SOA 2013 LTC Combo Product Update

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    SOA 2013 Life & Annuity Symposium

    May 6-7, 2013

    Session 77 PD, LTC Combo Product Update

    Moderator:

    Carl A. Friedrich, FSA, MAAA

    Presenters:

    Carl A. Friedrich, FSA, MAAA

    Dean Andrew Kerr, FSA, ACIA

    Primary Competency

    Results-Oriented Solutions

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    077 PD - LTC Combo Product

    Update

    Moderator:Presenters: Carl FriedrichDean Kerr

    Time: May 7, 2013 12:45PM

    Agenda Intro

    LTC Combo overview

    Sales infoNumbers, trends and who is selling

    Polling

    Product updates and trendsChronic Illness

    Annuit

    Life

    Pricing in a low interest rate environment

    Final polling

    Q&A

    2

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    Annuity Combo Overview

    Product design

    , ,

    Product marketing

    Consumer typically already interested in an annuity

    product

    Level of efficiency driven by benefit design/structure

    Regulation and tax considerations

    PPA (2006) amended section 7702B

    Exclusions

    5

    Sales Trends

    Source:

    LIMRA 2010

    over

    2009 2011

    over

    20 10 2 01 2

    over

    2011

    Linked benefitplansby

    count

    60% 66% (1)%

    Acceleration onlyriders

    bycount

    76% 29% 27%

    Allcombosby

    premium

    62% 56% 10%

    Allcombosbycount 69% 38% 19%

    Allcombos,

    single

    premiumbycount62% 56% 3%

    All,recurringpremium

    bycount

    81% 38% 29%

    6

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    Sales Trends

    Source:

    LIMRA 2010 2011 2012

    o a rs yearprem um . on . on . on

    Totalpoliciessold 26,000 72,000 86,000

    Source:

    Milliman 2011 9

    months

    2012

    PercentoftotalUL

    businessincludingLTC

    riders

    N/A 15% 16%

    PercentoftotalUL

    businessincluding

    chronic illnessriders

    N/A 11% 14%

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    Sales

    Three carriers have launched or announced new

    life/annuity business)

    Major writers continue to grow

    Many companies offering ABR riders

    Only six to eight annuity combos being marketed

    currentl but several are in the roduct i eline

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    Many of the sales successes are emerging in banks

    and wirehouses, vs. traditional life distribution

    systems

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    Audience Polling

    Chronic Illness Riders

    If not, do you plan to add these in the next two years?

    Reasons for offering Chronic lllness vs. LTC?

    a) No need to present inflation protection ornonforfeiture option

    b) No need for LTC agent licensing

    c Cost of chronic illness vs. LTC ABR

    d) Stigma associated with LTC with board, ratingagencies, etc.

    e) Ability to offer coverage without additional premiumor charges upfront

    f) Other

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    Audience Polling

    ChronicIllnessRiders

    62%

    38%

    1. Yes

    2. No

    101 2

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    Audience Polling

    ChronicIllnessRiders

    72%

    ,

    1. Yes

    2. No

    111 2

    28%

    Audience Polling

    ChronicIllnessRiders

    25%

    30%30%

    .

    1. No need to present inflation

    protection or nonforfeiture

    option

    2. No need for LTC agent licensing

    3. Cost of chronic illness vs. LTC

    ABR

    121 2 3 4 5 6

    0%

    10%

    5%

    4. Stigma associated with LTCwith board, rating agencies, etc.

    5. Ability to offer coverage without

    additional premium or charges

    upfront

    6. Other

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    Audience Polling

    LTC riders

    If not, do you intend to offer in the next two years?

    Are you selling only ABR, or also EBR?

    If you offer ABR only, why are you not offering EBR?

    a) Risk of EBR

    b) Cost of EBR

    c) Required inflation option offering

    d) Complexity of producte) Other

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    Audience Polling

    LTCriders

    55%

    45%

    1. Yes

    2. No

    141 2

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    Audience Polling

    LTCriders

    63%

    37%

    ,

    1. Yes

    2. No

    151 2

    Audience Polling

    LTCriders

    84%

    ,

    1. Just ABR

    2. ABR and EBR

    161 2

    16%

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    Audience Polling

    LTCriders

    45%

    36%

    1. Risk of EBR

    2. Cost of EBR

    3. Required inflation option

    offering

    ,

    171 2 3 4 5

    9% 9%

    0%

    4. Complexity of product

    5. Other

    Audience Polling

    Do you believe combo products will one day outsell

    ra ona pro uc s

    a) Yes, in the next decade

    b) Yes, longer term

    c) Never

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    Audience Polling

    Doyoubelievecomboproductswillonedayoutsell

    68%

    ra ona pro uc s

    1. Yes, in the next

    decade

    2. Yes, longer term

    3. Never

    191 2 3

    4%

    28%

    Product Updates & Trends

    Chronic Illness riders

    ,

    be marketed as LTCI

    The new riders on the market are gravitating toward

    definitions which reflect ADL triggers or cognitive

    impairment as defined in 7702B, although many include an

    expectation of permanence requirement

    ,making it 60% to 80% more costly than a TQ LTCIaccelerated benefit rider structured under an expensereimbursement design

    Offset to some degree by the expectation of permanence

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    Product Updates & Trends

    Annuity combos

    beginning 1/1/2010

    New sales beginning to build, but modest to date

    Typical Design, SPDA with LTC

    Most common structures are tail design and

    coinsurance

    n a on op on roun s ou e coverage an a resses

    the comprehensive LTC need

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    Product Updates & Trends

    Life combos

    premium, with all-in-one linked benefit products

    growing in popularity

    Focus on guaranteed benefits / pool

    Inflation protection

    UL combo products dominate but have seen positive

    growth in WL and VLA major carrier has filed a new IUL product with LTC

    rider (ABR)

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    Product Updates & Trends

    ABR / EBR

    priced independently and can be attached to a variety

    of products in an insurers life portfolio

    As for stand-alone LTC, some carriers are and

    others can be expected to be shortening EBR

    options (e.g. no lifetime)

    n genera , a younger uyer or com o pro uc s an

    traditional LTC market makes it important to properly

    price EBR at the younger ages

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    Pricing in a Low Interest Rate

    Environment

    Many annuity combos feature rich riders where

    ,

    leading to invasion of principal

    Some companies have reduced comp in order to

    avoid depletion of AV

    If interest rates stay low, may need to move to longer

    ABR periods with reduced monthly benefits, and

    ower cos sAlternatively, shorter EBR periods can reduce cost

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    Pricing in a Low Interest Rate

    Environment Life combos

    Replacement threat if interest rates spike within first 5or 6 years

    Shorter EBR periods can reduce risk and costsassociated with prolonged low interest rates

    At least one carrier has filed multiple versions of a ULcombo roduct, with the difference bein theguaranteed crediting rate

    Indexed products provide potential crediting uplift,reducing the cost of benefits

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    Audience Polling What are your biggest concerns about offering

    combination products?

    a) Regulatory requirements

    b) Agent training/licensing

    c) Training needed to underwrite, manage claims, and price

    d) Replacement threat on inforce business

    e) LTC risk

    g) Low interest rates, impairing product performance

    h) Higher future interest rates, and replacement threat on

    combos sold today

    i) Other

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    Audience Polling

    Whatareyourbiggestconcernsaboutoffering

    combinationproducts?

    17%

    32%1. Regulatory requirements

    2. Agent training/licensing

    3. Training needed to underwrite,

    manage claims, and price

    4. Replacement threat on inforce

    business

    5. LTC risk

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    1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9

    12%

    10%

    2% 2%2%

    7%

    6. LTC stigma

    7. Low interest rates, impairing

    product performance

    8. Higher future interest rates, and

    replacement threat on combos

    sold today

    9. Other

    Audience Polling

    What are your most significant reasons to offer

    a) Provide producers a product to address the LTC

    insurance risk

    b) Lower cost solution for consumer than stand-alone

    LTC

    c) Less risk than stand-alone LTC

    d) Means to enhance life or annuity productse) More sales

    f) More profits

    g) Other

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    Audience Polling

    Whatareyourmostsignificantreasonstooffer

    comboproducts?

    23%

    13%

    25%

    28%1. Provide producers a product

    to address the LTC insurance

    risk

    2. Lower cost solution for

    consumer than stand-alone

    LTC

    -

    29

    1 2 3 4 5 6 7

    3%

    5%5%

    .

    LTC

    4. Means to enhance life orannuity products

    5. More sales

    6. More profits

    7. Other

    Audience Polling

    How long do you believe the current low interest rate

    env ronmen w con nue

    a)

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    Audience Polling

    Howlongdoyoubelievethecurrentlowinterest

    rateenvironmentwillcontinue?

    66%1.