

    Thistestiscopyrightmaterialandmaynotbeusedforcomm rcialpurposeswith

    Breakeven e outpriorpermission

    Page6of37

    S.AjazHussain,Dept.ofEconomics,UniversityofToronto

    Letscomparethisexpressionwiththecaseofasinglecommercialdivision:

    Breakeven Noticethatsolongas (i.e.theother,intercompany,divisionhaspositivecontributionmargin),thenthecommercialbreakevenquantitywithanotherprofitabledivisionissmallerthanthe

    breakevenquantityifthecommercialdivisionwasbyitself.

    (e)[Thispartisindependentofallotherparts]SupposethatinMarch2003,thegovernmentimposesa

    10%excisetaxoncommercialdataservices.Assumingallcommercialcustomerscanbemodeledbya

    singlerepresentativeconsumerwithincome$ andutilityfunction, (wheregood1iscommercialdataservicesandgood2iseverythingelse)whatisthemarginalutilityduetotheexcise

    tax

    on

    commercial

    data

    services?

    Please

    show

    all

    calculations

    and

    specifically

    state

    all

    assumptions.

    Answer:

    Beforetheexcisehasbeenimposed,therepresentativeconsumer,withanunknownincome$,consumes138hoursofcommercialdataservicesandsomeunknownquantityofothergoods.Let

    everythingelsebethebasegoodsothat 1 andassumetheconsumerhasaquasilinearutilityfunctionofthetype:

    , Here

    isanyfunctionofgood1suchthat

    0 0.Inthiscase,thetotalutilityofabundleminus

    theincome

    is

    the

    consumer

    surplus

    of

    good

    1:

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    ECO 204, 2010-2011, Test 3 Solutions

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    Q2(EverythingElse)

    Q1CommercialHours

    Page7of37

    Q2

    138

    U(Q1,Q2) Y

    A

    c

    1,466 U(Q1,Q2) Y

    Y/800

    Y/1

    A800

    CommercialDemand

    Q1CommercialHours138

    ThatisatbundleA:

    , 138, 121,466800138$45,954

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    ECO 204, 2010-2011, Test 3 Solutions

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    Q2(EverythingElse)

    Q1CommercialHours

    Page8of37

    Q2

    138

    U(Q1,Q2) Y=$45,954

    A

    c

    1,466 U(Q1,Q2) Y=$45,954

    Y/800

    Y/1

    A800

    CommercialDemand

    Q1CommercialHours138

    A10% excisetaxraisesthepriceofcommer 80andreducesdemandto:cialservicesto$8

    1 ,4664.834 880 1,466 .83

    4.8 8803 1,466 1,4668804.83 121.33

    Thus,atbundleB:

    , 121.33, 121,466880121.33$35,550

    S.AjazHussain,Dept.ofEconomics,UniversityofToronto

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    ECO 204, 2010-2011, Test 3 Solutions

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    Q2(EverythingElse)

    Q1CommercialHours

    Pc

    Page9of37

    Q2

    138

    U(Q1,Q2) Y=$45,954

    Q2

    121.33

    U(Q1,Q2) Y =$35,550

    Y/880

    AB

    Y/800

    Y/1

    138121.33

    Q1CommercialHours

    800

    880

    1,466 U(Q1,Q2) Y =$35,550

    CommercialDemand

    A

    B

    The refore,thechangeinutilityduetoa10%excisetaxoncommercialdataservicesis:

    of a 10% excise tax on , , , , of a 10% excise tax on , , $35,550$45,954 $10,404

    Noticethis

    calculation

    does

    not

    require

    knowledge

    of

    the

    actual

    level

    of

    income,

    the

    exact

    utility

    function,ortheamountofgood2beingconsumed.

    S.AjazHussain,Dept.ofEconomics,UniversityofToronto

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    ECO 204, 2010-2011, Test 3 Solutions

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    (f)RecallthatthePDSsvariableinputswerequasivariablepower(denoteby)andquasivariablelabor(denotebywhileitsfixedinputswerequasifixedpower,quasifixedlaborandallotherinputs.Denoteallfixedinputsascapital.SupposePDSsproductionfunctionis:

    permission

    Page10of37

    S.AjazHussain,Dept.ofEconomics,UniversityofToronto

    Assume 1 and 0.Supposethepriceofpoweris$/hour,thepriceofquasivariablelaboris $30.25/hourandthepriceofcapitalis.Giventhat $4/hourand $24/hourwhatisthepriceofquasivariablepower?Hint:Solve theCMP

    m s. t. ax, andusethefactthat $4/hourand $24/hour.Showallcalculationsbelow.Answer:

    Wearetoldthat:

    4Thismeansthat:

    4Tofindweneedtoexpresstheoptimaldemandforpower intermsoftheparametersand(hopefully)solvefor.ThismeanswehavetosolvetheCMP.Thetotalcostof hoursofdataservices si : Wecouldsubstitutevaluesforsomeparametersnoworwecouldworkaslongaspossibleinparametric

    formandthensubstitutenumbers.Welldothelattersothatyoucanseethealgebra.

    TheCostMinimizationProblem(CMP)is:

    min, s. t. , , 0Now: 1sothat:

    min, s.t. , , 0

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    ECO 204, 2010-2011, Test 3 Solutions

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    SincetheproductionfunctionisoftheCobbDouglasformweknowthatfor 0 wemustusesomepowerandlaborsothat , 0.Assuch,wecandropthenonnegativityconstraints:

    mission

    Page11of37

    S.AjazHussain,Dept.ofEconomics,UniversityofToronto

    min,

    s.t. Now:

    max, s.t. SetuptheLagrangian:

    max, s.t.

    max,

    s. t.

    max, L 0

    TheFOCsare: L 7 0

    L 6 7 0

    L

    0The1stFOCimplies:

    L 7 0 7

    7 The2ndFOCimplies:

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    ECO 204, 2010-2011, Test 3 Solutions

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    Ldmaynotbeused rcommercial purposeswithoutpriorpermission

    Page12of37

    S.AjazHussain,Dept.ofEconomics,UniversityofToronto

    67 0 6

    7

    76 Equatingthesyieldsthefamiliartheoptimalinputbundleiswheretheisoquantistangenttotheisocostresult:

    7 76

    16 16

    Thisallowsustoisolatepower(orforthatmatte lab intermsoflabor(power).Forinstance:r or)

    16

    6 Wecansubstitutethisinthe3rdFOC:

    L 0

    6

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    ECO 204, 2010-2011, Test 3 Solutions

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    6

    6

    6

    6

    Now,wearetoldthat

    $4whichmeansthat:

    4 Substitutetheexpressionfor toget:

    4 4

    6

    Page13of37

    4

    1 6 1 4

    1

    6 1

    4

    4 6 1

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    ECO 204, 2010-2011, Test 3 Solutions

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    4 6 1

    Substitute $30.25 toget: 4 6 1

    Page14of37

    30.25 0.9976$1

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    ECO 204, 2010-2011, Test 3 Solutions

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    Question2[40Points.Parts(d)&(e)worth5pointseach,allotherpartsworth10pointseach]

    ThisquestionisbasedontheHBScaseTheAluminumIndustryin1994.Thefollowingtablecontainsthe

    coststructureoftheaverageCISprimaryaluminumsmelter,theaveragestateprimaryaluminum

    smelter,andtheaveragerationalprimaryaluminumsmelter(pleasenotethatcumulativecapacity

    belowisthetotalcapacityofallsmelterswithinacategory(forexample,thetotalcumulativecapacityof

    allCIS

    smelters

    is

    1.788

    million

    tons

    per

    year):

    Allcostfiguresare$/t

    VariablecostsareinBOLD

    Smelter

    AverageCIS

    Smelter

    AverageState

    Smelter

    Average

    Rational

    Smelter

    CountryCIS Allover Allover

    Company CIS State Rational

    AverageCapacity(000stpy)243.73 120.74 121.53

    Totalelectricitycost148.62 454.49 292.29

    Totalaluminacost382.13 407.27 348.49

    Otherrawmaterials63.69 163.57 120.62

    Plantpowerandfuel4.51 11.81 10.34

    Consumables76.92 56.72 73.91

    Maintenance39.57 46.45 53.84

    Labor17.80 62.73 194.19

    Freight68.76 53.17 37.82

    Generalandadministrative67.11 52.48 86.58

    Cumulativecapacity(000softons/year)

    (allsmelters

    in

    acategory)

    1,788.07

    (AllCIS)

    2,826.95

    (Allstate)

    16,962.17

    (Allrational)

    Totalvariablecostsperton($/ton)= 740.14 1,135.25 873.15

    Page15of37

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    ECO 204, 2010-2011, Test 3 Solutions

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    (a)Solvetheprofitmaximizingproblemfortheaverage a ionalr t primaryaluminumsmelter:

    max s. t. 0, Here

    priceofaluminum/ton,

    TotalfixedCost,

    =Totalvariablecostand

    capacity.Assume 0.Showallcalculations.Answer

    Sincethecasereportscostfiguresin$pertonweassumethatallsmeltershaveconstantreturnsso

    that:

    constant constant

    Thiswillbeusefulbelow.Now,asmeltersprofitmaximizationproblem(PMP)is:

    max s. t. 0, Notethatsmeltersarepricetakerssothat isaconstant.Recallthatallinequalityconstraintsmustbeexpressedintheform .Therefore:

    m a x s. t. 0, max s. t. 0,

    Havingexpressedallconstraintsintermsof form heLagrangian:, tmax,, L 0

    max,, L

    L 0TheFOCis:

    TheKuhnTuckerconditionsare:

    0 , , 0Page16of37

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    ECO 204, 2010-2011, Test 3 Solutions

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    0 , 0 , 0Noticethereare4possiblecasesthatmustbechecked:

    q=0

    (Checkwhen2 0)

    q=qc

    (Checkwhen1 0 )

    CaseA

    1=0(Checkwhenqqc)

    CaseB

    2=0

    (Checkwhenq0)

    q=qc

    (Checkwhen1 0 )

    CaseC

    1=0(Checkwhenqqc)

    CaseD

    CaseA 0 , Needtocheckif 0 , 0.

    Thisrequiresthat 0 and >0.ThuscaseAisimpossible.CaseB 0 , 0

    Needtocheckif

    0, .

    Since 0 theKTcondition isautom tisfied.Thusweneedtocheckif 0. StartwiththeFOC:

    aticallysaL 0

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    ECO 204, 2010-2011, Test 3 Solutions

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    0co ci oseswithoutpriorpermission

    Page18of37

    S.AjazHussain,Dept.ofEconomics,UniversityofToronto

    Substitute 0and 0: 0 0 0

    Thus,for 0 weneed: 0 0

    0 0

    CaseB

    is

    the

    solution

    when

    the

    price

    of

    aluminum

    is

    lower

    than

    0.Thisisbecausethemarginalcostofproducingthe1stunitisgreaterthanorequaltotheprice,orthe,ofthe1stunit.

    $

    Qty

    MC

    qc

    ConstantReturnsTechnology

    PMR

    B

    Thus,anytime

    0thecompetitivefirmssupplycurveis 0(thatsnotthesameastheMCcurve):

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    ECO 204, 2010-2011, Test 3 Solutions

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    $

    Qty

    MC

    qc

    ConstantReturnsTechnology

    PMR

    CaseBw n 0he 0 0 0

    CaseC , 0tocheckif

    0 , 0Need

    Since 0 theKTcondition 0 isautomaticallysatisfied.Thusweneedtocheckif 0:L 0

    0Substitute

    and

    0:

    0

    Thus,for 0 weneed:Page19of37

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    Page20of37

    S.AjazHussain,Dept.ofEconomics,UniversityofToronto

    CaseCwillbethesolutionifthealuminumprice,the

    , isgreaterthan

    themarginalcost

    atfull

    capacity:

    $

    Qty

    MC

    qc

    ConstantReturnsTechnology

    P

    MR

    C

    Thus,anytime

    thecompetitivefirmssupplycurveis

    .Againnoticethatthe

    competitive

    firms

    MC

    curve

    is

    not

    the

    supply

    curve:

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    ECO 204, 2010-2011, Test 3 Solutions

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    $

    Qty

    MC

    Page21of37

    qc

    ConstantReturnsTechnology

    PMR

    Cas eCwhen 0 CaseD 1 , 0

    Needtocheckif 0 , StartwiththeFOC:

    L 0 0

    Substitute

    0 0

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    ECO 204, 2010-2011, Test 3 Solutions

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    ThisisthefamiliarECO100resultthatacompetitivefirmproduceswherepriceequalsmarginalcost.

    TheonlyproblemisthatwedontknowwhencaseDwillbeasolutionforsure.Forthatweneedtothe

    conditionsunderwhich 0 and .From:

    Wehave:Thus:

    0

    0

    0 ThisgivesusaconditionforcaseDtobeasolutionandfortheoutputsuppliedtobebetween0andfull

    capacity.

    Intuitively,caseDsaysthatifthepriceoftheproductisbetween0andthefirmwillproduceanoutputbetweenzeroandfullcapacity:

    $

    Qty

    MC

    qc

    Constant

    Returns

    Technology

    PMR

    Optimaloutput

    anywhere

    between

    0

    and

    full

    capacity

    Page22of37

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    ECO 204, 2010-2011, Test 3 Solutions

    Thistestiscopyrightmateriala

    Thus,anytime0 thecompetitivefirmssupplycurveisalsoitsMCcurve:ndmaynotbeusedforcommercial purposeswithoutpriorpermission

    Page23of37

    S.AjazHussain,Dept.ofEconomics,UniversityofToronto

    $

    Qty

    MC

    qc

    Constant

    Returns

    Technology

    PMR

    CaseDwhen 0 0 0 Puttingallcasestogetherwehaveacompetitivesmelterssupplycurve:

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    ECO 204, 2010-2011, Test 3 Solutions

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    $

    Qty

    Supply

    Curve

    qc

    ConstantReturnsTechnology

    Putanotherway,thequantitysuppliedis:

    0, 0,0 ,

    (b)Basedonyouranswertopart(a)whatistheimpactontheaveragerationalsmeltersoptimalprofits

    from,holdingallelseconstant,a1%increasein:

    Thepriceofaluminum?

    Capacity?

    Theminimumoutput?

    Fixedcost?

    Assumethat

    $1,100/ton.Showallcalculations.

    Answer:

    Wearebeingaskedtoinvestigatetheimpactontheaveragerationalsmeltersprofitsduetoachange

    inaparametertheeasiestwaytosolvethisisbytheenvelopetheorem.Todothis,wemustfirstfind

    outtheaveragerationalsmeltersoutput.Recallthat:

    Page24of37

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    ECO 204, 2010-2011, Test 3 Solutions

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    Allcostfiguresare$/t

    VariablecostsareinBOLD

    Smelter

    AverageCIS

    Smelter

    AverageState

    Smelter

    Average

    Rational

    Smelter

    CountryCIS Allover Allover

    CompanyCIS State Rational

    AverageCapacity(000stpy)243.73 120.74 121.53

    Totalelectricitycost148.62 454.49 292.29

    Totalaluminacost382.13 407.27 348.49

    Otherrawmaterials 63.69 163.57 120.62

    Plantpowerandfuel4.51 11.81 10.34

    Consumables76.92 56.72 73.91

    Maintenance39.57 46.45 53.84

    Labor17.80 62.73 194.19

    Freight68.76 53.17 37.82

    Generalandadministrative67.11 52.48 86.58

    Cumulativecapacity(000softons/year)

    (allsmeltersinacategory)

    1,788.07

    (AllCIS)

    2,826.95

    (Allstate)

    16,962.17

    (Allrational)

    Totalvariablecostsperton($/ton)= 740.14 1,135.25 873.15

    Sinceweassumedallsmeltershaveconstantreturns,theaveragerationalsmelters $873.15for

    0, 0,121.53]:

    Page25of37

    S.AjazHussain,Dept.ofEconomics,UniversityofToronto

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    Thistestiscopyrightmaterialandmaynotbeusedforcommercialpurposeswithoutpriorpermission

    $

    Qty

    Supply

    Curve

    Page26of37

    qc =121.53

    AverageRationalSmelter

    MC=873.25

    Currently,thepriceofaluminumis a d$1,100/ton n since:

    $1,100 $873.15 Theaveragerationalsmelterwillproduceatfullcapacity(i.e.caseC):

    $

    Qty

    Supply

    Curve

    qc =121.53

    AverageRational

    Smelter

    P=$1,100 MR

    MC=$873.25

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    Page27of37

    S.AjazHussain,Dept.ofEconomics,UniversityofToronto

    eCwhen 0Thus: 121.53and:

    ,1 873.25 226.751 0 0

    0

    Since873.25 then 873.25 873.25121.52 $106,117 .Moreover,addingupallaveragefixedcostitemswehave:

    $345 345121.53 $41,928

    Therefore:

    1,100121.52 41,928 106,117

    133,67241,928106,117 $14,373Noticethatproducingatfullcapacitymaximizesprofitsinthesensethatitminimizesloss.(Asastudy

    question,you

    should

    check

    that

    operating

    at

    full

    capacity

    is

    better

    than

    shutting

    down,

    confirming

    the

    rulethatarationalcompanyincurringlossesshouldshutdownwhen).Now,whatistheimpactontheaveragerationalsmeltersoptimalprofitsfrom,holdingallelseconstant,

    a1%increasein:

    Thepriceofaluminum?

    Capacity?

    Theminimumoutput?

    Fixedcost?

    Bytheenvelopetheorem,thechangeintheobjective(inthiscaseprofits)fromasmallchangeina

    parameterisgottenbydifferentiatingtheLagrangianwithrespecttotheparameter,evaluatedatthe

    initialsolution.

    _____________________________________________________________________________________

    Optionalnote:RecalltheLagrangianwas:

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    Thistestiscopy materi landmay notbeusedforcommercial purposeswithoutprior permission

    max,, L 0right a

    Page28of37

    S.AjazHussain,Dept.ofEconomics,UniversityofToronto

    AnysolutiontothisproblemmustsatisfytheKTcondit s:ion

    0 0

    , , 0 , 0 , 0TheproducttermsintheKTconditionsimplythatattheoptimumthefollowingtermsarezero:

    max,, L 0 ThisiswhydifferentiatingtheoptimalLagrangianisequivalenttodifferentiatingoptimalprofitswith

    respecttotheparameter.

    ____________________________________________________________________________________

    EnvelopeTheorem:themarginalprofitduetoa1%increaseinaluminumprice

    TheLagrangianwas:

    max,, L 0DifferentiatingtheLagrangianwithrespectt min mprice:oalu u

    P L

    Thisistheimpactonprofitsfroma$1increaseinaluminumprice.Tofindtheimpactduetoa1%

    increaseinaluminumpricewehave:

    % % P L L L Evaluateatoptimalsolution:

    % % P

    *

    % % P 121.521,10014,373 9.3%% 9.3%% P% 9.3% 1 %

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    Page29of37

    S.AjazHussain,Dept.ofEconomics,UniversityofToronto

    % New Initial Initial 100

    New Initial

    9.3%

    Initial 0.093New Initial 0.093 Initial New Initial 0.093 Initial

    New 14,37314,3730.093New $13,036

    A1%increaseinaluminumpricesreducestheaveragerationalsmelterslossby9.3%orfromalossof

    ($14,373)toalossof($13,036).

    EnvelopeTheorem:themarginalprofitduetoexpandingcapacityby1%

    TheLagrangianwas:

    max,, L 0DifferentiatingtheLagrangianwithrespectt capac y:o it

    L

    L

    Thisistheimpactonprofitsfroma1unitincreaseincapacity.Tofindtheimpactduetoa1%increasein

    capacitywehave:

    % % L L L Evaluateatoptimalsolution:

    % % *

    % % 344.95 121.5214,373 2.92%% % 2.92% 1% 2.92%

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    Page30of37

    S.AjazHussain,Dept.ofEconomics,UniversityofToronto

    Initial 1New Initial Initial

    00 2.92% 0.0292

    N ew Initial 0.0292 Initial New Initial 0.0292 Initial New 14,37314,3730.0292

    New $13,953.31A1%increaseincapacityreducestheaveragerationalsmelterslossby2.92%orfromalossof

    ($14,373)toalossof($13,953.31).

    EnvelopeTheorem:themarginalprofitduetoraisingtheminimumoutputby1%

    TheLagrangianwas:

    max L 0,,

    Wehadrequiredthat 0.Rewritingthisconstraintas wehave: max,, L

    DifferentiatingtheLagrangianwithrespec

    :tto

    L Thisistheimpactonprofitsfroma1unitincreaseinminimumoutput.Tofindtheimpactduetoa1%

    increaseinminimumout have:putwe

    % % L L L 0 L 0Thereisnoimpactonoptimalprofitsfromraisingtheminimumoutputrequirementby1%.Why?

    Becausetheoptimalsolutionisforthesmeltertoproducewellabovezero,sothattheminimumoutput

    constraintdoesnotbindassuch,thereisnovalueinrelaxingtheconstraint.

    EnvelopeTheorem:themarginalprofitof1%higherfixedcost

    TheLagrangianwas:

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    max,, L 0right a

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    S.AjazHussain,Dept.ofEconomics,UniversityofToronto

    DifferentiatingtheLagrangianwithrespec :tto

    L

    1

    Thisistheimpactonprofitsfroma$1increaseinTFC.Tofindtheimpactduetoa1%increaseinTFCwe

    have:

    % % L L 1 L 1 Evaluateatoptimalsolution:

    % % 1 *

    % % 1 14,37341,928 2.% %

    92% 2.92% 1

    2.92%% New Initial Initial 1

    New Initial Initial

    00 2.92%

    0.0292N ew Initial 0.0292 Initial New Initial 0.0292 Initial

    New 14,37314,3730.0292 New $14,793

    A1%increaseinTFCraisestheaveragerationalsmelterslossby2.92%orfromalossof($14,373)toa

    lossof($14,793).

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    (c)GraphtheprimaryaluminumindustrysupplycurveasifallCISsmeltersbehaveliketheaverageCIS

    smelter,allstateownedsmeltersbehaveliketheaveragestatesmelter,andallrationalsmeltersbehave

    liketheaveragerationalsmelter.

    Answer:

    Fromthe

    case

    we

    know

    that

    CIS

    and

    state

    owned

    smelters

    most

    likely

    behave

    as

    irrational

    smelters,

    i.e.

    theyproducealuminumevenifthepricefallsbelow.Putanotherway,irrationalsmeltersproducealuminumregardlessoftheprice.Recallthat:

    Allcostfiguresare$/t

    VariablecostsareinBOLD

    Smelter

    AverageCIS

    Smelter

    AverageState

    Smelter

    Average

    Rational

    Smelter

    CountryCIS Allover Allover

    CompanyCIS State Rational

    AverageCapacity(000stpy)243.73 120.74 121.53

    Totalelectricitycost148.62 454.49 292.29

    Totalaluminacost382.13 407.27 348.49

    Otherrawmaterials63.69 163.57 120.62

    Plantpowerandfuel4.51 11.81 10.34

    Consumables76.92 56.72 73.91

    Maintenance39.57 46.45 53.84

    Labor17.80 62.73 194.19

    Freight68.76 53.17 37.82

    Generalandadministrative67.11 52.48 86.58

    Cumulativecapacity(000softons/year)

    (allsmeltersinacategory)

    1,788.07

    (AllCIS)

    2,826.95

    (Allstate)

    16,962.17

    (Allrational)

    Totalvariablecostsperton($/ton)= 740.14 1,135.25 873.15Page32of37

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    Assumingconstantreturnsandthatsmeltersproduceatfullcapacity(forcasesCandD)weseethat

    together,thestateandCISsmelterswillproduceacumulativeoutputof1,788.07+2,826.95=4,615.02

    000stonsatanypricewhiletherationalsmelterswillproduce16,962.17000softonssolongas 873.15:

    $

    Qty

    (mtons)

    PrimaryAluminumIndustry

    Supply

    Curve

    Page33of37

    CIS&Statesmelters

    Rational

    smelters

    873.25

    4.61m 21.588m

    (d)[Thispartisindependentofallpartsbelow]Graphtheprimaryaluminumindustrysupplycurvefrom

    part(c)belowandthenshowtheimpactofallrationalsmeltersexperiencinglearningbydoing

    (assumelearning

    by

    doing

    has

    asmall

    effect).

    Answer

    Withlearningbydoingtherewillbeadecreaseineverysmelters. However,sincethestateandCISsmeltersproduceatanyprice,therewillbenochangeinthetheirsupplycurvewhilstlearningby

    doingpushestherationalsmelterssupplycurvedown:

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    ECO 204, 2010-2011, Test 3 Solutions

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    $

    Qty

    (mtons)

    PrimaryAluminumIndustry

    Supply

    Curve

    Page34of37

    CIS&Statesmelters

    Rational

    smelters

    873.25

    4.61m 21.588m

    (e)Usetheprimaryaluminumsupplymodelinpart(c)topredictthedemandforprimaryaluminumfor

    thecaseforthecaseswhen(i) $ 8 0 0/ton,(ii)$1,100/ton.Pleaseshowallgraphsbelowandexplainyourreasoning.

    Answer:

    Case(i):$800/.Inthiscase:

    S.AjazHussain,Dept.ofEconomics,UniversityofToronto

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    $

    Qty

    (mtons)

    PrimaryAluminumIndustry

    Supply

    Curve

    Page35of37

    CIS&Statesmelters

    Rational

    smelters873.25

    P=800

    4.61m 21.588m

    NoticethatallCISandstatesmelterswillproducealuminumwhileallrationalsmelterswillshutdown.

    Thetotaloutputwillbe4.61mtons.Assumingnoinventorybuildupsorrundowns,demandforprimary

    aluminum w l ns.i lbe4.61mto

    Case(ii):$1,100/.Inthiscase:

    $

    Qty

    (mtons)

    PrimaryAluminumIndustry

    Supply

    Curve

    P=1,100

    CIS&

    State

    smelters

    Rational

    smelters873.25

    4.61m 21.588m

    S.AjazHussain,Dept.ofEconomics,UniversityofToronto

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    Noticethatallsmelterswillproducealuminum.Thetotaloutputwillbe21.588mtons.Assumingno

    inventorybuildupsorrundowns,demandforprimaryaluminumwillbe21.588mtons..

    TheEnd

    WORKSHEETS

    Page36of37

    S.AjazHussain,Dept.ofEconomics,UniversityofToronto

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