FM ppt 1.pptx
-
Upload
nivethapraveen -
Category
Documents
-
view
251 -
download
0
Transcript of FM ppt 1.pptx
Slide 1
Financial management
Financial Management is the application of the planning and control functions to the finance action
Functions of FM
Estimating financial needs
Identification of sources of finance
Developing an optimum capital structure
Capital budgeting
Working capital management
Dividend policy
M & A
Financial analysis
CVP analysis
Financial control
Time value of money
Same amount of cash, receivable during different time periods has different values
Time preferences of money
Reason for time preferences for money:
Uncertainty
Preferences for consumption
Investment opportunities
Techniques of time value of money
Techniques of time value of money
Compounding
Discounting
Compounding techniques
Compound value of lumpsum
Multiple compounding periods
Effective rate of interest
Doubling period
Compound value of a series of payments
Compound value of an annuity
Compound value of an annuity due
Compound value of a lumpsum
Mr. Ram deposits Rs. 10000 for 3 years at 10%. What is the compound value of his deposits?
Formula method:
FV = P(1+i)n
Multiple compounding periods
Manohar deposits Rs. 20000 for 2 years at 10%. Calculate the maturity value of the deposits if interest is compounded half yearly.
Formula method:
FV = P(1+i/m)m*n
Effective rate of interest
When interest is compounded annually, the nominal rate of interest is the effective rate of interest
In case of multiple period compounding, the effective rate of interest will be higher than the given nominal rate
ERI = (1+i/m)m-1
Doubling period
It refers to the time taken for doubling the investment
Rule 72:
Doubling period = 72 /rate of interest
Rule 69:
Doubling period = 0.35 +69/interest rate
Compound value of series of payments
Formula method:
FV = P1(1+i)n-1 + P2(1+i)n-2 + _ _ _ _ + P
Calculate the compound value of the following payments:
year 12 3
Payment at the end 1000 2000 3000
Rate of interest = 12% p.a
Compound value of an annuity
Annuity refers to a series of equal annual payments made at the end of each year for a particular period
Rajiv deposits Rs. 1000 at the end of every year for five years. The rate of interest is 12%. What is the maturity value of the deposits?
FV = A( 1+i)n-1+ A(1+i)n-2+..+A
Compound value of an annuity due
Annuity due refers to equal, annual payments made at the beginning each year
Kamala deposits Rs. 5000 at the beginning of each year for 3 years at 10%. What is the maturity value after 3 years?
FV = A(1+i)n + A(1+i)n-1 +.+ A(1+i)
Discounting techniques
Present value of a lumpsum
Present value of a series of payments
Present value of an annuity
Present value of an annuity due
Present value of a lumpsum
Arun expects to receive Rs. 100000 after 5 years. Find the present value of the future receipt, if his time preference rate is 10%
PV = FV/(1+i)n
Present value of a series of payments
PV = F1/(1+i)1 + F2/(1+i)2 +..+Fn/(1+i)n
Calculate the present value of cashflows:
year 12 3
Expected cash flows 1000 2000 3000
Rate of interest = 10% p.a
Present value of an annuity
Mr. Krishnan expects to receive an annuity of Rs.5000 for three years. His time preference rate is 10%. Calculate the present value of annuity.
PV = A/(1+i)1 + A/(1+i)2 ++ A/(1+i)n
Present value of annuity due
Kalpana expects to receive Rs.6000 at the beginning of every year, for 4 years. Find out the present value of the future receipt, if the rate of interest is 10%
PV = A + A/(1+i)1 + A/(1+i)2 +..+ A/(1+i)n
Risk and Return
Risk refers to the degree of variability of actual return from expected return
Unique Risk
Unique risk which arises due to factors specific to a company or security
Strike by workers of the company
Entry of a powerful competitors
Severe set back to the R&D efforts of the company
Loss of big contract
Adverse verdict in a court case involving high stakes
Dispute among the members of the promoters family
Market Risk
Market risk which arises duo to general economic wide factors
Political uncertainty
War and other calamities
Massive cut in government spending
Change in interest rate
Industrial recession
Relationship between diversification and risk
Types of risk
Major two types of risk :
Systematic risk
Unsystematic risk
Other types:
Credit or default risk
Foreign exchange risk
country risk
Interest rate risk
Political risk
Liquidity risk
Risk and Return on a single security
D1+(P1-P0)/P0
D1 = Dividend for the year
P0 = Price at the beginning of the year
P1 = Price at the end of the year
P1-P0 = Capital gains
Calculate the annual rate of return on the stock of GTC Ltd.
Price at the beginning of the year P0= Rs.60
Dividend at the end of the year D1= Rs.3
Price at the end of the year P1= Rs.69
Variability of rate of return
It defines the degree of deviation of individual rates from the average rate of return
The following information relates to bright diamonds Ltd.
YearDividends(Rs.)Average market price(Rs.)
2001 2.0040
2002 2.0030
2003 2.0040
2004 3.0069
2005 3.50100
2006 4.00121
Calculate the annual rate of return on the share for the last five years . How risky is the shares?
Expected Return
The concept of chances of occurrence are estimated
Possible outcome should be mutually exclusive and collectively exhaustive
The sum of probability assigned to various rates is one
Expected return = (R x P)
Calculation of expected return
Mr. Jitendra gives you an estimate of possible return from a security and their probability. Calculate the expected return.
Economic condition rate of return(%) Probability
Decline-50.25
Stagnation 10.25
Expansion120.25
Growth200.25
Standard deviation of expected return
Mr. Rajendra holds shares in Varun Ltd. He estimates the possible return and their probability as under. Calculate the expected return and standard deviation of expected return.
Possible Return(%)Probability
-20 0.10
-10 0.10
20 0.50
30 0.30
Choice of investment
Arun LtdVarun Ltd
Expected return22% 16%
Standard deviation1.61% 16.25%
Advice Mr.Ganesh regarding the choice of investment
Portfolio investment
The return of portfolio is the weighted average of the return of the individual securities
A portfolio consist of two securities A and B. The expected return on these two securities is 10% and 18% respectively. The proportion of the securities in the portfolio is 0.4 and 0.6. calculate the expected return of portfolio.
The possible outcomes of two securities under different economic conditions are given below:
Economic condition Probabilityxy
A 0.1 -10 16
B 0.2 12 -5
C 0.4 9 7
D 0.2 7 18
E 0.1-4 20
Calculate:
The expected return on individual securities
The expected return on a portfolio of X and Y
If the proportion of X and Y is 50:50
If the proportion of X and Y is 20:80
The following investment opportunities are available to Mr. Shankar.
Economic conditionprobability A B
Good 0.5 40 0
Bad 0.5 0 40
Explain whether combining the securities in the proportion of 50:50 should be advantage to Mr. Shankar
Measuring portfolio risk
Find the expected return of each security
Calculate the deviation of possible return from the expected return ( d = R-ER)
Find the product of each deviation of the two securities and the respective probability. (Pxd1xd2)
The sum of products is the covariance
(Pxd1xd2)
The following information relates to two securities A and B
State of the economy probability A B
J 0.1 -10 16
K 0.2 12 -5
L 0.4 9 7
M 0.2 7 18
N 0.1 -4 20
Calculate the covariance of the return of securities A and B. Also find the nature of correlation between A and B.
Valuation of securities
Bond value
Market value
Liquidation value
Going concern value
Replacement value
Valuation of bonds or debentures
Salient features:
Long term debt instruments
Coupon rate
Cash inflow consists of annual interest and principal amount
No risk free
Bond with a maturity period
Vd = I1/(1+kd)1 + I2/(1+kd)2 + .. + In/(1+kd)n + MV/(1+kd)n
A bond whose par value is Rs. 1000 bears a coupon rate of 12% and has a maturity period of 3 years. The required rate of return on the bond is 10%. What is the value of the bond?
Bonds redeemable in installments
Vd = CF1/(1+kd)1 + CF2/(1+kd)2 +.+ CFn/(1+kd)n
Air India has issued 5 years 8%% bonds of Rs. 1000 each. The bond amount will be amortized equally over its life. Ram, an investor, requires a return of 7%. At what price should he buy the bond?
Perpetual bonds
Vd = I/kd
Mr. Kannan has a perpetual bond of Rs. 1000. He receives an interest of Rs. 90 annually. What is the value of the bond, if the required rate of return is 10%?
Valuation of bond with Half-yearly interest
Steps to valuate bond:
Annual interest is to be divided by 2
The maturity period is to be multiplied by 2
Required rate of return is to be divided by 2
Half yearly valuation
Vd = I/2/(1+kd/2)1 + I/2/(1+kd/2)2 + .. + I/2/(1+kd/2)2n + MV/(1+kd/2)2n
Mr. Mahesh holds bonds of the face value of Rs. 1000 which carry a coupon rate of 10% p.a. Interest is payable half yearly. The required rate of return is 12%p.a. calculate the value of the bond if the bonds are redeemable after 2 years.
Relationship between required rate of return and coupon rate
If Kd = I, value = Face value
If Kd I, value Face value
If Kd I, value Face value
Face value of the bond Rs. 1000
Annual Interest rate(I): coupon rate = 10%
maturity period 5 years
Find out the value of the bond if the required
rate of return is a)10% b)12% c)8%
Bond yield measures
Current Yield = annual interest
current market price
Snow Ltd issued 12% debentures of Rs. 1000. The current market price of the debentures is Rs. 750. calculate
The yield to an investor who had purchased the debentures at Rs. 1000;
The current yield
Holding period return
Holding period return = (SP PP) + I
PP
Rajesh purchased Rs. 100 par value bond for Rs. 80. The coupon rate is 8%. One year later, he sold the bond at Rs. 90. what is the rate of return during the holding period?
Yield to maturity
YTM = Annual Return
Average Value
lion industries Ltd has issued bonds of the face value of Rs. 500. the coupon rate is 12% and the bonds are redeemable after 5 years. Current market price is Rs. 435. calculate the approximate YTM.
YTM of perpetual bond
YTM = annual interest
current market price
The coupon rate of interest on a Rs. 1000 par value. A perpetual bond is 8% an dthe price is Rs. 800. what is the YTM?
Valuation of preference shares
Vp = P.D1 + P.D2 ++ P.Dn + MVn
(1+kp)1 (1+kp)2 (1+kp)n (1+kp)n
Mr. lakshman is considering the purchase of a 7% preference share of Rs. 1000 redeemable after 5 years, at par. Required rate of return is 9%. Is it advisable to buy the preference share at Rs. 900?
Value of perpetual preference shares
Vp = P.D/k
Mr. peter holds 9%irredeemable preference shares of Rs. 1000. the required rate of return is 12%. What is the value of the preference shares?
Valuation of equity shares
Methods of valuation:
Dividend capitalization approach
Earnings capitalization approach
Dividend capitalization approach
Single period valuation model:
P0 = D1 + P1
1 + ke
jyothi Ltd is expected to declare a dividend of Rs. 4 per share and reach a price of Rs. 220 after one year from now. Calculate value (P0)of the share, if the required rate of return is 12%
Multi period valuation
P0 = D1/(1+ke)1 + D2/(1+ke)2 ++ Dn/(1+ke)n + Pn/(1+ke)n
Mr. Vinod wants to buy an equity share and sell it after 2 years. The expected dividends at the end of the first year and second year are Rs. 3 and 4. the expected sale price of the share is Rs. 250. calculate the current price of the share, taking the required rate of return as 15%
An investor is looking for a 4 years investment. The share of green star are selling at Rs. 75. they have plans to pay a dividend of Rs.7.50 per share at the end of the 1st and 2nd year and Rs. 9 and Rs. 15 per share respectively at the end of 3rd and 4th years. The investors capitalization is 12% and the share price at the end of 4th year is Rs. 120.
Find the current value of the share (P0)?
Dividend valuation model
P0 = D1/(1+ke)1 + D2/(1+ke)n +.+ Dn/(1+ke)n
When the dividend is constant
When dividend is growing
No growth concept
P0 = D/ke
Mahindra Ltd is currently paying a dividend of Rs. 6 per share. It is not expected to change the dividend in future. Calculate the value of the share if the required rate of return is 12%
Growth in dividends
Normal growth:
P0 = D1 = D0(1+g)
ke-g ke-g
When,
D0 = current dividend
D1 = expected dividend
ke = required rate of return
g = expected growth rate
Jitendra Ltd is expected to pay a dividend of Rs. 5 per share, next year. The dividend is expected to grow perpetually at the rate of 10%. What is the value of the share if the capitalization rate is 15%?
Super normal growth
P0 = D1/(1+ke)1 + D2/(1+ke)n +.+ Dn/(1+ke)n
Estimate the expected dividend
Find out PV of expected dividend (A)
Find out the value of share at the end of super normal growth
Estimate the PV of super normal growth (B)
Value of the share = A+B
Skyrocket Ltd is currently paying a dividend of Rs. 3 per share. The dividend is expected to grow at 25% annually for 5 years and then at 7% forever. What is the present value of the share if the capitalization rate is 14%.