Christoph Schraff [email protected]
description
Transcript of Christoph Schraff [email protected]
05.08.2005 - 1 -
COSMO General MeetingZürich, 20 - 23 Sept 2005 [email protected]
Christoph [email protected]
Revision of Quality Control for Radiosonde Humidity
24-h precipitation analysisfor 1 August 2004 , 6 UTC
relative humidity profile at Stuttgart31 July 17 UTC
LM ass without use of profileref LM assobs
Motivation
‘ref’ LM assimilationopr. humidity QC setting
Stuttgart
> 100 mm
05.08.2005 - 2 -
COSMO General MeetingZürich, 20 - 23 Sept 2005 [email protected]
threshold quality control for individual observations (first guess check)
• relative humidity observation RHo rejected if : | RHo – RHb | > RHthr
z
T
crit To
k
Tok+1
sT
• further revision to increase threshold in stable conditions and in particular at inversions where model errors are known to be larger ( limit RHthr(3) (to)
≤ 70 % )
b b * (1 + fstable + finvers ) , where
for lapse rate > crit = – 0.0065 K/m :
fstable = ¼ * (1 + sT /(1+sT)) * (1 – min{,0} / crit )
• operational (‘ref’) : RHthr (to) = 70 % , RHthr (t[h]) = RHthr (to) * (1 + 0.1* | to – t | )
• revision (analogous to revised GME scheme):
RHthr(1,3) (to) = min { (o2
+ b2
) ½
, 2 b } * cflag(1,3) , where
observation error o = 10 % ( 15% for To < 233K , 20% for RHo < 20% )
background error b = 10 % ( 15% south of 30 N )
constant cflag(3) = 3.1 ( cflag(1) = 1.8 for flag 1 as used in multi-level check )
for lapse rate > 0 : finvers = 0.2 * Tinvers * (1 + min{2, / 0.05[K/m]} )
both factors increase with increasing stability and with increasing T
05.08.2005 - 3 -
COSMO General MeetingZürich, 20 - 23 Sept 2005 [email protected]
multi-level check
• define ‘analysis layers’: as standard layers, except p = 50 hPa below 700 hPa p = 25 hPa below 800 hPa
(boundaries of standard layers: ps , 925, 775, 600, 450,
• criterion: if 4 or all consecutive standard layers contain observations with flag > 0 ,set these standard layers to rejected
• follow-up criterion: each analysis layer within these standard layers are rejectedif they contain observations with flag > 0
all observations within these rejected analysis layers are rejected
05.08.2005 - 4 -
COSMO General MeetingZürich, 20 - 23 Sept 2005 [email protected]
spatial consistency check of integrated water vapour
• derive observation increments of IWV from radiosonde humidity profiles and optionally from ground-based GPS ZPD data
• at each observation location, an‘analysis increment’ is computedfrom neighbouring observations
1,max
),(2
2
kj kj
jjkj kjaik
w
tIWVIWVwIWV
x
, kaithr
aikkk IWVIWVtxIWVIWV
• analysis increments used to correct model background value to obtain a better estimateof ‘truth’ revised first guess check
many observations used for analysis increment better estimate of truth decrease threshold
large analysis increment = disagreement of model and obs large uncertainty increase threshold
aikj kjothro
aithr
k IWVwtIWVtIWV 1,2.0min2.01)()( 2
satmoothr IWVtIWV 15.01)( [mm]
• no neighbouring observations (no GPS) : first guess check on IWV
many neighbouring observations : checks consistency of current obs to them
05.08.2005 - 5 -
COSMO General MeetingZürich, 20 - 23 Sept 2005 [email protected]
why all this ?
• if threshold RHthr too small too many good observations near inversions are rejected
13 Feb 2003, 0 UTC
(old) GME QC thresholds
too tight → GME thresholds revised
larger stability-dependent thresholds
thresholds too small (no IWV-QC)
new QC incl. IWV, larger thresh.
ok
LM ass., opr. QC (ref)
01:53
NOAA IR
05.08.2005 - 6 -
COSMO General MeetingZürich, 20 - 23 Sept 2005 [email protected]
results, low stratus period
• low-stratus period 8 – 13 Feb 2003, assimilation cycle with forecasts (GPS used / not used)
- multi-level check rejects 4 % of profiles (completely or partly, above ps … 700 hPa)
- IWV check rejects 1 % of profiles (completely)
- << 1 % of remaining individual observations rejected by first guess check
- > 80 % of rejected data are close to lateral domain boundaries (within ~ 50 grid points)
boundary fields too moist (GME-OI)
background field too moist rejection of (good) profile
new QCref QC
obs
12 UTC
Warsaw12 Feb 0 UTC
new QCref QC
obs
13 Feb 2003, 12 UTC
Warsaw boundary
east-west vertical cross sectionLM-ass. using Warsaw sounding
12 Feb 2003, 0 UTC
05.08.2005 - 7 -
COSMO General MeetingZürich, 20 - 23 Sept 2005 [email protected]
Stuttgart30 July 23 UTC
new QCref QC
obs
Stuttgart19 July 23 UTC
new QCref QC
obs
24-h precipitation 30 – 31 July 2004, 6 UTC
> 100 mm
humidity profile rejected by spatial consistency check of IWV
> 100 mm
LM ass, ref QC LM ass, new QCobserved precipitation
24-h precipitation 19 – 20 July 2004, 6 UTC
humidity profile above 925 hPa rejected by first guess / multi-level check
05.08.2005 - 8 -
COSMO General MeetingZürich, 20 - 23 Sept 2005 [email protected]
Stuttgart22 July 23 UTC
new QCref QC
obs
24-h precipitation 22 – 23 July 2004, 6 UTC
humidity profile not rejected !
Stuttgart23 July 17 UTC
new QCref QCobs
24-h precipitation 23 – 24 July 2004, 6 UTC
humidity profile rejected (only) above 850 hPa by first guess / multi-level check
observed precipitation LM ass, ref QC
75 mm
LM ass, new QC
50 mm
20 mm 30 mm
05.08.2005 - 9 -
COSMO General MeetingZürich, 20 - 23 Sept 2005 [email protected]
summary
• introduced smaller, stability-dependent thresholds for radiosonde humidity
• adjusted multi-level check, rejects 2 % (summer period) to 4 % (low-stratus winter period) of humidity profiles
• introduced IWV spatial consistency check (both for radiosonde and GPS data; without dense GPS data IWV first guess check), rejects 1 % of profiles
• QC accepts almost all good data near inversions
• rejects most erroneous profiles of radiosonde Stuttgart (in particular the ones with worst impact)
• will go into next LM version and become operational