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Page 1: DG AGRI DASHBOARD: PIGMEAT Last update: 03/03/2020 … · 2020-03-03 · Change in pig population Livestock survey May-June 2019 compared to May-June 2018 (13 MS) Livestock Survey

LTㅤㅤㅤㅤㅤㅤ

SKㅤㅤㅤㅤㅤㅤ

NLㅤㅤㅤㅤㅤㅤ

CYㅤㅤㅤㅤㅤㅤ

SIㅤㅤㅤㅤㅤㅤ

EEㅤㅤㅤㅤㅤㅤ

LVㅤㅤㅤㅤㅤㅤ

ITㅤㅤㅤㅤㅤㅤ

ESㅤㅤㅤㅤㅤㅤ

HRㅤㅤㅤㅤㅤㅤ

IEㅤㅤㅤㅤㅤㅤ

FIㅤㅤㅤㅤㅤㅤ

FRㅤㅤㅤㅤㅤㅤ

PTㅤㅤㅤㅤㅤㅤ

BGㅤㅤㅤㅤㅤㅤ

CZㅤㅤㅤㅤㅤㅤ

LUㅤㅤㅤㅤㅤㅤ

ATㅤㅤㅤㅤㅤㅤ

HUㅤㅤㅤㅤㅤㅤ

DEㅤㅤㅤㅤㅤㅤ

SEㅤㅤㅤㅤㅤㅤ

MTㅤㅤㅤㅤㅤㅤ

BEㅤㅤㅤㅤㅤㅤ

PLㅤㅤㅤㅤㅤㅤ

DKㅤㅤㅤㅤㅤㅤ

ROㅤㅤㅤㅤㅤㅤ

ELㅤㅤㅤㅤㅤㅤ

ㅤㅤㅤㅤㅤㅤㅤㅤ

EUㅤㅤㅤㅤㅤㅤ

-10

-5

0

5

10

11,9%

9,6%

4,3%

4,1%

4,0%

3,8%

3,1%

2,0%

1,0%

0,8%

0,3%

0,3%

0,2%

0,1%

-0,1%

-0,4%

-1,2%

-1,3%

-1,8%

-2,7%

-2,8%

-3,0%

-4,6%

-5,8%

-6,9%

-8,1%

-11,3%

-3,2%

Changes in EU pigmeat slaughter ('000 Heads)

2020/2019 (Jan - Dec)

Back01

2019-03

2019-05

2019-07

2019-09

2019-11

2020-01

2020-03

1,095

1,1

1,105

1,11

1,115

1,12

1,125

EUR = USD

2019-03

2019-05

2019-07

2019-09

2019-11

2020-01

2020-03

4,3

4,4

4,5

4,6

4,7

4,8

4,9

EUR = BRL

2019-03

2019-05

2019-07

2019-09

2019-11

2020-01

2020-03

1,45

1,46

1,47

1,48

1,49

1,5

1,51

EUR = CAD

Chinaㅤ-ㅤ54ㅤ984ㅤ-ㅤ45%

EuropeanㅤUnionㅤ-ㅤ24ㅤ075ㅤ-ㅤ20%

USAㅤ-ㅤ11ㅤ943ㅤ-ㅤ10%

VietㅤNamㅤ-ㅤ3ㅤ816ㅤ-ㅤ3% Brazilㅤ-ㅤ3ㅤ788ㅤ-ㅤ3%

RussianㅤFederationㅤ-ㅤ3ㅤ744ㅤ-ㅤ3%

Canadaㅤ-ㅤ2ㅤ142ㅤ-ㅤ2%

Othersㅤ-ㅤ16ㅤ389ㅤ-ㅤ14%

World Production of Pigmeat (in 1000 tonnes product weight)

(Year 2018)

Liveㅤswine,

domestic

species

Piglets,ㅤless

thanㅤ20ㅤkg

Pigs,ㅤfromㅤ20

kgㅤtoㅤlessㅤthan

50ㅤkg

Breedingㅤsows

Coveredㅤsows

Fatteningㅤpigs,

50ㅤkgㅤorㅤover

Fatteningㅤpigs,

fromㅤ50ㅤkgㅤto

lessㅤthanㅤ80ㅤkg

Fatteningㅤpigs,

fromㅤ80ㅤkgㅤto

lessㅤthanㅤ11...

-4

-3

-2

-1

0

-1,9%

-0,2%

-4,0%

-2,9%

-2,5%

-1,7%

-2,9%

-1,9%

Change in pig population

Livestock survey May-June 2019 compared to May-June 2018 (13 MS)

Liv

esto

ck

Su

rve

yW

orl

d P

rod

ucti

on

Wo

rld

Qu

ota

tio

ns

DG AGRI DASHBOARD: PIGMEAT Last update: 03/03/2020E

U P

rice

sE

U P

rod

ucti

on

Ca

rca

ss C

lasse

sE

U P

rod

ucti

on

EU

Tra

de

Wo

rld

Tra

de

EU Prices

Average (S-E)

Class E

Class S

Piglet

Week 8Evolution since

last weekEvolution since

last monthEvolution since

last year

€/head

€/1

00

kg

ca

rca

ss w

eig

ht

2 4 6 8

10

12

14

16

18

20

22

24

26

28

30

32

34

36

38

40

42

44

46

48

50

52

140

160

180

200 2020

2019

ㅤAverageㅤ2015ㅤ-ㅤ2019

EU evolution of the EU pig carcase prices (€/100kg)

2 4 6 8

10

12

14

16

18

20

22

24

26

28

30

32

34

36

38

40

42

44

46

48

50

52

40

50

60

702020

2019

ㅤAverageㅤ2015ㅤ-ㅤ2019

EU evolution of the EU average piglet prices (€/head)

2015 2016 2017 2018 2019ㅤ(UpㅤtoㅤNov)

240000

242000

244000

246000

248000

244ㅤ186

247ㅤ474

244ㅤ559

248ㅤ380

240ㅤ372

EU pig slaughter by year

(in 1000 heads)

Yearㅤ2015 Yearㅤ2016 Yearㅤ2017 Jan-Decㅤ2018 Yearㅤ2018 Jan-Decㅤ2019

0

1000

2000

3000

4000

5000

3ㅤ439

4ㅤ240

3ㅤ917

3ㅤ939

3ㅤ939

4ㅤ736

EU+UK Exports evolution (in 1000 tonnes carcase weight)

DEㅤ-ㅤ5ㅤ343ㅤ-ㅤ23%

ESㅤ-ㅤ4ㅤ530ㅤ-ㅤ20%

FRㅤ-ㅤ2ㅤ182ㅤ-ㅤ10%

PLㅤ-ㅤ2ㅤ082ㅤ-ㅤ9%

DKㅤ-ㅤ1ㅤ581ㅤ-ㅤ7%

NLㅤ-ㅤ1ㅤ536ㅤ-ㅤ7% ITㅤ-ㅤ1ㅤ471ㅤ-ㅤ6%BEㅤ-ㅤ1ㅤ073ㅤ-ㅤ5%

Othersㅤ-ㅤ3ㅤ121ㅤ-ㅤ14%

EU Main Producers (1000 tonnes product weight)

EU+UK

UnitedㅤStates

Canada

Brazil

Chinaㅤ+ㅤHongㅤKong

Chile

Mexico

Russia

Others

0

1000

2000

3000

4000

Quantityㅤinㅤ1000ㅤtonnes

3ㅤ484

2ㅤ574

1ㅤ166

731

697

198

139

108 468

4ㅤ186

2ㅤ799

1ㅤ177

850

391

226

132

127

404

2018ㅤ(Jan-Dec)

2019ㅤ(Jan-Dec)

Main World Exporters of PIG Products (up to December)

2018/02/26

2018/03/26

2018/04/23

2018/05/21

2018/06/18

2018/07/16

2018/08/13

2018/09/10

2018/10/08

2018/11/05

2018/12/03

2018/12/31

2019/01/28

2019/02/25

2019/03/25

2019/04/22

2019/05/20

2019/06/17

2019/07/15

2019/08/12

2019/09/09

2019/10/07

2019/11/04

2019/12/02

2019/12/30

2020/01/27

60

90

120

150

180

210

EU US BR CA

World weekly average Pig Prices 2018-2020 in Euro / 100Kg carcase

(EU, Brazil, Canada and USA)

Sㅤ-ㅤ61,28%

Eㅤ-ㅤ30,67%

Uㅤ-ㅤ6,20%

Rㅤ-ㅤ1,50%Oㅤ-ㅤ0,30%

Pㅤ-ㅤ0,05%

Sㅤ-ㅤ61,28%

Eㅤ-ㅤ30,67%

Uㅤ-ㅤ6,20%

Rㅤ-ㅤ1,50%

Oㅤ-ㅤ0,30%

Pㅤ-ㅤ0,05%

Distribution of pig carcases on grades

(EU average 2018)

EU+UK Exports (Topdestinations)

8 MSs = 83% oftotal EU

production

Year 2018 Total EU = 22920

(+2,0% over 2017)

7 countries = 86% oftotal production

Year 2018Total = 120881

(+0,8% over 2017)

EU figures exclude UK (also for years prior to Brexit) EU figures exclude UK (also for years prior to Brexit) EU figures exclude UK (also for years prior to Brexit)

EU average includes the UK until Brexit

EU data withoutthe UK

Chinaㅤ+ㅤHongㅤKong

Japan

Mexico

SouthㅤKorea

UnitedㅤStates

Philippines

Canada

Australia

Others

0

1000

2000

3000

4000

Quantityㅤinㅤ1000ㅤtonnes

2ㅤ936

1ㅤ207

1ㅤ060

617

514

327

265

175

1ㅤ371

3ㅤ695

1ㅤ220

727

569

469

289

275

218

1ㅤ311

2018ㅤ(Jan-Dec)

2019ㅤ(Jan-Dec)

Main World Importers of PIG Products (up to December)

Page 2: DG AGRI DASHBOARD: PIGMEAT Last update: 03/03/2020 … · 2020-03-03 · Change in pig population Livestock survey May-June 2019 compared to May-June 2018 (13 MS) Livestock Survey

label1

Evolution sincelast year

Evolution sincelast month

Evolution sincelast week

Class E

Average (S-E)

EU Prices Week 8

Piglet

Class S

€/head

€/1

00

kg

ca

rca

ss w

eig

ht

Source: MSs (Weekly communications under Reg. 2017/1185) EU figures exclude UK (also for years prior to Brexit)

Page 3: DG AGRI DASHBOARD: PIGMEAT Last update: 03/03/2020 … · 2020-03-03 · Change in pig population Livestock survey May-June 2019 compared to May-June 2018 (13 MS) Livestock Survey

2 4 6 8

10

12

14

16

18

20

22

24

26

28

30

32

34

36

38

40

42

44

46

48

50

52

129

135

141

147

153

159

165

171

177

183

189

195

2012020

2019

ㅤAverageㅤ2015ㅤ-ㅤ2019

EU evolution of the EU pig carcase prices (€/100kg)

Source: MSs (Weekly communications under Reg. 2017/1185) EU figures exclude UK (also for years prior to Brexit)

Page 4: DG AGRI DASHBOARD: PIGMEAT Last update: 03/03/2020 … · 2020-03-03 · Change in pig population Livestock survey May-June 2019 compared to May-June 2018 (13 MS) Livestock Survey

2 4 6 8

10

12

14

16

18

20

22

24

26

28

30

32

34

36

38

40

42

44

46

48

50

52

38

42

46

50

54

58

62

66

70

2020

2019

ㅤAverageㅤ2015ㅤ-ㅤ2019

EU evolution of the EU average piglet prices (€/head)

Source: MSs (Weekly communications under Reg. 2017/1185) EU figures exclude UK (also for years prior to Brexit)

Page 5: DG AGRI DASHBOARD: PIGMEAT Last update: 03/03/2020 … · 2020-03-03 · Change in pig population Livestock survey May-June 2019 compared to May-June 2018 (13 MS) Livestock Survey

2018/02/26

2018/03/19

2018/04/09

2018/04/30

2018/05/21

2018/06/11

2018/07/02

2018/07/23

2018/08/13

2018/09/03

2018/09/24

2018/10/15

2018/11/05

2018/11/26

2018/12/17

2019/01/07

2019/01/28

2019/02/18

2019/03/11

2019/04/01

2019/04/22

2019/05/13

2019/06/03

2019/06/24

2019/07/15

2019/08/05

2019/08/26

2019/09/16

2019/10/07

2019/10/28

2019/11/18

2019/12/09

2019/12/30

2020/01/20

2020/02/10

60

80

100

120

140

160

180

200 EU US BR CA

World weekly average Pig Prices 2018-2020 in Euro / 100Kg carcase

(EU, Brazil, Canada and USA)

EU = weighted average of MS prices for classes S (65,97%) and E (34,03%). EU average includes the UK until Brexit.US = weekly USDA national weighted average carcass prices (https://mpr.datamart.ams.usda.gov/amsdashboard/swine/Swine_Dashboard_Option_1.html)BR = average of Valor Vista prices in main producing states (cepea.esalq.usp.br/br/indicador/suino.aspx)CA = Quebec Index 100 Hogs Weighted Average prices (agr.gc.ca)

188,54

101,42

141,34

99,18

Page 6: DG AGRI DASHBOARD: PIGMEAT Last update: 03/03/2020 … · 2020-03-03 · Change in pig population Livestock survey May-June 2019 compared to May-June 2018 (13 MS) Livestock Survey

2019-03

2019-04

2019-05

2019-06

2019-07

2019-08

2019-09

2019-10

2019-11

2019-12

2020-01

2020-02

2020-03

1,449

1,452

1,455

1,458

1,461

1,464

1,467

1,47

1,473

1,476

1,479

1,482

1,485

1,488

1,491

1,494

1,497

1,5

1,503

1,506

1,509

EUR = CAD

2019-03

2019-04

2019-05

2019-06

2019-07

2019-08

2019-09

2019-10

2019-11

2019-12

2020-01

2020-02

2020-03

4,26

4,29

4,32

4,35

4,38

4,41

4,44

4,47

4,5

4,53

4,56

4,59

4,62

4,65

4,68

4,71

4,74

4,77

4,8

4,83

4,86

4,89

4,92

4,95

4,98

EUR = BRL2019-03

2019-04

2019-05

2019-06

2019-07

2019-08

2019-09

2019-10

2019-11

2019-12

2020-01

2020-02

2020-03

1,092

1,094

1,096

1,098

1,1

1,102

1,104

1,106

1,108

1,11

1,112

1,114

1,116

1,118

1,12

1,122

1,124

1,126

1,128

EUR = USD

Source: ECB (European Central Bank)

Page 7: DG AGRI DASHBOARD: PIGMEAT Last update: 03/03/2020 … · 2020-03-03 · Change in pig population Livestock survey May-June 2019 compared to May-June 2018 (13 MS) Livestock Survey

Liveㅤswine,ㅤdomestic

species

Piglets,ㅤlessㅤthanㅤ20ㅤkg

Pigs,ㅤfromㅤ20ㅤkgㅤtoㅤless

thanㅤ50ㅤkg

Breedingㅤsows

Coveredㅤsows

Fatteningㅤpigs,ㅤ50ㅤkgㅤor

over

Fatteningㅤpigs,ㅤfromㅤ50

kgㅤtoㅤlessㅤthanㅤ80ㅤkg

Fatteningㅤpigs,ㅤfromㅤ80

kgㅤtoㅤlessㅤthanㅤ110ㅤkg

-4,2

-3,8

-3,4

-3

-2,6

-2,2

-1,8

-1,4

-1

-0,6

-0,2

-1,9%

-0,2%

-4,0%

-2,9%

-2,5%

-1,7%

-2,9%

-1,9%

Change in pig population

Livestock survey May-June 2019 compared to May-June 2018 (13 MS)

MS: Austria, Belgium, Denmark, France, Germany, Hungary, Ireland, Italy, Netherlands, Poland, Romania, Spain, Sweden

Source: Eurostat

Page 8: DG AGRI DASHBOARD: PIGMEAT Last update: 03/03/2020 … · 2020-03-03 · Change in pig population Livestock survey May-June 2019 compared to May-June 2018 (13 MS) Livestock Survey

Sㅤ-ㅤ61,28%

Eㅤ-ㅤ30,67%

Uㅤ-ㅤ6,20%

Rㅤ-ㅤ1,50%

Oㅤ-ㅤ0,30%Pㅤ-ㅤ0,05%

Sㅤ-ㅤ61,28%

Eㅤ-ㅤ30,67%

Uㅤ-ㅤ6,20%

Rㅤ-ㅤ1,50%

Oㅤ-ㅤ0,30%

Pㅤ-ㅤ0,05%

Distribution of pig carcases on grades

(EU average 2018)

Source: MSs

Page 9: DG AGRI DASHBOARD: PIGMEAT Last update: 03/03/2020 … · 2020-03-03 · Change in pig population Livestock survey May-June 2019 compared to May-June 2018 (13 MS) Livestock Survey

DEㅤ-ㅤ5ㅤ343ㅤ-ㅤ23%

ESㅤ-ㅤ4ㅤ530ㅤ-ㅤ20%

FRㅤ-ㅤ2ㅤ182ㅤ-ㅤ10%

PLㅤ-ㅤ2ㅤ082ㅤ-ㅤ9%

DKㅤ-ㅤ1ㅤ581ㅤ-ㅤ7%

NLㅤ-ㅤ1ㅤ536ㅤ-ㅤ7% ITㅤ-ㅤ1ㅤ471ㅤ-ㅤ6%

BEㅤ-ㅤ1ㅤ073ㅤ-ㅤ5%

Othersㅤ-ㅤ3ㅤ121ㅤ-ㅤ14%

EU Main Producers (1000 tonnes product weight)

Source: Eurostat

8 MSs = 83% of totalEU production

Year 2018 Total EU = 22920

(+2,0% over 2017)

Page 10: DG AGRI DASHBOARD: PIGMEAT Last update: 03/03/2020 … · 2020-03-03 · Change in pig population Livestock survey May-June 2019 compared to May-June 2018 (13 MS) Livestock Survey

2015 2016 2017 2018 2019ㅤ(UpㅤtoㅤNov)

240000

241000

242000

243000

244000

245000

246000

247000

248000

249000

244ㅤ186

247ㅤ474

244ㅤ559

248ㅤ380

240ㅤ372

EU pig slaughter by year

(in 1000 heads)

Source: Eurostat EU data without the UK

Page 11: DG AGRI DASHBOARD: PIGMEAT Last update: 03/03/2020 … · 2020-03-03 · Change in pig population Livestock survey May-June 2019 compared to May-June 2018 (13 MS) Livestock Survey

Chinaㅤ-ㅤ54ㅤ984ㅤ-ㅤ45%

EuropeanㅤUnionㅤ-ㅤ24ㅤ075ㅤ-ㅤ20%

USAㅤ-ㅤ11ㅤ943ㅤ-ㅤ10%VietㅤNamㅤ-ㅤ3ㅤ816ㅤ-ㅤ3%

Brazilㅤ-ㅤ3ㅤ788ㅤ-ㅤ3%

RussianㅤFederationㅤ-ㅤ3ㅤ744ㅤ-ㅤ3%

Canadaㅤ-ㅤ2ㅤ142ㅤ-ㅤ2%

Othersㅤ-ㅤ16ㅤ389ㅤ-ㅤ14%

World Production of Pigmeat (in 1000 tonnes product weight)

(Year 2018)

Source: FAO

7 countries = 86% of totalproduction

Year 2018Total = 120881

(+0,8% over 2017)

Page 12: DG AGRI DASHBOARD: PIGMEAT Last update: 03/03/2020 … · 2020-03-03 · Change in pig population Livestock survey May-June 2019 compared to May-June 2018 (13 MS) Livestock Survey

label65

LTㅤㅤ

SKㅤㅤ

NLㅤㅤ

CYㅤㅤ

SIㅤㅤ

EEㅤㅤ

LVㅤㅤ

ITㅤㅤ

ESㅤㅤ

HRㅤㅤ

IEㅤㅤ

FIㅤㅤ

FRㅤㅤ

PTㅤㅤ

BGㅤㅤ

CZㅤㅤ

LUㅤㅤ

ATㅤㅤ

HUㅤㅤ

DEㅤㅤ

SEㅤㅤ

MTㅤㅤ

BEㅤㅤ

PLㅤㅤ

DKㅤㅤ

ROㅤㅤ

ELㅤㅤ

ㅤㅤㅤㅤ

EUㅤㅤ

-12

-10

-8

-6

-4

-2

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

11,9%

9,6%

4,3%

4,1%

4,0%

3,8%

3,1%

2,0%

1,0%

0,8%

0,3%

0,3%

0,2%

0,1%

-0,1%

-0,4%

-1,2%

-1,3%

-1,8%

-2,7%

-2,8%

-3,0%

-4,6%

-5,8%

-6,9%

-8,1%

-11,3%

-3,2%

Changes in EU pigmeat slaughter ('000 Heads)

2020/2019 (Jan - Dec)

Source: Eurostat

Page 13: DG AGRI DASHBOARD: PIGMEAT Last update: 03/03/2020 … · 2020-03-03 · Change in pig population Livestock survey May-June 2019 compared to May-June 2018 (13 MS) Livestock Survey

Source: Eurostat

Yearㅤ2015 Yearㅤ2016 Yearㅤ2017 Jan-Decㅤ2018 Yearㅤ2018 Jan-Decㅤ20190

300

600

900

1200

1500

1800

2100

2400

2700

3000

3300

3600

3900

4200

4500

4800

5100

3ㅤ439

4ㅤ240

3ㅤ917

3ㅤ939

3ㅤ939

4ㅤ736

EU+UK Exports evolution (in 1000 tonnes carcase weight)

Page 14: DG AGRI DASHBOARD: PIGMEAT Last update: 03/03/2020 … · 2020-03-03 · Change in pig population Livestock survey May-June 2019 compared to May-June 2018 (13 MS) Livestock Survey

label65

Source: Eurostat

EU+UK Exports Top destinations (tonnes carcase weight)

Page 15: DG AGRI DASHBOARD: PIGMEAT Last update: 03/03/2020 … · 2020-03-03 · Change in pig population Livestock survey May-June 2019 compared to May-June 2018 (13 MS) Livestock Survey

EU+UK

UnitedㅤStates

Canada

Brazil

Chinaㅤ+ㅤHongㅤKong

Chile

Mexicoㅤ(upㅤtoㅤNov)

Russiaㅤ(upㅤtoㅤNov)

Others

0

400

800

1200

1600

2000

2400

2800

3200

3600

4000

4400

Quantityㅤinㅤ1000ㅤtonnes 3ㅤ484

2ㅤ574

1ㅤ166

731

697

198

139

108 468

4ㅤ186

2ㅤ799

1ㅤ177

850

391

226

132

127 404

2018ㅤ(Jan-Dec)

2019ㅤ(Jan-Dec)

Main World Exporters of PIG Products (up to December)

Source: Eurostat & IHS Markit/GTA

Page 16: DG AGRI DASHBOARD: PIGMEAT Last update: 03/03/2020 … · 2020-03-03 · Change in pig population Livestock survey May-June 2019 compared to May-June 2018 (13 MS) Livestock Survey

Chinaㅤ+ㅤHongㅤKong

Japan

Mexicoㅤ(upㅤtoㅤNov)

SouthㅤKorea

UnitedㅤStates

Philippinesㅤ(upㅤtoㅤNov)

Canada

Australia

Others

0

400

800

1200

1600

2000

2400

2800

3200

3600

4000

Quantityㅤinㅤ1000ㅤtonnes

2ㅤ936

1ㅤ207

1ㅤ060

617

514

327

265

175

1ㅤ371

3ㅤ695

1ㅤ220

727

569

469

289

275

218

1ㅤ311

2018ㅤ(Jan-Dec)

2019ㅤ(Jan-Dec)

Main World Importers of PIG Products (up to December)

Source: Eurostat & IHS Markit/GTA