DG AGRI DASHBOARD: PIGMEAT Last update: 03/03/2020 2020-03-03آ  Change in pig population Livestock...

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Transcript of DG AGRI DASHBOARD: PIGMEAT Last update: 03/03/2020 2020-03-03آ  Change in pig population Livestock...

  • LT ㅤㅤ ㅤㅤ ㅤㅤ

    S K ㅤㅤ ㅤㅤ ㅤㅤ

    N Lㅤ ㅤㅤ ㅤㅤ ㅤ

    C Y ㅤㅤ ㅤㅤ ㅤㅤ

    S Iㅤ ㅤㅤ ㅤㅤ ㅤ

    E E ㅤㅤ ㅤㅤ ㅤㅤ

    LV ㅤㅤ ㅤㅤ ㅤㅤ

    IT ㅤㅤ ㅤㅤ ㅤㅤ

    E S ㅤㅤ ㅤㅤ ㅤㅤ

    H R ㅤㅤ ㅤㅤ ㅤㅤ

    IE ㅤㅤ ㅤㅤ ㅤㅤ

    F Iㅤ ㅤㅤ ㅤㅤ ㅤ

    F R ㅤㅤ ㅤㅤ ㅤㅤ

    P T ㅤㅤ ㅤㅤ ㅤㅤ

    B G ㅤㅤ ㅤㅤ ㅤㅤ

    C Z ㅤㅤ ㅤㅤ ㅤㅤ

    LU ㅤㅤ ㅤㅤ ㅤㅤ

    A T ㅤㅤ ㅤㅤ ㅤㅤ

    H U ㅤㅤ ㅤㅤ ㅤㅤ

    D E ㅤㅤ ㅤㅤ ㅤㅤ

    S E ㅤㅤ ㅤㅤ ㅤㅤ

    M T ㅤㅤ ㅤㅤ ㅤㅤ

    B E ㅤㅤ ㅤㅤ ㅤㅤ

    P Lㅤ ㅤㅤ ㅤㅤ ㅤ

    D K ㅤㅤ ㅤㅤ ㅤㅤ

    R O ㅤㅤ ㅤㅤ ㅤㅤ

    E Lㅤ ㅤㅤ ㅤㅤ ㅤ

    ㅤㅤ ㅤㅤ ㅤㅤ ㅤㅤ

    E U ㅤㅤ ㅤㅤ ㅤㅤ

    -10

    -5

    0

    5

    10

    1 1 ,9 %

    9 ,6 %

    4 ,3 %

    4 ,1 %

    4 ,0 %

    3 ,8 %

    3 ,1 %

    2 ,0 %

    1 ,0 %

    0 ,8 %

    0 ,3 %

    0 ,3 %

    0 ,2 %

    0 ,1 %

    -0 ,1 %

    -0 ,4 %

    -1 ,2 %

    -1 ,3 %

    -1 ,8 %

    -2 ,7 %

    -2 ,8 %

    -3 ,0 %

    -4 ,6 %

    -5 ,8 %

    -6 ,9 %

    -8 ,1 %

    -1 1 ,3 %

    -3 ,2 %

    Changes in EU pigmeat slaughter ('000 Heads)

    2020/2019 (Jan - Dec)

    Back01

    2 0 1 9 -0 3

    2 0 1 9 -0 5

    2 0 1 9 -0 7

    2 0 1 9 -0 9

    2 0 1 9 -1 1

    2 0 2 0 -0 1

    2 0 2 0 -0 3

    1,095

    1,1

    1,105

    1,11

    1,115

    1,12

    1,125

    EUR = USD

    2 0 1 9 -0 3

    2 0 1 9 -0 5

    2 0 1 9 -0 7

    2 0 1 9 -0 9

    2 0 1 9 -1 1

    2 0 2 0 -0 1

    2 0 2 0 -0 3

    4,3

    4,4

    4,5

    4,6

    4,7

    4,8

    4,9

    EUR = BRL

    2 0 1 9 -0 3

    2 0 1 9 -0 5

    2 0 1 9 -0 7

    2 0 1 9 -0 9

    2 0 1 9 -1 1

    2 0 2 0 -0 1

    2 0 2 0 -0 3

    1,45

    1,46

    1,47

    1,48

    1,49

    1,5

    1,51

    EUR = CAD

    Chinaㅤ-ㅤ54ㅤ984ㅤ-ㅤ45%

    EuropeanㅤUnionㅤ-ㅤ24ㅤ075ㅤ-ㅤ20%

    USAㅤ-ㅤ11ㅤ943ㅤ-ㅤ10%

    VietㅤNamㅤ-ㅤ3ㅤ816ㅤ-ㅤ3% Brazilㅤ-ㅤ3ㅤ788ㅤ-ㅤ3%

    RussianㅤFederationㅤ-ㅤ3ㅤ744ㅤ-ㅤ3%

    Canadaㅤ-ㅤ2ㅤ142ㅤ-ㅤ2%

    Othersㅤ-ㅤ16ㅤ389ㅤ-ㅤ14%

    World Production of Pigmeat (in 1000 tonnes product weight)

    (Year 2018)

    Li ve ㅤs w in e ,

    d o m e st ic

    sp e ci e s

    P ig le ts ,ㅤ le ss

    th a n ㅤ2 0 ㅤk g

    P ig s, ㅤf ro m ㅤ2 0

    kg ㅤt o ㅤl e ss ㅤt h a n

    5 0 ㅤk g

    B re e d in g ㅤs o w s

    C o ve re d ㅤs o w s

    F a tt e n in g ㅤp ig s,

    5 0 ㅤk g ㅤo rㅤ o ve r

    F a tt e n in g ㅤp ig s,

    fr o m ㅤ5 0 ㅤk g ㅤt o

    le ss ㅤt h a n ㅤ8 0 ㅤk g

    F a tt e n in g ㅤp ig s,

    fr o m ㅤ8 0 ㅤk g ㅤt o

    le ss ㅤt h a n ㅤ1 1 .. .

    -4

    -3

    -2

    -1

    0

    -1,9%

    -0,2%

    -4,0%

    -2,9%

    -2,5%

    -1,7%

    -2,9%

    -1,9%

    Change in pig population

    Livestock survey May-June 2019 compared to May-June 2018 (13 MS)

    L iv

    e s to

    c k

    S u

    rv e

    y W

    o rl

    d P

    ro d

    u c ti

    o n

    W o

    rl d

    Q u

    o ta

    ti o

    n s

    DG AGRI DASHBOARD: PIGMEAT Last update: 03/03/2020 E

    U P

    ri c e

    s E

    U P

    ro d

    u c ti

    o n

    C a

    rc a

    s s C

    la s s e

    s E

    U P

    ro d

    u c ti

    o n

    E U

    T ra

    d e

    W o

    rl d

    T ra

    d e

    EU Prices

    Average (S-E)

    Class E

    Class S

    Piglet

    Week 8 Evolution since

    last week Evolution since

    last month Evolution since

    last year

    €/head

    € / 1

    0 0

    k g

    c a

    rc a

    s s w

    e ig

    h t

    2 4 6 8

    1 0

    1 2

    1 4

    1 6

    1 8

    2 0

    2 2

    2 4

    2 6

    2 8

    3 0

    3 2

    3 4

    3 6

    3 8

    4 0

    4 2

    4 4

    4 6

    4 8

    5 0

    5 2

    140

    160

    180

    200 2020

    2019

    ㅤAverageㅤ2015ㅤ-ㅤ2019

    EU evolution of the EU pig carcase prices (€/100kg)

    2 4 6 8

    1 0

    1 2

    1 4

    1 6

    1 8

    2 0

    2 2

    2 4

    2 6

    2 8

    3 0

    3 2

    3 4

    3 6

    3 8

    4 0

    4 2

    4 4

    4 6

    4 8

    5 0

    5 2

    40

    50

    60

    70 2020

    2019

    ㅤAverageㅤ2015ㅤ-ㅤ2019

    EU evolution of the EU average piglet prices (€/head)

    2015 2016 2017 2018 2019ㅤ(UpㅤtoㅤNov)

    240000

    242000

    244000

    246000

    248000

    244ㅤ186

    247ㅤ474

    244ㅤ559

    248ㅤ380

    240ㅤ372

    EU pig slaughter by year

    (in 1000 heads)

    Yearㅤ2015 Yearㅤ2016 Yearㅤ2017 Jan-Decㅤ2018 Yearㅤ2018 Jan-Decㅤ2019

    0

    1000

    2000

    3000

    4000

    5000

    3 ㅤ4 3 9

    4 ㅤ2 4 0

    3 ㅤ9 1 7

    3 ㅤ9 3 9

    3 ㅤ9 3 9

    4 ㅤ7 3 6

    EU+UK Exports evolution (in 1000 tonnes carcase weight)

    DEㅤ-ㅤ5ㅤ343ㅤ-ㅤ23%

    ESㅤ-ㅤ4ㅤ530ㅤ-ㅤ20%

    FRㅤ-ㅤ2ㅤ182ㅤ-ㅤ10%

    PLㅤ-ㅤ2ㅤ082ㅤ-ㅤ9%

    DKㅤ-ㅤ1ㅤ581ㅤ-ㅤ7%

    NLㅤ-ㅤ1ㅤ536ㅤ-ㅤ7% ITㅤ-ㅤ1ㅤ471ㅤ-ㅤ6% BEㅤ-ㅤ1ㅤ073ㅤ-ㅤ5%

    Othersㅤ-ㅤ3ㅤ121ㅤ-ㅤ14%

    EU Main Producers (1000 tonnes product weight)

    EU+UK

    UnitedㅤStates

    Canada

    Brazil

    Chinaㅤ+ㅤHongㅤKong

    Chile

    Mexico

    Russia

    Others

    0

    1000

    2000

    3000

    4000

    Q u a n ti ty ㅤi n ㅤ1 0 0 0 ㅤt o n n e s

    3 ㅤ4 8 4

    2 ㅤ5 7 4

    1 ㅤ1 6 6

    7 3 1

    6 9 7

    1 9 8

    1 3 9

    1 0 8 4 6 8

    4 ㅤ1 8 6

    2 ㅤ7 9 9

    1 ㅤ1 7 7

    8 5 0

    3 9 1

    2 2 6

    1 3 2

    1 2 7

    4 0 4

    2018ㅤ(Jan-Dec)

    2019ㅤ(Jan-Dec)

    Main World Exporters of PIG Products (up to December)

    2 0 1 8 /0 2 /2 6

    2 0 1 8 /0 3 /2 6

    2 0 1 8 /0 4 /2 3

    2 0 1 8 /0 5 /2 1

    2 0 1 8 /0 6 /1 8

    2 0 1 8 /0 7 /1 6

    2 0 1 8 /0 8 /1 3

    2 0 1 8 /0 9 /1 0

    2 0 1 8 /1 0 /0 8

    2 0 1 8 /1 1 /0 5

    2 0 1 8 /1 2 /0 3

    2 0 1 8 /1 2 /3 1

    2 0 1 9 /0 1 /2 8

    2 0 1 9 /0 2 /2 5

    2 0 1 9 /0 3 /2 5

    2 0 1 9 /0 4 /2 2

    2 0 1 9 /0 5 /2 0

    2 0 1 9 /0 6 /1 7

    2 0 1 9 /0 7 /1 5

    2 0 1 9 /0 8 /1 2

    2 0 1 9 /0 9 /0 9

    2 0 1 9 /1 0 /0 7

    2 0 1 9 /1 1 /0 4

    2 0 1 9 /1 2 /0 2

    2 0 1 9 /1 2 /3 0

    2 0 2 0 /0 1 /2 7

    60

    90

    120

    150

    180

    210

    EU US BR CA

    World weekly average Pig Prices 2018-2020 in Euro / 100Kg carcase

    (EU, Brazil, Canada and USA)

    Sㅤ-ㅤ61,28%

    Eㅤ-ㅤ30,67%

    Uㅤ-ㅤ6,20%

    Rㅤ-ㅤ1,50% Oㅤ-ㅤ0,30%

    Pㅤ-ㅤ0,05%

    Sㅤ-ㅤ61,28%

    Eㅤ-ㅤ30,67%

    Uㅤ-ㅤ6,20%

    Rㅤ-ㅤ1,50%

    Oㅤ-ㅤ0,30%

    Pㅤ-ㅤ0,05%

    Distribution of pig carcases on grades

    (EU average 2018)

    EU+UK Exports (Top destinations)

    8 MSs = 83% of total EU

    production

    Year 2018 Total EU = 22920

    (+2,0% over 2017)

    7 countries = 86% of total production

    Year 2018 Total = 120881

    (+0,8% over 2017)

    EU figures exclude UK (also for years prior to Brexit) EU figures exclude UK (also for years prior to Brexit) EU figures exclude UK (also for years prior to Brexit)

    EU average includes the UK until Brexit

    EU data without the UK

    Chinaㅤ+ㅤHongㅤKong

    Japan

    Mexico

    SouthㅤKorea

    UnitedㅤStates

    Philippines

    Canada

    Australia

    Others

    0

    1000

    2000

    3000

    4000

    Q u a n ti ty ㅤi n ㅤ1 0 0 0 ㅤt o n n e s

    2 ㅤ9 3 6

    1 ㅤ2 0 7

    1 ㅤ0 6 0

    6 1 7

    5 1 4

    3 2 7

    2 6 5

    1 7 5

    1 ㅤ3 7 1

    3 ㅤ6 9 5

    1 ㅤ2 2 0

    7 2 7

    5 6 9

    4 6 9

    2 8 9

    2 7 5

    2 1 8

    1 ㅤ3 1 1

    2018ㅤ(Jan-Dec)

    2019ㅤ(Jan-Dec)

    Main World Importers of PIG Products (up to December)

  • label1

    Evolution since last year

    Evolution since last month

    Evolution since last week

    Class E

    Average (S-E)

    EU Prices Week 8

    Piglet

    Class S

    €/head

    € / 1

    0 0

    k g

    c a

    rc a

    s s w

    e ig

    h t

    Source: MSs (Weekly communications under Reg. 2017/1185) EU figures exclude UK (also for years prior to Brexit)

  • 2 4 6 8

    1 0

    1 2

    1 4

    1 6

    1 8

    2 0