Analytics in de Circular Economy Havers.compressed...Voorbeelden aspecten van Circular Economy...
Transcript of Analytics in de Circular Economy Havers.compressed...Voorbeelden aspecten van Circular Economy...
Analytics in de Circular Economy
Bram Havers
Client Architect voor de Overheid
November 3rd 2016
© 2016 IBM Corporation
Agenda
Circular Economy binnen IBM
Voorbeelden aspecten van Circular Economy
– Samenwerken met ketenpartners
– Betere informatie nodig (Internet of Things)
– Efficiënter samenwerken (Blockchain)
– Besluitvorming op basis van data (Watson)
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© 2016 IBM Corporation3
© 2016 IBM Corporation4
© 2016 IBM Corporation5
© 2016 IBM Corporation
Agenda
Circular Economy binnen IBM
Voorbeelden aspecten van Circular Economy
– Samenwerken met ketenpartners
– Betere informatie nodig (Internet of Things)
– Efficiënter samenwerken (Blockchain)
– Besluitvorming op basis van data (Watson)
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© 2016 IBM Corporation
Samenwerken in Nederlands waterbeheer is complex
Land
Drought
Organizational fragmentation Domain fragmentation
© 2016 IBM Corporation8
Delta Program 2.0 (2010 -2100)
needs optimization cross multiple dimensions
10x better flood safety
Fresh water availability
Logistics (Harbor Rotterdam
supplies 75% of Western
Europe)
Ecology
Adaptive strategy
Affordable
Netherlands water management 7B/yr, prevent cost increase 1-2B by 2020Ref: Bestuursakkoord Water / Resolution of the National Water Committee, April 2011
© 2016 IBM Corporation9
Digitale Delta – samenwerken in waterbeheer
Business Challenge
Costs of managing the Dutch water system will rise
from € 7B to 9B due to Climate Change
100+ ongoing projects each doing their own IT and
creating specialized point solutions
Highly fragmented ecosystem with many stakeholders
30-60% of project budgets spend on redoing IT and
data retrieval
No business critical reliance on IT
Our clients/beneficiaries
Ministry of Infrastructure and
environment (Rijkswaterstaat)
Local Water Authority
Delfland
Number of applications
Digitale Delta integrated
platform approach
Current siloed IT approach
Co
st
Savin
gs
© 2016 IBM Corporation
Voorbeeld IJmuiden en Rotterdam
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IBM Intelligent Operations
for Water (IOW)
Example: one forecast based on water level data of 5 organisations
Example: Rotterdam anticipating heavy rainfall
Data
sourc
es
Solu
tion
Use C
ases
© 2016 IBM Corporation
IBM Smart Deliveries Platform in Lyon
Transporters,
Maintenance
crew managers…
City regulation
center
Drivers
Smart Deliveries
Platform
advance information
on planned mobility
demand
Planned
vehicle
tours
Known and
forecast
trafic
conditions
Optimized tour plans
and trafic alerts
mission
tracking
Web application
Mobile application
City Monitoring center
(IBM Intelligent
Operations Center)
Global demand taken into
account to spread trafic optimally
Original demand
10:00 -> 120 trucks at Part-Dieu
11:00 -> 160 trucks at Presqu’Ile
Optimized plans
10:00 -> 60 trucks at Part-Dieu,
80 trucks at Presqu’Ile
11:00 -> 80 trucks at Presqu’Ile
60 trucks at Part-Dieu
© 2016 IBM Corporation
Oorspronkelijk route – ongeluk zorgt voor afsluiting Av. Jean Mermoz.
Paul’s transport
bedrijf upload
dagelijks het
rijschema naar
Smart Deliveries
platform
© 2016 IBM Corporation
Leefbaarheid
verbetert door
minder trucks in
geblokkeerd
gebied
Transporteur is
sneller en bespaart
kosten.
Omleiding kost 45 minuten, maar herladen met een alternatief afleverschema slechts 10 min.
© 2016 IBM Corporation14
Example Dublinked – a city intelligence and Open Data sharing platform
Launched in October 2011 with over
3,000 individual data sets across
environment, planning, water and
transport.
Innovation platform of academic, public
& commercial parties, backed by
Venture Capitalists
Members collaborate to solve shared
urban challenges
© 2016 IBM Corporation
Agenda
Circular Economy binnen IBM
Voorbeelden aspecten van Circular Economy
– Samenwerken met ketenpartners
– Betere informatie nodig (Internet of Things)
– Efficiënter samenwerken (Blockchain)
– Besluitvorming op basis van data (Watson)
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© 2016 IBM Corporation
Monitoren van dijken met sensoren
Collapse
Sat. 14:02
Orientation
sensor on
Friday
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lwBrJi9ly5c
© 2016 IBM Corporation
Business case – besparen door uitstel onderhoud en verbeteren veiligheid
(in situ monitoring)
(engineering)
(remote sensing)
© 2016 IBM Corporation
System & Dike Manager
(Dijkmanager)
Director of the water district
(Diikgraaf)
Head of waterdepartment provice of state
(Gedeputeerde wateren)
Inspection department of govermment
(Staatssecretaris V&W)
UC-R01
Create and send
inspection report
levee segment
UC-R02
Create
levee status report
UC-R07
Create water district
levee status report
UC-R08
Create province
levee status report
UC-R09
Create national status
of levees
Levee inspector
[orient]
[orient]
[orient]
[orient]
[orient]
UC-R06
Inspect levee
UC-R03
Create incident report
UC-R04
Create work order: sensor
UC-R05
Create work order: inspect levee
Actor Flood Control System Other Systems[Regular monitoring]
[orient and
decide]
[decide and
act]
[decide and
act]
[act]
IBM Smart Levee solutions for operational and crisis situations
Asset management
Mobile inspection
© 2016 IBM Corporation
© 2016 IBM Corporation20
Deep Thunder - anticiperen op stroomuitval door extreem weer
•Hyper local, micro weather forecasting
•for weather-sensitive operations
•up to three days ahead
Coupled Weather and Renewable Power ForecastingCustom Modeling for Power Predictions
IBM Deep Thunder
Model
Training
Historical Damage
Data
Historical Power Data
Historical Weather
Data
Historical Weather
Data
Damage Forecast ModelProbabilistic
Power Forecast
Calibrated WeatherModel
Model
Training
• Wind deficit and power per turbine
• 3d wind speed and direction, rain, temperature, etc.
• Turbine location, type, power characteristics
• Ancillary environmental conditions
Coupled Weather and Impact ModelingCustom Modeling for Predictions of Outages
Model
Training
Historical
Damage
Data
Historical
Damage
Data
Historical
Weather
Data
Historical
Weather
Data
Damage
Forecast Model
Damage
Forecast Model
Calibrated Weather
Model
Gusts
Damage
Restoration
Effort
Model
Training
IBM Deep Thunder
• Damage location, timing and response
• Wind, rain, lightning, temperature, etc.
• Demographics and infrastructure
• Ancillary environmental conditions
© 2016 IBM Corporation
Beter zicht krijgen op extreme lokale neerslag (Amsterdam, 28 July 2014)
Neerslagradar Effect bij onverwachte extremen
© 2016 IBM Corporation
Het publiek als sensor: Twitter berichten, crowd-sourcing via apps en de slimme paraplu.
© 2016 IBM Corporation
Agenda
Circular Economy binnen IBM
Voorbeelden aspecten van Circular Economy
– Samenwerken met ketenpartners
– Betere informatie nodig (Internet of Things)
– Efficiënter samenwerken (Blockchain)
– Besluitvorming op basis van data (Watson)
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© 2016 IBM Corporation
Efficiënter samenwerken met een Blockchain
Problem - asset ownership & transfer in business
networks
Inefficient, expensive, vulnerable
© 2016 IBM Corporation
Solution - a replicated, shared ledger for business
networks
Consensus, provenance, immutability, finality.
© 2016 IBM Corporation
Key Concepts of blockchain
A business network
Smart contracts
Consensus
Privacy and confidentialityShared ledger
© 2016 IBM Corporation
-Registers e-bike
- de registers e-bike
as
= as wreck
= exported
- Registrers lock to e-bike
- Registers lock /e-bike
with new owner
- closed/open status
- gps location
- Reports theft
- Insurance claim
- Registers new
owner
-Reports e-bike found
-Reports e-bike as wreck
- (confirms theft to insurer)
Insurance
company
- Checks theft
- Receives claim
- Manages claim
case
- Monitors/analyzes
anonymized e-bike
movements
BikeBlockChain
Rijksdienst voor Wegverkeer (RDW) BikeBlockchain
© 2016 IBM Corporation
ADEPT: Autonoom functionerende wasmachine d.m.v. een blockchain oplossing
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© 2016 IBM Corporation
IBM Global Financing: verminderen uitgestelde betalingen
© 2016 IBM Corporation
Agenda
Circular Economy binnen IBM
Voorbeelden aspecten van Circular Economy
– Samenwerken met ketenpartners
– Betere informatie nodig (Internet of Things)
– Efficiënter samenwerken (Blockchain)
– Besluitvorming op basis van data (Watson)
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© 2016 IBM Corporation
De hoeveelheid data wordt te groot, en te divers, voor de analyse methode van vandaag…
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© 2016 IBM Corporation
The hardest problems as IBM Grand Challenges
Chess – Deep Blue (1997)
– A finite, mathematically well-defined search space
– Limited number of moves and states
– Grounded in explicit, unambiguous mathematical
rules
Human Language – Watson (2011)
– Ambiguous, contextual and implicit
– Grounded only in human cognition
– Seemingly infinite number of ways to express the
same meaning
© 2016 IBM Corporation
What is Cognitive Computing?
Cognitive systems are able to learn their behavior through education
Support forms of expression that are more natural for human interaction
Whose primary value is their expertise; and
That continue to evolve as they experience new information
… and does so at enormous scale.
© 2016 IBM Corporation
Toepassing van Watson
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© 2016 IBM Corporation
Voorbeeld: Watson zelflerende beeldherkenning
Demo link Watson AlchemyVisual API (klik Demo AlchemyVision)
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Voorbeeld: Hoe Cognitieve technologie blinden helpt de wereld te verkennen
TED Talk - IBM Fellow Chieko Asakawa: How Technology helps Blind People Explore the World
(voorbeeld 5.30 - 7.00)
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© 2016 IBM Corporation
Einde
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